\nTot mai mul\u0163i exper\u0163i compar\u0103 evolu\u0163ia recent\u0103 a pie\u0163ei cafelei cu cea a pie\u0163ei de cacao, dup\u0103 ce boabele de cafea arabica au atins maxime istorice pe fondul vremii nefavorabile din regiunile tropicale \u015fi al perturb\u0103rilor comerciale.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eA\u015f fi \u015focat\u0103 s\u0103 nu se \u00eent\u00e2mple\u201d, a declarat Carley Garner, strateg senior pe m\u0103rfuri la DeCarley Trading, divizie a Zaner. \u201eCred c\u0103 cafeaua este noua cacao\u201d, a spus ea pentru Reuters.<\/p>\n
\nCompara\u0163ia vine dup\u0103 pr\u0103bu\u015firea spectaculoas\u0103 a cota\u0163iilor la cacao. \u00cen decembrie 2024, cacao a atins la New York un nivel record de peste 12.000 de dolari pe ton\u0103, dup\u0103 ce vremea slab\u0103 din \u0163\u0103rile produc\u0103toare a redus oferta. La pu\u0163in peste un an distan\u0163\u0103, pre\u0163urile au sc\u0103zut cu peste 70%, pe fondul reducerii consumului de ciocolat\u0103 premium, al mic\u015for\u0103rii gramajelor de c\u0103tre produc\u0103tori \u015fi al reformul\u0103rii produselor cu ingrediente mai ieftine.<\/p>\n
\nPe pia\u0163a cafelei, arabica a urcat la un maxim istoric \u00een februarie 2025 \u015fi a r\u0103mas la niveluri ridicate dup\u0103 ce tarifele SUA au distorsionat comer\u0163ul. Totu\u015fi, a\u015ftept\u0103rile privind o revenire puternic\u0103 a produc\u0163iei \u00een Brazilia, cel mai mare produc\u0103tor mondial, au \u00eenceput deja s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 pre\u0163urile \u00een jos \u00een acest an.<\/p>\n
\nGarner estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0163ul cafelei ar putea cobor\u00ee la 2 dolari pe livr\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul anului, consider\u00e2nd c\u0103 nivelurile ridicate actuale afecteaz\u0103 cererea. O prognoz\u0103 \u015fi mai pesimist\u0103 pentru cafea vine de la Digby Beatson-Hird, analist la Avere Commodities, care vede contractele de cafea de la New York sc\u0103z\u00e2nd la 1,80 dolari pe livr\u0103 \u00een acest an. Pia\u0163a a \u00eenchis zilele acestea la aproape 2,93 dolari pe livr\u0103.<\/p>\n
\nPresiunea asupra cererii \u00eencepe s\u0103 fie vizibil\u0103 \u015fi \u00een comportamentul consumatorilor. Un sondaj realizat de NCA \u00een ianuarie, pe un e\u015fantion de 1.500 de persoane din SUA, arat\u0103 c\u0103 61% dintre responden\u0163i au luat m\u0103suri pentru a reduce cheltuielile cu cafeaua. Unii au mers mai rar la cafenele \u015fi au b\u0103ut mai mult\u0103 cafea acas\u0103, \u00een timp ce al\u0163ii au trecut la m\u0103rci mai ieftine. Totu\u015fi, organiza\u0163ia a precizat c\u0103 num\u0103rul total al consumatorilor de cafea nu a sc\u0103zut.<\/p>\n
\nIndustria s-a adaptat la r\u00e2ndul ei. David Behrends, managing partner \u015fi \u015fef al diviziei de trading la Sucafina SA, unul dintre cei mai mari comercian\u0163i de cafea din lume, a spus c\u0103 sortimentele de arabica mai scumpe, precum cele din Columbia \u015fi America Central\u0103, au pierdut cot\u0103 de pia\u0163\u0103, \u00een timp ce boabele de robusta, mai ieftine, au c\u00e2\u015ftigat teren.<\/p>\n
\nCarlos Mera, analist-\u015fef pentru cafea la banca olandez\u0103 Rabobank, afirm\u0103 c\u0103 cererea de cafea a stagnat \u00een 2025, f\u0103r\u0103 cre\u015ftere fa\u0163\u0103 de ritmul istoric mediu de 2,3% pe an \u00eenregistrat \u00eenainte de pandemie. Potrivit acestuia, ieftinirea recent\u0103 a cafelei se va transmite \u00een cele din urm\u0103 \u015fi la consumatori, ceea ce ar putea sus\u0163ine o revenire a cererii, estimat\u0103 la 2% \u00een 2026.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Pre\u0163urile cafelei ar putea intra pe o pant\u0103 descendent\u0103 accentuat\u0103 \u00een lunile urm\u0103toare, dup\u0103 modelul urmat de cacao, sus\u0163in anali\u015fti \u015fi traderi din industrie reuni\u0163i s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103 la conven\u0163ia anual\u0103 a National Coffee Association, desf\u0103\u015furat\u0103 la Tampa, \u00een Florida.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[307,482],"class_list":["post-246235","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-cafea","tag-pret"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246235","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=246235"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/246235\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=246235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=246235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=246235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}