{"id":57198,"date":"2012-08-19T18:00:00","date_gmt":"2012-08-19T18:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=57198"},"modified":"2026-04-03T08:37:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T08:37:04","slug":"soarta-economiei-in-2012-dependenta-de-seceta-si-de-zona-euro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=57198","title":{"rendered":"Soarta economiei \u00een 2012, dependent\u0103 de secet\u0103 \u015fi de zona euro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Lu\u00e2nd \u00een considerare c\u0103 e prima cre\u015ftere dup\u0103 dou\u0103 trimestre de sc\u0103dere, e o veste bun\u0103, iar dac\u0103 ne uit\u0103m la evolu\u0163ia aproape stagnant\u0103 a exporturilor \u015fi a industriei, \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 aceast\u0103 cre\u015ftere a fost alimentat\u0103 de cererea intern\u0103 &#8211; consum \u015fi investi\u0163ii, dup\u0103 cum remarc\u0103 anali\u015ftii Raiffeisen, ceea ce e o veste \u015fi mai bun\u0103, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 nici exporturile, nici industria nu mai au resursele de cre\u015ftere din anii trecu\u0163i, din cauza crizei din zona euro.<\/p>\n<p>Tot anali\u015ftii b\u0103ncii remarc\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 datele cele mai recente (iunie-iulie) sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 &#8220;majoritatea sectoarelor (industrie, servicii) vor avea performan\u0163e slabe \u015fi \u00een trimestrul al treilea, astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t un declin pronun\u0163at al produc\u0163iei agricole din cauza secetei prelungite ar putea genera o sc\u0103dere a PIB real \u00een perioada iulie-septembrie&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>La r\u00e2ndul lor, anali\u015ftii BCR arat\u0103 c\u0103, pe de o parte, comparat\u0103 cu restul Europei, economia Rom\u00e2niei a avut una dintre cele mai mari rate de cre\u015ftere, \u00eens\u0103 pe de alt\u0103 parte, cele mai mari riscuri vin din partea evolu\u0163iilor din zona euro, principalul partener de export al Rom\u00e2niei. &#8220;Conform modelului nostru, \u00eencetinirea cre\u015fterii \u00een zona euro se va reflecta asupra economiei rom\u00e2ne\u015fti \u00een urm\u0103toarele 3-4 trimestre&#8221;, anticipeaz\u0103 anali\u015ftii BCR.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u00cen acela\u015fi timp, turbulen\u0163ele politice interne, dezvoltarea slab\u0103 din industrie, reducerea investi\u0163iilor \u00een infrastructur\u0103 \u015fi un an agricol slab reprezint\u0103 c\u00e2teva dintre riscurile adi\u0163ionale pentru cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia.&#8221; BCR estimeaz\u0103 pentru 2012 o cre\u015ftere de p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 1%, revizuit\u0103 \u00een sc\u0103dere de la estimarea anterioar\u0103 de 1,2%.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"756\" height=\"429\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5531\/9957819\/1\/bcr.jpg?width=756&#038;height=429\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Statistica a comunicat \u00een aceast\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 c\u0103 PIB real a crescut cu 0,5% \u00een T2 fa\u0163\u0103 de T1, respectiv cu 1,2% (serie brut\u0103) \u015fi 1,7% (serie ajustat\u0103) fa\u0163\u0103 de aceea\u015fi perioad\u0103 a anului trecut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,5078,9321,188,560,474,24517,149,7931,220,9803,18445,13242],"class_list":["post-57198","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-bcr","tag-cerere","tag-economie","tag-exporturi","tag-industrie","tag-insse","tag-investitii","tag-pib","tag-politica","tag-raiffeisen","tag-seceta","tag-zona-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57198","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57198"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57198\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73444,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57198\/revisions\/73444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}