{"id":243560,"date":"2025-12-23T16:52:50","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T16:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=243560"},"modified":"2025-12-23T16:52:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T16:52:50","slug":"economia-rusiei-da-primele-semne-de-oboseala-dupa-boom-ul-de-razboi-salariile-au-inceput-sa-scada-desi-piata-muncii-e-foarte-efervescenta-somajul-a-atins-un-nivel-record-consumul-e-pe-cale-sa-piard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=243560","title":{"rendered":"Economia Rusiei d\u0103 primele semne de oboseal\u0103 dup\u0103 boom-ul de r\u0103zboi: Salariile au \u00eenceput s\u0103 scad\u0103 de\u015fi pia\u0163a muncii e foarte efervescent\u0103, \u015fomajul a atins un nivel record, consumul e pe cale s\u0103 piard\u0103 din av\u00e2nt, iar economi\u015ftii avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 stagfla\u0163ia \u015fi recesiunea a\u015fteapt\u0103 dup\u0103 col\u0163"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nCre\u015fterea salariilor \u00een Rusia a \u00eencetinit chiar \u015fi \u00een contextul unei pie\u0163e a muncii extrem de tensionate, semnal\u00e2nd o r\u0103cire a economiei calibrate pentru r\u0103zboi. \u00cen noiembrie, salariile pentru noii angaja\u0163i au crescut doar cu&nbsp;6,9% fa\u0163\u0103 de anul precedent,&nbsp; fa\u0163\u0103 de 18,9% \u00een ianuarie 2025, potrivit Financial Times.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceast\u0103 \u00eencetinire survine \u00eentr-un moment \u00een care&nbsp;\u015fomajul se men\u0163ine la un nivel record de 2,2%, suger\u00e2nd dezechilibre tot mai mari \u00een economia Rusiei, pe fondul continu\u0103rii conflictului din Ucraina.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201e\u00cencetinirea cre\u015fterii salariilor \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 \u015fi al\u0163i indicatori &#8211; inclusiv consumul \u015fi taxele aferente &#8211; vor urma aceast\u0103 tendin\u0163\u0103\u201d, explic\u0103 Elina Ribakova, expert \u00een economia rus\u0103 la Kyiv School of Economics.<\/p>\n<p>\nEstim\u0103rile salariale se bazeaz\u0103 pe date \u00een timp real din anun\u0163urile de angajare din Rusia, analizate cu ajutorul inteligen\u0163ei artificiale de platforma Indeed. Aceast\u0103 metod\u0103 ofer\u0103 un&nbsp;indicator care reflect\u0103 tendin\u0163ele emergente ale pie\u0163ei muncii, mai degrab\u0103 dec\u00e2t performan\u0163ele trecute.<\/p>\n<p>\nNum\u0103rul de posturi vacante a sc\u0103zut, \u00een special \u00een sectoarele&nbsp;minerit \u015fi transporturi, \u00een timp ce statisticile oficiale confirm\u0103 o r\u0103cire dup\u0103 boom-ul economic de la \u00eenceputul r\u0103zboiului. \u00cen 2022 \u015fi 2023, cre\u015fterea PIB-ului a dep\u0103\u015fit 4%, alimentat\u0103 de veniturile din energie \u015fi relaxarea politicilor fiscale.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceast\u0103 infuzie de capital a permis cre\u015fteri salariale rapide pentru a atrage for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103, \u00een contextul&nbsp;emigra\u0163iei masive, mobiliz\u0103rii \u015fi declinului demografic. \u00cens\u0103 aceast\u0103 cre\u015ftere a salariilor neacoperit\u0103 de productivitate a alimentat infla\u0163ia, d\u00e2nd b\u0103t\u0103i de cap b\u0103ncii centrale a Rusiei.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomia a \u00eenceput s\u0103 se r\u0103ceasc\u0103 \u00een 2024, cu o cre\u015ftere estimat\u0103 a PIB-ului de doar 1% \u00een 2025. Indicele PMI al Rusiei a sc\u0103zut la 48 de puncte \u00een noiembrie, marc\u00e2nd&nbsp;a \u015fasea lun\u0103 consecutiv\u0103 de declin.<\/p>\n<p>\nDmitry Belousov, conduc\u0103torul unui think-tank economic de stat, avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 Rusia se afl\u0103 \u201ela limita stagfla\u0163iei pentru prima dat\u0103 de la \u00eenceputul lui 2023\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\nDeficitul de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne ridicat, peste&nbsp;25%, iar guvernul a implementat m\u0103suri neobi\u015fnuite pentru a suplini lipsa de angaja\u0163i, inclusiv admiterea timpurie a elevilor care nu au promovat examenele de clasa a IX-a \u00een formarea profesional\u0103 \u015fi impunerea unor stagii obligatorii de trei ani \u00een spitalele de stat pentru absolven\u0163ii de medicin\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen acela\u015fi timp,&nbsp;programul de lucru a atins un nivel record de 38 de ore pe s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103, \u00een contrast cu tendin\u0163a din economiile avansate, unde orele lucrate scad.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceste evolu\u0163ii sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia rus\u0103, afectat\u0103 de sanc\u0163iuni, sc\u0103derea veniturilor din energie \u015fi deficitul cronic de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103, se confrunt\u0103 cu&nbsp;presiuni tot mai mari asupra salariilor \u015fi finan\u0163elor publice.<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cre\u015fterea salariilor \u00een Rusia a \u00eencetinit chiar \u015fi \u00een contextul unei pie\u0163e a muncii extrem de tensionate, semnal\u00e2nd o r\u0103cire a economiei calibrate pentru r\u0103zboi. \u00cen noiembrie, salariile pentru noii angaja\u0163i au crescut doar cu&nbsp;6,9% fa\u0163\u0103 de anul precedent,&nbsp; fa\u0163\u0103 de 18,9% \u00een ianuarie 2025, potrivit Financial Times. Aceast\u0103 \u00eencetinire survine \u00eentr-un moment \u00een care&nbsp;\u015fomajul [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,188,10664,365,34,8327],"class_list":["post-243560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-economie","tag-incetinire","tag-rusia","tag-salarii","tag-scadere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=243560"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/243560\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=243560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=243560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=243560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}