{"id":239415,"date":"2025-08-20T14:32:48","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T14:32:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=239415"},"modified":"2025-08-20T14:32:48","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T14:32:48","slug":"cine-conduce-cu-adevarat-economia-guvernele-imping-bancile-centrale-in-corzi-in-vreme-ce-datoriile-record-rescriu-regulile-jocului-financiar-global","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=239415","title":{"rendered":"Cine conduce cu adev\u0103rat economia? Guvernele \u00eemping b\u0103ncile centrale \u00een corzi, \u00een vreme ce datoriile record rescriu regulile jocului financiar global"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nMarile economii ale lumii intr\u0103 \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 periculoas\u0103 de \u201edomina\u0163ie fiscal\u0103\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 investitorii. Conceptul descrie situa\u0163ia \u00een care b\u0103ncile centrale sunt constr\u00e2nse s\u0103 men\u0163in\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile artificial sc\u0103zute pentru a atenua costurile uria\u015fe ale datoriilor guvernamentale, informeaz\u0103 Financial Times.<\/p>\n<p>\nCel mai vizibil caz este cel al Statelor Unite, unde pre\u015fedintele Donald Trump preseaz\u0103 public Rezerva Federal\u0103 s\u0103 reduc\u0103 drastic dob\u00e2nzile, \u00een \u00eencercarea de a economisi miliarde de dolari din pl\u0103\u0163ile aferente datoriei.<\/p>\n<p>\nDar problema nu se limiteaz\u0103 la Washington. Marea Britanie \u015fi Japonia se confrunt\u0103 cu provoc\u0103ri similare: niveluri record ale datoriei \u015fi costuri de \u00eemprumut tot mai ridicate, care for\u0163eaz\u0103 b\u0103ncile centrale s\u0103 am\u00e2ne sau s\u0103 tempereze planurile de restr\u00e2ngere a bilan\u0163urilor.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eCombinarea datoriilor uria\u015fe cu cre\u015fterea costurilor de finan\u0163are creeaz\u0103 un stimulent politic imens pentru guvernele din \u00eentreaga lume s\u0103 preseze b\u0103ncile centrale s\u0103 reduc\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 Kenneth Rogoff, profesor la Harvard \u015fi fost economist-\u015fef al FMI.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe\u015fi SUA se remarc\u0103 prin confruntarea deschis\u0103 dintre administra\u0163ia preziden\u0163ial\u0103 \u015fi Fed, aceea\u015fi tendin\u0163\u0103 se simte \u015fi \u00een alte \u0163\u0103ri, unde pie\u0163ele pun presiune pe b\u0103ncile centrale s\u0103 intervin\u0103 pentru a calma cre\u015fterea randamentelor obliga\u0163iunilor. \u201eAm intrat \u00eentr-o nou\u0103 er\u0103 a domina\u0163iei fiscale\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat Rogoff.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen prezent, discrepan\u0163a dintre dob\u00e2nzile pe termen scurt &#8211; controlate \u00een mare parte de politica monetar\u0103 &#8211; \u015fi cele pe termen lung, influen\u0163ate de pie\u0163e, reflect\u0103 \u00eengrijorarea c\u0103 b\u0103ncile centrale vor men\u0163ine o politic\u0103 prea relaxat\u0103 pentru a controla infla\u0163ia.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen SUA, diferen\u0163a dintre randamentele titlurilor de stat pe 2 ani \u015fi cele pe 30 de ani este la unul dintre cele mai mari niveluri de dup\u0103 \u00eenceputul lui 2022. Randamentele pe termen scurt scad, pe fondul a\u015ftept\u0103rilor de reduceri de dob\u00e2nd\u0103, \u00een timp ce cele pe termen lung continu\u0103 s\u0103 urce.<\/p>\n<p>\nSitua\u0163ia este \u015fi mai dramatic\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie, unde randamentul obliga\u0163iunilor guvernamentale pe 30 de ani a urcat la 5,6%, cel mai ridicat nivel din ultimii 25 de ani, fa\u0163\u0103 de aproximativ 4,9% \u00een cazul titlurilor americane echivalente.<\/p>\n<p>\nDatele recente privind infla\u0163ia din SUA au alimentat din nou atacurile pre\u015fedintelui Trump la adresa \u015fefului Fed, Jay Powell. Reac\u0163ia pie\u0163elor a fost paradoxal\u0103: randamentele pe doi ani au sc\u0103zut u\u015for, pe fondul specula\u0163iilor privind t\u0103ierile de dob\u00e2nd\u0103, dar randamentele pe 30 de ani au crescut, semnal\u00e2nd ne\u00eencrederea investitorilor \u00een stabilitatea politicii monetare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Marile economii ale lumii intr\u0103 \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 periculoas\u0103 de \u201edomina\u0163ie fiscal\u0103\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 investitorii. Conceptul descrie situa\u0163ia \u00een care b\u0103ncile centrale sunt constr\u00e2nse s\u0103 men\u0163in\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile artificial sc\u0103zute pentru a atenua costurile uria\u015fe ale datoriilor guvernamentale, informeaz\u0103 Financial Times. Cel mai vizibil caz este cel al Statelor Unite, unde pre\u015fedintele Donald Trump preseaz\u0103 public Rezerva Federal\u0103 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[15146,7267,30159,7283,246,750,187,293,7633,8351,8327],"class_list":["post-239415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-avertizare","tag-banci","tag-caz","tag-costuri","tag-crestere","tag-datorii","tag-dobanzi","tag-intrare","tag-investitori","tag-randamente","tag-scadere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=239415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239415\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=239415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=239415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=239415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}