{"id":42791,"date":"2010-09-10T15:22:44","date_gmt":"2010-09-10T15:22:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=42791"},"modified":"2026-04-02T18:12:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-02T18:12:16","slug":"inflatia-a-crescut-sub-asteptari-prognoza-ramane-favorabila-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=42791","title":{"rendered":"Inflatia a crescut sub asteptari, prognoza ramane favorabila"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\n<o:DocumentProperties>\n<o:Version>12.00<\/o:Version>\n<\/o:DocumentProperties>\n<\/xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\n<w:WordDocument>\n<w:View>Normal<\/w:View>\n<w:Zoom>0<\/w:Zoom>\n<w:TrackMoves \/>\n<w:TrackFormatting \/>\n<w:DoNotShowPropertyChanges \/>\n<w:HyphenationZone>21<\/w:HyphenationZone>\n<w:PunctuationKerning \/>\n<w:ValidateAgainstSchemas 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5.4pt;\nmso-para-margin:0cm;\nmso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt;\nmso-pagination:widow-orphan;\nfont-size:11.0pt;\nfont-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\nmso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\nmso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\nmso-fareast-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\nmso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast;\nmso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\nmso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\nmso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\nmso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\n<\/style>\n\n\n<![endif]--><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"\">Desi aceasta este cea mai inalta rata anuala a<br \/>\ninflatiei din august 2008 incoace (8,02%), saltul fata de luna<br \/>\nprecedenta este cu mult mai mic decat cel marcat de preturile de<br \/>\nconsum din iunie pana in iulie &#8211; de la 4,38% la 7,14% &#8211; ca efect al<br \/>\nmajorarii TVA la 24%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">Cel mai mult s-au scumpit in august<br \/>\nserviciile de apa si canalizare (2,51%), transportul urban (1,2%),<br \/>\nrespectiv legumele (1,95%), fructele exotice (1,7%) si ouale<br \/>\n(1,26%), in timp ce painea si produsele de panificatie s-au scumpit<br \/>\ncu 0,27%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">Estimarea Asociatiei Analistilor<br \/>\nFinanciar-Bancari din Romania avea in vedere o inflatie lunara de<br \/>\n0,4%, respectiv o rata anuala de 7,7%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">&#8220;Tinand cont de scaderea puterii de<br \/>\ncumparare si de masurile din pachetul de austeritate al Guvernului,<br \/>\neste probabil ca a doua runda de efecte ale majorarii TVA sa fie<br \/>\nlimitata, desi exista zone in care preturile ar putea creste mai<br \/>\nrepede in perioada urmatoare, in special in servicii&#8221;, apreciaza<br \/>\nDumitru Dulgheru, analist in cadrul BCR. Dulgheru noteaza ca pana<br \/>\nacum,<\/span> <span style=\"\">aprecierea leului, care a impiedicat<br \/>\ncresterea tarifelor la serviciile de telecomunicatii, si scaderea<br \/>\npreturilor la carburanti au contrabalansat scumpirile din grupa<br \/>\nalimentelor si a serviciilor.<br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">Banca isi mentine estimarea privind o<br \/>\ninflatie de 8% la sfarsitul anului si considera ca BNR va mentine<br \/>\ndobanda-cheie neschimbata pana atunci, la 6,25%, &#8220;desi nu trebuie<br \/>\nexclusa o eventuala reducere a rezervelor minime obligatorii ale<br \/>\nbancilor comerciale, avand in vedere ca sectorul privat are inca<br \/>\nnevoie de sprijin suplimentar pentru a depasi efectele severe ale<br \/>\nrecesiunii&#8221;.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">Analistii Raiffeisen Bank Romania<br \/>\nconsidera la randul lor ca, dupa ce efectul de transmitere a<br \/>\ncresterii TVA asupra preturilor a fost incomplet intr-o prima faza<br \/>\n(67%), sunt de asteptat &#8220;efecte slabe in faza a doua, din cauza<br \/>\ncererii scazute de consum pe piata interna&#8221;. Raiffeisen are in<br \/>\nvedere o inflatie de 8,5% la sfarsitul anului.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify; line-height: normal;\" class=\n\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"\">In urma cresterii TVA, dar si a<br \/>\nasteptarilor privind evolutia preturilor administrate si a<br \/>\naccizelor, BNR a modificat prognoza de inflatie pentru 2011, de la<br \/>\n2,8% la 3,1%, dupa ce pentru anul in curs, estimarea privind rata<br \/>\ninflatiei a fost majorata de la 3,7% la 7,8%. Tinta de inflatie<br \/>\npentru acest an este de 3,5% plus\/minus 1%, iar pentru 2011 este de<br \/>\n3%.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cresterile de preturi la utilitati, transport public, legume si fructe exotice au dus la o inflatie lunara de 0,23% in august, sub asteptarile de 0,4% sau chiar mai mult ale analistilor, determinand o rata anuala a inflatiei de 7,58%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7208],"tags":[426,185,9817,7458,7136,184,340,526,7823],"class_list":["post-42791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-servicii-financiare","tag-alimente","tag-bnr","tag-consum","tag-dobanda","tag-finante","tag-inflatie","tag-preturi","tag-tarife","tag-utilitati"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42791","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42791"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42791\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60445,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42791\/revisions\/60445"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42791"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42791"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42791"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}