\nDe la 2024 politicienii \u015fi economi\u015ftii a\u015fteptau \u201erelansarea\u201c. Cu o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 submediocr\u0103 (doar plus 0,8% \u00een T2\/2024 fa\u0163\u0103 de a\u015ftept\u0103ri de plus 3%), relansarea s-a am\u00e2nat pentru nimeni nu \u015ftie c\u00e2\u0163i ani \u015fi pe locul r\u0103mas gol \u00ee\u015fi dezv\u0103luie chipul bl\u00e2nd, \u201eausteritatea\u201c.<\/p>\n
\nCu deficite bugetare de 6,3% din PIB \u00een 2022, 6,6% din PIB \u00een 2023, \u015fi peste 7% din PIB \u00een 2024, Rom\u00e2nia nu mai are cum s\u0103 evite mult-invocata \u201eajustare fiscal\u0103\u201c. Dar ea va fi cerut\u0103 de pie\u0163ele financiare, de agen\u0163iile de rating, de Comisia European\u0103. Cum va ar\u0103ta ea? Vor fi doar reduceri de cheltuieli (eliminarea ultimelor ni\u015fe fiscale), vor cre\u015fte doar unele taxe \u015fi TVA va fi exceptat\u0103?<\/p>\n
\nDac\u0103 ajustarea fiscal\u0103 va fi brutal\u0103, atunci consumul se va reduce puternic \u015fi economia va intra \u00een recesiune. Dac\u0103 va fi de ochii lumii \u015fi de gura FMI, atunci ar fi degeaba, iar deficitele cronice vor continua p\u00e2n\u0103 la Judecata de Apoi.<\/p>\n
\nDincolo de problema intern\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia mai are una \u015fi tot major\u0103: pie\u0163ele UE nu-\u015fi revin, prin urmare exporturile Rom\u00e2niei, care au c\u0103zut cu 2,5% \u00een prima parte din an, dau din col\u0163 \u00een col\u0163.<\/p>\n
\nA\u015fadar, economia \u00een 2025 va depinde, \u00een esen\u0163\u0103, de aceste dou\u0103 aspecte fundamentale: cel care \u0163ine de felul \u00een care se va face ajustarea fiscal\u0103 \u015fi cel legat de func\u0163ionarea pie\u0163elor de export ale Rom\u00e2niei.<\/p>\n
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De la 2024 politicienii \u015fi economi\u015ftii a\u015fteptau \u201erelansarea\u201c. Cu o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 submediocr\u0103 (doar plus 0,8% \u00een T2\/2024 fa\u0163\u0103 de a\u015ftept\u0103ri de plus 3%), relansarea s-a am\u00e2nat pentru nimeni nu \u015ftie c\u00e2\u0163i ani \u015fi pe locul r\u0103mas gol \u00ee\u015fi dezv\u0103luie chipul bl\u00e2nd, \u201eausteritatea\u201c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,190,7931,10405,7262],"class_list":["post-229365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-crestere-economica","tag-pib","tag-relansare","tag-taxe"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=229365"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229365\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":229384,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/229365\/revisions\/229384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=229365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=229365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=229365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}