{"id":229380,"date":"2024-08-19T12:03:27","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T12:03:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=229380"},"modified":"2026-04-10T16:33:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T16:33:21","slug":"opinie-dinu-bumbacea-country-managing-partner-pwc-romania-economia-europeana-ar-putea-creste-suplimentar-cu-pana-la-07-pe-an-pana-in-2030-datorita-genai-in-ce-scenarii-care-ar-fi-statele-si-ind","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=229380","title":{"rendered":"Opinie Dinu Bumb\u0103cea, Country Managing Partner PwC Romania: Economia european\u0103 ar putea cre\u015fte suplimentar cu p\u00e2n\u0103 la 0,7% pe an, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030, datorit\u0103 GenAI. \u00cen ce scenarii, care ar fi statele \u015fi industriile beneficiare?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nPresiunea pentru reinventarea afacerilor datorat\u0103 tehnologiei, schimb\u0103rilor climatice \u015fi altor c\u00e2teva megatendin\u0163e se va intensifica \u00een urm\u0103torii ani, inteligen\u0163a artificial\u0103 generativ\u0103 (GenAI) fiind un catalizator care va impulsiona eficien\u0163a, inovarea \u015fi schimb\u0103rile transforma\u0163ionale. Aceasta este opinia majorit\u0103\u0163ii directorilor executivi la nivel global, surprins\u0103 de sondajul PwC CEO Survey 2024. \u00cen Rom\u00e2nia, jum\u0103tate dintre liderii de companii chestiona\u0163i cred c\u0103 GenAI va schimba profund modul \u00een care companiile \u00ee\u015fi desf\u0103\u015foar\u0103 activitatea \u015fi va intensifica concuren\u0163a, chiar dac\u0103 adoptarea noilor tehnologii este mai lent\u0103 dec\u00e2t \u00een alte \u0163\u0103ri. \u00cen acest context, GenAI poate contribui la cre\u015fterea economiilor multor \u0163\u0103ri, dup\u0103 cum arat\u0103 o analiz\u0103 recent\u0103 a strategy&amp;, departamentul de strategie al re\u0163elei globale PwC.<\/p>\n<p>\nPotrivit acesteia, utilizarea GenAI are poten\u0163ialul de a genera o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 suplimentar\u0103 anual\u0103 \u00eentre 0,4% \u015fi 0,7% \u00een Europa, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030. \u00centr-o perioad\u0103 \u00een care avansul produsului intern brut european este estimat la 1,4%, aportul pe care l-ar aduce GenAI nu este deloc de neglijat. Desigur estim\u0103rile sunt condi\u0163ionate de anumite schimb\u0103ri, iar analiza men\u0163ionat\u0103 realizeaz\u0103 dou\u0103 scenarii de implementare a GenAI pentru a m\u0103sura posibilul impact asupra cre\u015fterii economice.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centr-un scenariu optimist, un num\u0103r mare de companii sunt receptive la inovarea GenAI \u015fi dezvolt\u0103 o strategie \u00een acest sens, sunt dispuse s\u0103 fac\u0103 investi\u0163iile necesare (care pot genera un profit doar dup\u0103 un anumit timp) \u015fi \u00ee\u015fi asum\u0103 riscurile asociate, iar politicile publice \u015fi reglement\u0103rile sprijin\u0103 \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 implementarea \u00een Europa. \u00cen aceste condi\u0163ii, s-ar atinge p\u00e2n\u0103 la 90% din poten\u0163ialul de majorare a productivit\u0103\u0163ii totale datorat\u0103 GenAI. ceea ce ar conduce la o cre\u015ftere suplimentar\u0103 a PIB-ului european de 0,7% pe an, respectiv de circa un trilion dolari p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centr-un scenariu moderat, \u00een care companiile adopt\u0103 \u00eentr-un num\u0103r limitat GenAI, iar p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2030 nu se realizeaz\u0103 mai mult de 40-50% din poten\u0163ialul de majorare a productivit\u0103\u0163ii, cre\u015fterea suplimentar\u0103 ar fi de 0,4%. \u00cen acest scenariu, companiile vor fi afectate de lipsa de competen\u0163e \u015fi de finan\u0163are, precum \u015fi de lipsa clarit\u0103\u0163ii reglement\u0103rilor sau a unei politici publice proactive privind GenAI.<\/p>\n<p>\nApari\u0163ia GenAI ca tehnologie accesibil\u0103 \u00een toate sectoarele economiei poate s\u0103 \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163easc\u0103 semnificativ capacit\u0103\u0163ile de inovare \u015fi eficien\u0163a companiilor de-a lungul \u00eentregului lan\u0163 valoric. Prin urmare, va aduce c\u00e2\u015ftiguri de productivitate chiar mai mari \u015fi mai eficiente dec\u00e2t alte tehnologii disruptive din trecut. \u00cen plus, GenAI ar putea contribui la limitarea deficitului structural de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103 calificat\u0103 din Europa, conferind \u00een acela\u015fi timp avantaje competitive at\u00e2t pe termen scurt, c\u00e2t \u015fi pe termen lung companiilor care o adopt\u0103 cu succes \u015fi rapid.