{"id":52065,"date":"2011-11-21T14:00:00","date_gmt":"2011-11-21T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=52065"},"modified":"2026-04-03T06:20:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T06:20:09","slug":"nemes-roland-berger-12-miliarde-e-maximul-pe-care-pamantul-ar-putea-sa-l-sustina-cu-actualele-resurse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=52065","title":{"rendered":"Nemes, Roland Berger: 12 miliarde e maximul pe care P\u0103m\u00e2ntul ar putea s\u0103-l sus\u0163in\u0103 cu actualele resurse"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Cu un v\u00e2rf de cre\u015ftere de 2% anual la finalul anilor 1960, avansul a sc\u0103zut la aproximativ 1% pe an \u00een prezent \u015fi se va diminua \u00een continuare p\u00e2n\u0103 la 0,75% pe an \u00een 2030. Potrivit Roland Berger, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een anul 2030, Africa \u015fi India vor continua s\u0103 creasc\u0103 rapid, \u00een timp ce China se va fi stabilizat deja, iar Europa, Japonia \u015fi America de Nord vor fi de ceva vreme pe un trend descresc\u0103tor. Anul 2030 va aduce, de asemenea, o \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2nire semnificativ\u0103 a popula\u0163iei, \u00een medie cu 5,1 ani &#8211; iar v\u00e2rsta medie \u00een 2030 va fi de aproximativ 34 de ani.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessmagazin.ro\/galerie-foto\/actualitate\/populatia-7-miliarde-8901576\/slide-2\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"30\" width=\"456\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5531\/8901576\/32\/banda-2.jpg?width=456&#038;height=30\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00cen ce prive\u015fte o eventual\u0103 criz\u0103 alimentar\u0103 \u015fi a\u015fa-zisa &#8220;toleran\u0163\u0103 a P\u0103m\u00e2ntului&#8221;, exist\u0103 \u00een general doua curente divergente de opinie: malthusianismul &#8211; care consider\u0103 \u00een mare c\u0103 resursele P\u0103m\u00e2ntului se \u00eenmultesc \u00eentr-un ritm mult mai sc\u0103zut dec\u00e2t popula\u0163ia, neput\u00e2nd face fa\u0163\u0103 la nesf\u00e2r\u015fit, \u015fi cornucopianismul &#8211; care consider\u0103 c\u0103 avansul tehnologic \u015fi eficientizarea vor face ca necesarul de resurse s\u0103 fie asigurat mereu.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessmagazin.ro\/galerie-video\/special\/planeta-la-7-miliarde-video-8909210#video\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"30\" width=\"576\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5548\/8909210\/4\/banda-7mild.jpg?width=576&#038;height=30\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;O combina\u0163ie \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 ofer\u0103, cred, cel mai probabil scenariu &#8211; unele calcule dau cifra de 12 miliarde ca fiind maximul pe care P\u0103m\u00e2ntul ar putea s\u0103-l sus\u0163ina cu actualele resurse. Dup\u0103 multe previziuni, popula\u0163ia lumii nu va atinge \u00een urmatoarea sut\u0103 de ani aceast\u0103 cifr\u0103, \u00eencep\u00e2nd chiar s\u0103 scad\u0103 dup\u0103 ce va fi atins un maxim estimat la aproximativ zece miliarde de oameni. \u00centre timp, omenirea, prin prisma avansului tehnologic \u015fi al inova\u0163iilor, coroborat cu o schimbare comportamental\u0103 \u015fi a obiceiurilor de consum, va fi g\u0103sit probabil solu\u0163ii pentru supravie\u0163uire&#8221;, a mai declarat Nemes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Se estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 cet\u0103\u0163eanul cu num\u0103rul opt miliarde se va na\u015fte peste 14 ani \u2013 pentru prima oar\u0103 \u00een istorie c\u00e2nd durata de atingere a urm\u0103torului miliard cre\u015fte fa\u0163\u0103 de perioada precedent\u0103&#8221;, declar\u0103 Szabolcs Nemes, consultant \u00een cadrul companiei Roland Berger.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[530],"tags":[25044,9696,7177,2090,8988,25437],"class_list":["post-52065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analize","tag-7-miliarde","tag-efecte","tag-populatie","tag-roland-berger","tag-special","tag-szabolcs-nemes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52065"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52065\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68895,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52065\/revisions\/68895"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}