\nDup\u0103 luni de instabilitate politic\u0103, euroobliga\u0163iunile Rom\u00e2niei sunt tranzac\u0163ionate la randamente similare cu cele ale statelor cu rating speculativ (junk), oar alegerile preziden\u0163iale din weekend aduc riscuri suplimentare pentru leu \u015fi pentru datoria public\u0103, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\nVictoria surprinz\u0103toare a liderului ultrana\u0163ionalist George Simion \u00een primul tur a dus la demisia premierului, ie\u015firi masive de capital \u015fi o depreciere record a leului.<\/p>\n
\nCu un tur doi str\u00e2ns \u00eentre Simion \u015fi primarul centrist al Capitalei, Nicu\u015for Dan, pie\u0163ele r\u0103m\u00e2n tensionate.<\/p>\n
\nDatoria public\u0103 \u00een lei \u015fi-a mai revenit \u00een ultimele zile, iar cursul leului s-a stabilizat cu ajutorul interven\u0163iilor BNR, de\u015fi \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 de curs mai slab\u0103. \u00cens\u0103 presiunile de v\u00e2nzare pot reveni rapid dac\u0103 viitorul pre\u015fedinte intr\u0103 \u00een conflict cu actuala coali\u0163ie sau dac\u0103 se tergiverseaz\u0103 corectarea finan\u0163elor publice, risc\u00e2nd suspendarea fondurilor europene.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eO schimbare de guvern aduce incertitudine politic\u0103 \u015fi afecteaz\u0103 calea consolid\u0103rii fiscale\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 Mai Doan, economist la Bank of America. \u201eUE ar putea lua \u00een calcul suspendarea fondurilor \u00een iunie sau iulie\u201d.<\/p>\n
\nDatoria \u00een lei este considerat\u0103 cea mai vulnerabil\u0103. Anali\u015ftii estimeaz\u0103 o depreciere suplimentar\u0103 de 4,2% a leului p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul anului, cea mai mare din 2008 \u00eencoace.<\/p>\n
\nAcest lucru ar reflecta dezechilibrele macroeconomice tot mai ad\u00e2nci \u015fi presiunea pe rezervele valutare.<\/p>\n
\nAutorit\u0103\u0163ile \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 lini\u015fteasc\u0103 pie\u0163ele. Ministrul interimar al Finan\u0163elor, Barna T\u00e1nczos, a subliniat c\u0103 trendul bugetar este \u00een \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163ire \u015fi poate ajuta la atingerea \u0163intei de deficit de 7% din PIB. Cu toate acestea, S&P a avertizat c\u0103 ratingul \u0163\u0103rii ar avea de suferit dac\u0103 haosul politic blocheaz\u0103 reformele fiscale.<\/p>\n
\nObliga\u0163iunile rom\u00e2ne\u015fti \u00een valut\u0103 sunt deja evaluate la niveluri comparabile cu cele ale Turciei, reflect\u00e2nd ne\u00eencrederea pie\u0163elor.<\/p>\n
\nSheraz Hussain de la RBC BlueBay spune c\u0103 de\u0163ine \u00een continuare datorie rom\u00e2neasc\u0103 \u015fi anticipeaz\u0103 c\u0103 toate partidele, inclusiv cel condus de Simion, vor respecta cerin\u0163ele UE privind reducerea deficitului. \u201eDac\u0103 va deveni pre\u015fedinte, Simion va trebui s\u0103 c\u00e2\u015ftige rapid \u00eencrederea pie\u0163elor\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 el.<\/p>\n
\n\u00centre timp, economia d\u0103 semne de stagnare. PIB-ul a r\u0103mas neschimbat \u00een primul trimestru, iar cre\u015fterea anual\u0103 de doar 0,2% a fost sub toate a\u015ftept\u0103rile.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dup\u0103 luni de instabilitate politic\u0103, euroobliga\u0163iunile Rom\u00e2niei sunt tranzac\u0163ionate la randamente similare cu cele ale statelor cu rating speculativ (junk), oar alegerile preziden\u0163iale din weekend aduc riscuri suplimentare pentru leu \u015fi pentru datoria public\u0103, scrie Bloomberg. Victoria surprinz\u0103toare a liderului ultrana\u0163ionalist George Simion \u00een primul tur a dus la demisia premierului, ie\u015firi masive de capital […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7684,299,60429,23525,369,98,8562,17988],"class_list":["post-236542","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-alegeri","tag-bloomberg","tag-eurobond","tag-junk","tag-obligatiuni","tag-romania","tag-simion","tag-titluri-de-stat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236542","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=236542"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236542\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=236542"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=236542"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=236542"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}