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Industriile c\u00e2\u015ftig\u0103toare<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cens\u0103 beneficiile poten\u0163iale ale GenAI sunt distribuite inegal \u00eentre sectoare. Chiar \u015fi a\u015fa, companiile pot maximiza avantajele printr-o evaluare atent\u0103 a cazurilor de utilizare intern\u0103, analizate prin prisma cre\u015fterii productivit\u0103\u0163ii.<\/p>\n<p>\nAnaliza \u00eemparte sectoarele beneficiare \u00een trei categorii din punct de vedere al impactului GenAI at\u00e2t asupra veniturilor, c\u00e2t \u015fi asupra performan\u0163ei finale:<\/p>\n<p>\nSectoare cu impact ridicat: tehnologie \u015fi software, divertisment \u015fi media, farmaceutic \u015fi \u015ftiin\u0163e medicale, servicii financiare, servicii profesionale \u015fi telecomunica\u0163ii.<\/p>\n<p>\nIndustrii aspirante, care pot ob\u0163ine noi eficien\u0163e din aplica\u0163iile GenAI dezvoltate \u00een mare parte \u00een afara domeniului lor, cu impact asupra rezultatelor finale: bunuri de consum \u015fi comer\u0163 cu am\u0103nuntul, servicii suport, transport de pasageri, c\u0103l\u0103torii, ospitalitate, s\u0103n\u0103tate \u015fi imobiliare.<\/p>\n<p>\nSectoare cu poten\u0163ial sc\u0103zut, \u00een care munca fizic\u0103 sau produc\u0163ia domin\u0103 lan\u0163ul valoric, iar automatizarea, completat\u0103 par\u0163ial de GenAI, poate aduce o contribu\u0163ie, dar mai redus\u0103 la productivitate, dac\u0103 este pus\u0103 \u00een aplicare \u00een mod eficient: produse chimice, produc\u0163ie de \u00eenalt\u0103 tehnologie, sectorul public (administra\u0163ie public\u0103 \u015fi alte servicii, ap\u0103rare \u015fi educa\u0163ie), automobile, produc\u0163ie industrial\u0103, construc\u0163ii, utilit\u0103\u0163i publice, marf\u0103 \u015fi transport, agricultur\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Statele c\u00e2\u015ftig\u0103toare<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nImplicit, \u0163\u0103rile ale c\u0103ror economii se bazeaz\u0103 pe industrii cu impact ridicat al GenAI vor avea mai mult de c\u00e2\u015ftigat, bine pozi\u0163ionate fiind acum Elve\u0163ia, Suedia, Belgia sau Marea Britanie.<\/p>\n<p>\nPonderea companiilor cu impact \u015fi poten\u0163ial ridicate \u00een totalul economiei este, \u00een medie, mai mare \u00een SUA \u015fi \u00een Marea Britanie dec\u00e2t \u00een restul statelor europene . La nivel global, SUA este liderul&nbsp; \u00een inovare \u00een domeniul GenAI, cu un ecosistem inegalabil de furnizori mari de tehnologie, start-up-uri \u015fi acces la finan\u0163are. \u00cen acela\u015fi timp, companiile chineze adopt\u0103 \u015fi tind s\u0103 integreze rapid GenAI \u00een produsele lor \u015fi \u00een aplica\u0163iile din via\u0163a de zi cu zi. Totu\u015fi, cu o strategie bine definit\u0103 \u015fi investi\u0163ii adecvate, Europa poate valorifica aceast\u0103 tehnologie emergent\u0103 pentru a ob\u0163ine un avantaj competitiv \u015fi pentru a genera cre\u015ftere economic\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Presiunea pentru reinventarea afacerilor datorat\u0103 tehnologiei, schimb\u0103rilor climatice \u015fi altor c\u00e2teva megatendin\u0163e se va intensifica \u00een urm\u0103torii ani, inteligen\u0163a artificial\u0103 generativ\u0103 (GenAI) fiind un catalizator care va impulsiona eficien\u0163a, inovarea \u015fi schimb\u0103rile transforma\u0163ionale. Aceasta este opinia majorit\u0103\u0163ii directorilor executivi la nivel global, surprins\u0103 de sondajul PwC CEO Survey 2024. \u00cen Rom\u00e2nia, jum\u0103tate dintre liderii [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,474,7455],"class_list":["post-229380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-industrie","tag-pwc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=229380"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229380\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":229397,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229380\/revisions\/229397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=229380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=229380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=229380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}