{"id":50390,"date":"2011-09-06T19:37:46","date_gmt":"2011-09-06T19:37:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=50390"},"modified":"2026-04-03T05:34:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T05:34:40","slug":"costurile-iesirii-unei-tari-din-zona-euro-intre-9-500-si-11-500-de-euro-locuitor-in-primul-an","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=50390","title":{"rendered":"Costurile ie\u015firii unei \u0163\u0103ri din zona euro: \u00eentre 9.500 \u015fi 11.500 de euro\/locuitor \u00een primul an"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Conform unui <a href=\"http:\/\/www.scribd.com\/doc\/64020390\/xrm45126\" target=\"_blank\">raport al UBS<\/a> citat de presa elen\u0103, consecin\u0163ele ie\u015firii unei \u0163\u0103ri cu finan\u0163e slabe din zona euro ar fi incapacitatea de plat\u0103 a datoriilor statului, falimente \u00een r\u00e2ndul companiilor, o pr\u0103bu\u015fire a sistemului bancar \u015fi a comer\u0163ului cu exteriorul. \u00cen plus, moneda na\u0163ional\u0103 a \u0163\u0103rii respective ar c\u0103dea cu circa 60% fa\u0163\u0103 de euro, neput\u00e2nd s\u0103 ajute economia s\u0103 dep\u0103\u015feasc\u0103 dezavantajele p\u0103r\u0103sirii zonei euro.<\/p>\n<p>Banca estimeaz\u0103 la 9.500-11.500 de euro pe cap de locuitor costurile implicate numai \u00een primul an de p\u0103r\u0103sirea zonei euro de c\u0103tre o \u0163ar\u0103 cu finan\u0163e slabe, pentru a sc\u0103dea la 3.000-4.000 de euro \u00een anii urm\u0103tori. \u00cen total, costurile ar echivala cu 4-50% din PIB \u00een primul an.<\/p>\n<p>Pentru o \u0163ar\u0103 cu finan\u0163e puternice, ca Germania, consecin\u0163ele p\u0103r\u0103sirii zonei euro ar \u00eensemna falimente de companii, nevoia recapitaliz\u0103rii sistemului bancar \u015fi pr\u0103bu\u015firea comer\u0163ului cu exteriorul. Pentru fiecare adult \u015fi copil german, costurile ar fi de 6.000-8.000 de euro \u00een primul an &#8211; echivalentul a 20-25% din PIB &#8211; \u015fi de 3.500-4.500 \u00een anii urm\u0103tori.<\/p>\n<p>Prin compara\u0163ie, costul salv\u0103rii Greciei, al Irlandei \u015fi al Portugaliei \u00een eventualitatea unei intr\u0103ri a acestora \u00een incapacitate de plat\u0103 ar dep\u0103\u015fi doar cu pu\u0163in 1.000 de euro pe cap de locuitor \u00een cheltuieli totale.<\/p>\n<p>Fragmentarea zonei euro ar implica, de asemenea, costuri politice, \u00eentruc\u00e2t conceptul de Europ\u0103 unit\u0103 \u015fi autoritatea ei ca atare pe scena interna\u0163ional\u0103 ar deveni desuete \u015fi ar ap\u0103rea riscuri de r\u0103zboi civil ori de ascensiune a unei guvern\u0103ri autoritare sau militare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Banca elve\u0163ian\u0103 UBS estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 probabilitatea ca o \u0163ar\u0103 considerat\u0103 &#8220;verig\u0103 slab\u0103&#8221; \u00een ansamblul zonei euro s\u0103 abandoneze uniunea monetar\u0103 este zero, \u00eentruc\u00e2t costurile ie\u015firii din zona euro ar atinge 40-50% din PIB numai \u00een primul an.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7283,182,438,7921,5842,13308,7735,17312,7137,349,24262,13242],"class_list":["post-50390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-costuri","tag-criza","tag-europa","tag-germania","tag-grecia","tag-irlanda","tag-moneda","tag-portugalia","tag-ubs","tag-ue","tag-uniune-monetara","tag-zona-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50390","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=50390"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50390\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":67406,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50390\/revisions\/67406"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=50390"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=50390"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=50390"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}