\nCele mai bogate economii ale lumii vor trebui s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi dubleze, cel pu\u0163in, ritmul de cre\u015ftere a productivit\u0103\u0163ii pentru a men\u0163ine \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irile istorice ale nivelului de trai, \u00een contextul unei sc\u0103deri accentuate a ratei natalit\u0103\u0163ii, raporteaz\u0103 Financial Times.<\/p>\n
\nUn raport McKinsey, care analizeaz\u0103 impactul economic al acestei sc\u0103deri, arat\u0103 c\u0103 \u0163\u0103ri precum Marea Britanie, Germania, Japonia \u015fi SUA trebuie s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze o cre\u015ftere a productivit\u0103\u0163ii de dou\u0103 ori mai rapid\u0103 dec\u00e2t cea din ultimul deceniu pentru a men\u0163ine ritmul de cre\u015ftere al nivelului de trai observat \u00eencep\u00e2nd din anii 1990.<\/p>\n
\nConform raportului publicat miercuri, pentru a egala cre\u015fterea PIB-ului pe cap de locuitor \u00eenregistrat\u0103 \u00eentre 1997 \u015fi 2023, Fran\u0163a \u015fi Italia ar trebui s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi tripleze ritmul de cre\u015ftere a productivit\u0103\u0163ii \u00een urm\u0103toarele trei decenii. \u00cen cazul Spaniei, productivitatea ar trebui s\u0103 creasc\u0103 de patru ori p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2050.<\/p>\n
\nRaportul eviden\u0163iaz\u0103 consecin\u0163ele grave ale sc\u0103derii natalit\u0103\u0163ii asupra economiilor prospere, acestea devenind vulnerabile din cauza reducerii propor\u0163iei popula\u0163iei de v\u00e2rst\u0103 activ\u0103.<\/p>\n
\nDac\u0103 nu se iau m\u0103suri, \u201etinerii vor mo\u015fteni o economie cu o cre\u015ftere mai lent\u0103 \u015fi vor suporta povara financiar\u0103 a unui num\u0103r mai mare de pensionari, \u00een timp ce fluxul tradi\u0163ional de bog\u0103\u0163ie \u00eentre genera\u0163ii se va diminua\u201d, a declarat Chris Bradley, director al McKinsey Global Institute.<\/p>\n
\nGuvernele din \u00eentreaga lume \u00eencearc\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 fa\u0163\u0103 unei crize demografice generate de cre\u015fterea costurilor pentru locuin\u0163e \u015fi \u00eengrijirea copiilor, dar \u015fi de factori sociali precum sc\u0103derea num\u0103rului de tineri implica\u0163i \u00een rela\u0163ii.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen prezent, dou\u0103 treimi din popula\u0163ia lumii tr\u0103ie\u015fte \u00een \u0163\u0103ri cu rate ale natalit\u0103\u0163ii pe femeie sub \u201erata de \u00eenlocuire\u201d de 2,1. Popula\u0163iile sunt deja \u00een declin \u00een mai multe state membre OCDE, inclusiv Japonia, Italia \u015fi Grecia, precum \u015fi \u00een China \u015fi numeroase \u0163\u0103ri din Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi de Est.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eSistemele noastre economice \u015fi contractele sociale au fost construite \u00een perioade \u00een care popula\u0163ia, \u00een special cea de v\u00e2rst\u0103 activ\u0103, era \u00een cre\u015ftere, sus\u0163in\u00e2nd expansiunea economic\u0103 \u015fi oferind sprijin oamenilor care tr\u0103iesc mai mult\u201d, a explicat Bradley. \u201eAcest model nu mai func\u0163ioneaz\u0103.\u201d<\/p>\n
\nBradley, co-autor al raportului, a subliniat c\u0103 nu exist\u0103 \u201eo solu\u0163ie unic\u0103\u201d pentru a face fa\u0163\u0103 provoc\u0103rilor demografice.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eVa fi necesar un mix de politici care s\u0103 includ\u0103 atragerea mai multor tineri \u00een c\u00e2mpul muncii, prelungirea vie\u0163ii active \u015fi, ideal, cre\u015fterea productivit\u0103\u0163ii\u201d, a ad\u0103ugat el.<\/p>\n
\nRaportul McKinsey vine \u00een completarea avertismentelor emise anterior de OCDE, care a subliniat anul trecut c\u0103 sc\u0103derea natalit\u0103\u0163ii amenin\u0163\u0103 \u201eprosperitatea genera\u0163iilor viitoare\u201d \u015fi a \u00eendemnat guvernele s\u0103 se preg\u0103teasc\u0103 pentru un \u201eviitor caracterizat de o fertilitate redus\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cele mai bogate economii ale lumii vor trebui s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi dubleze, cel pu\u0163in, ritmul de cre\u015ftere a productivit\u0103\u0163ii pentru a men\u0163ine \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irile istorice ale nivelului de trai, \u00een contextul unei sc\u0103deri accentuate a ratei natalit\u0103\u0163ii, raporteaz\u0103 Financial Times. Un raport McKinsey, care analizeaz\u0103 impactul economic al acestei sc\u0103deri, arat\u0103 c\u0103 \u0163\u0103ri precum Marea Britanie, Germania, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,182,17224,105,19136,22405,8047,361,2930,9969,194],"class_list":["post-233167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-criza","tag-evitare","tag-japonia","tag-mostenire","tag-natalitate","tag-nivel-de-trai","tag-pensionari","tag-prabusire","tag-productivitate","tag-tineri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/233167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=233167"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/233167\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=233167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=233167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=233167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}