\nIndicele pre\u0163urilor de consum din iulie a dep\u0103\u015fit semnificativ a\u015ftept\u0103rile, ajung\u00e2nd la 7,8% an\/an fa\u0163\u0103 de 6,5% an\/an estimat conform consensului Bloomberg, \u00een accelerare fa\u0163\u0103 de 5,7% an\/an \u00een luna precedent\u0103, potrivit unei analize a Erste Group, care de\u0163ine BCR \u00een Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n
\nCre\u015fterea a fost puternic influen\u0163at\u0103 de majorarea pre\u0163urilor la energie electric\u0103, care au avansat cu aproape 63% fa\u0163\u0103 de luna precedent\u0103, dup\u0103 eliminarea plafonului.<\/p>\n
\nBCR \u015fi Erste anticipau anterior un nivel al infla\u0163iei de 6,9% an\/an pentru luna iulie, lu\u00e2nd \u00een calcul o cre\u015ftere lunar\u0103 estimat\u0103 de 30% a tarifului la electricitate. Potrivit b\u0103ncii, infla\u0163ia de baz\u0103 (CORE2 ajustat) s-a situat \u00een iulie la 5,8% an\/an, \u00een linie cu prognoza, dar \u00een u\u015foar\u0103 accelerare fa\u0163\u0103 de 5,7% \u00een iunie.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen urma acestor evolu\u0163ii, BCR a revizuit \u00een sus prognoza de infla\u0163ie pentru finalul anului, de la 7,5% la 8,8% an\/an \u015fi estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 v\u00e2rful va fi atins \u00een august, la 9,2%.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eLuna viitoare vor intra \u00een vigoare major\u0103rile de TVA \u015fi accize, iar infla\u0163ia este a\u015fteptat\u0103 s\u0103 accelereze \u00een continuare. \u00cen prezent, estim\u0103m c\u0103 v\u00e2rful infla\u0163iei din acest an va fi de 9,2% an\/an, cel mai probabil \u00een luna august.\u201d, spun anali\u015ftii b\u0103ncii.<\/p>\n
\nPe termen mediu, institu\u0163ia men\u0163ine estimarea pentru finalul lui 2026 la 3,7% an\/an, consider\u00e2nd c\u0103 infla\u0163ia va \u00eencetini semnificativ odat\u0103 ce \u015focurile din iulie \u015fi august vor disp\u0103rea din baza de calcul. Totu\u015fi, eliminarea plafonului pre\u0163urilor la gaze naturale, prev\u0103zut\u0103 pentru aprilie 2026, este v\u0103zut\u0103 ca un risc suplimentar.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte politica monetar\u0103, BCR estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 rata-cheie va r\u0103m\u00e2ne la 6,50% p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul lui 2025, f\u0103r\u0103 reduceri anticipate \u00eenainte de februarie 2026, c\u00e2nd ar putea fi anun\u0163at\u0103 prima sc\u0103dere dup\u0103 o pauz\u0103 prelungit\u0103, dac\u0103 perspectivele infla\u0163iei se \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163esc.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen termeni lunari, pre\u0163urile de consum au crescut \u00een iulie cu 2,68%. Alimentele s-au scumpit cu 0,39%, bunurile nealimentare cu 5,06% (pe fondul cre\u015fterii de 61,57% a energiei electrice), iar serviciile cu 1,01%, toate pe un profil de cre\u015ftere generalizat\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Indicele pre\u0163urilor de consum din iulie a dep\u0103\u015fit semnificativ a\u015ftept\u0103rile, ajung\u00e2nd la 7,8% an\/an fa\u0163\u0103 de 6,5% an\/an estimat conform consensului Bloomberg, \u00een accelerare fa\u0163\u0103 de 5,7% an\/an \u00een luna precedent\u0103, potrivit unei analize a Erste Group, care de\u0163ine BCR \u00een Rom\u00e2nia. Cre\u015fterea a fost puternic influen\u0163at\u0103 de majorarea pre\u0163urilor la energie electric\u0103, care au […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[511],"tags":[23794,5078,7930,8887,184,8350],"class_list":["post-239244","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-afaceri","tag-august","tag-bcr","tag-erste","tag-estimare","tag-inflatie","tag-prognoza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239244","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=239244"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/239244\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=239244"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=239244"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=239244"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}