{"id":46677,"date":"2011-03-27T13:50:00","date_gmt":"2011-03-27T13:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=46677"},"modified":"2026-04-02T19:56:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T19:56:32","slug":"ajunge-euro-la-4-lei-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=46677","title":{"rendered":"Ajunge euro la 4 lei?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In realitate, bancii centrale, martora la vanzarile de lei ale<br \/>\ninvestitorilor de pe piata, nu-i convine catusi de putin o<br \/>\napreciere brusca si brutala, nu numai fiindca aceasta loveste<br \/>\nexporturile, dar si fiindca BNR n-a incurajat niciodata<br \/>\nvolatilitatea, periculoasa pentru economie si cand leul creste, si<br \/>\ncand scade. Faptul a fost subliniat si de Cristian Popa,<br \/>\nviceguvernatorul BNR, care a declarat intr-un interviu pentru<br \/>\nReuters ca BNR &#8220;ramane preocupata&#8221; de posibilitatea unei<br \/>\nvolatilitati excesive a cursului, &#8220;daca aceasta ar avea loc&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\n\"http:\/\/www.businessmagazin.ro\/galerie-foto\/cover-story\/cat-va-fi-cursul-leului-peste-sase-luni-7890476\/slide-6\"\ntarget=\"_blank\"><img height=\"31\" width=\"453\" src=\n\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5531\/8101582\/2\/banda-bancheri.jpg?width=453&#038;height=31\"\nalt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nicolaie Alexandru Chidesciuc, economist-sef al ING, considera<br \/>\nca o interventie a BNR prin cumpararea de euro, pentru a limita<br \/>\naprecierea, ar fi probabila la un nivel de 4,05-4,10 lei\/euro si<br \/>\n&#8220;foarte probabila&#8221; daca s-ar ajunge la 4 lei\/euro. &#8220;Este greu de<br \/>\ncrezut ca se va ajunge la 4 lei\/euro, dar nu exclus. Un leu prea<br \/>\nputernic ar sfarsi prin a afecta exporturile, dar aceasta s-ar<br \/>\nintampla oricum doar in a doua jumatate a anului&#8221;, considera<br \/>\nChidesciuc.<\/p>\n<p>Analistul ING estimeaza ca o depreciere treptata a leului fata<br \/>\nde euro va avea loc doar incepand cu luna iulie sau ulterior, cand<br \/>\ninflatia este asteptata sa scada gratie efectului de baza legat de<br \/>\nfaptul ca anul trecut TVA a fost majorata in iulie. Totusi,<br \/>\nChidesciuc nu crede ca BNR va fi dispusa sa permita deprecieri<br \/>\nample ale leului, avand in vedere ca acestea ar stimula inflatia si<br \/>\nar creste totodata si asteptarile privind inflatia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A inceput luni la 4,1685 lei si a terminat vineri la 4,0881: caderea euro in fata leului din ultima saptamana, intrecand toate asteptarile, a pus la lucru din nou vechile speculatii privind interventiile BNR care ar lucra ca sa limiteze pagubele provocate de o inflatie incapatanata, ba chiar i-a insufletit pe unii sa infiereze BNR ca ar vrea sa impuna un leu puternic ca sa dea impresia ca economia nu e slaba.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[15679,185,7733,188,930,560,7136,184,8210,8349,8674],"class_list":["post-46677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-apreciere","tag-bnr","tag-curs-valutar","tag-economie","tag-euro","tag-exporturi","tag-finante","tag-inflatie","tag-ing","tag-leu","tag-record"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=46677"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64034,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46677\/revisions\/64034"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=46677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=46677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=46677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}