{"id":239409,"date":"2025-08-20T14:29:13","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T14:29:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=239409"},"modified":"2025-08-20T14:29:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T14:29:13","slug":"analiza-putin-nu-poate-cuceri-ucraina-prin-forta-dar-cauta-sa-o-primeasca-la-masa-negocierilor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=239409","title":{"rendered":"Analiz\u0103: Putin nu poate cuceri Ucraina prin for\u0163\u0103, dar caut\u0103 s\u0103 o primeasc\u0103 la masa negocierilor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nPre\u015fedintele Rusiei cere o garan\u0163ie ferm\u0103 c\u0103 Ucraina nu va fi acceptat\u0103 \u00een NATO, ceea ce ar echivala cu o asigurare c\u0103 poate reveni pentru noi teritorii mai t\u00e2rziu.<\/p>\n<p>\nInforma\u0163iile serviciilor de ap\u0103rare britanice au estimat mar\u0163i c\u0103, \u00een ritmul actual, for\u0163elor lui Putin le-ar trebui peste patru ani \u015fi aproape dou\u0103 milioane de victime \u00een plus, mor\u0163i sau r\u0103ni\u0163i, pentru a cuceri aceste regiuni prin for\u0163\u0103. Asta pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 peste un milion de victime pe care Rusia le-a suferit deja, inclusiv 250.000 de solda\u0163i uci\u015fi sau disp\u0103ru\u0163i, considera\u0163i mor\u0163i. Pentru a-\u015fi \u00eendeplini cererile pe c\u00e2mpul de lupt\u0103, Putin ar trebui s\u0103 supun\u0103 Rusia la o suferin\u0163\u0103 de dou\u0103 ori mai mare dec\u00e2t p\u00e2n\u0103 acum, risc\u00e2nd totodat\u0103 o revolt\u0103 intern\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nUn set de cereri at\u00e2t de \u00eendr\u0103zne\u0163 \u015fi, \u00een alte circumstan\u0163e, nerealist arat\u0103 c\u0103 Putin, fost agent KGB \u015fi negociator experimentat, crede c\u0103 \u00eel poate p\u0103c\u0103li pe pre\u015fedintele Donald Trump, scrie colonelul Tim Collins, fost ofi\u0163er al armatei britanice.<\/p>\n<p>\nIstoria arat\u0103 c\u0103 acest r\u0103zboi de agresiune, parte a ambi\u0163iilor mai mari ale lui Putin de a restaura vechiul imperiu rus \u015fi de a domina Europa, nu poate fi \u00eencheiat dec\u00e2t printr-o \u00eenfr\u00e2ngere a Rusiei care s\u0103 duc\u0103 la o descurajare real\u0103. Dar asta nu este ceea ce se negociaz\u0103 acum.<\/p>\n<p>\nViitoarea \u00eenfr\u00e2ngere a Occidentului, care ar putea rezulta dintr-un acord de pace incorect, nu ar \u00eensemna o repetare a Holocaustului, ci apari\u0163ia unei Europe dominate de Rusia. Cei mai amenin\u0163a\u0163i ar fi protestatarii tineri din campusuri \u015fi de pe str\u0103zi, precum \u015fi comunitatea LGBTQ+, care ar disp\u0103rea complet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Putin \u015fi-a f\u0103cut clar\u0103 pozi\u0163ia \u00eenaintea negocierilor trilaterale decisive. El vrea un rezultat maximal, inclusiv retragerea for\u0163elor ucrainene din cele patru regiuni ucrainene recunoscute interna\u0163ional: Luhansk, Done\u0163k, Zaporijjia \u015fi Herson, potrivit unei analize Reuters.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[365,366],"class_list":["post-239409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-rusia","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=239409"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239409\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=239409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=239409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=239409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}