{"id":226977,"date":"2024-05-22T13:06:45","date_gmt":"2024-05-22T13:06:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=226977"},"modified":"2024-05-22T13:06:45","modified_gmt":"2024-05-22T13:06:45","slug":"increderea-in-economie-scade-puternic-analistii-financiari-vad-o-crestere-economica-de-19-in-2024-si-un-deficit-bugetar-de-57-in-12-luni-inflatia-va-atinge-o-valoare-medie-de-573-iar-cursul-valu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=226977","title":{"rendered":"\u00cencrederea \u00een economie scade puternic. Anali\u015ftii financiari v\u0103d o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 de 1,9% \u00een 2024 \u015fi un deficit bugetar de 5,7%. \u00cen 12 luni infla\u0163ia va atinge o valoare medie de 5,73%, iar cursul valutar va ajunge la 5,0719 lei pentru un euro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nAnali\u015ftii financiari din cadrul asocia\u0163iei CFA Rom\u00e2nia estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 leul se va deprecia p\u00e2n\u0103 la un curs mediu de 5,0719 lei\/euro \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni, \u00een timp ce rata anticipat\u0103 a infla\u0163iei va \u00eenregistra o valoare medie de 5,73%, \u00een cre\u015ftere de la 5,33% \u00een exerci\u0163iul anterior.<\/p>\n<p>\nDatele colectate de CFA \u00een luna aprilie 2024 mai arat\u0103 c\u0103, pentru orizontul de 6 luni, aproape 88% dintre anali\u015ftii financiari inclu\u015fi \u00een sondajul lunar anticipeaz\u0103 un curs valutar de 5,0172 &nbsp;lei\/euro.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte indicatorul de \u00eencredere macroeconomic\u0103 al CFA, acesta a sc\u0103zut \u00een luna aprilie cu 12,3 puncte p\u00e2n\u0103 la valoarea de 47,1 puncte, pe fondul sc\u0103derii ambelor componente ale indicatorului.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201cDup\u0103 corec\u0163ia \u00eenregistrat\u0103 \u00een lunile anterioare de c\u0103tre componenta de anticipa\u0163ii, \u015fi componenta de condi\u0163ii curente a sc\u0103zut substan\u0163ial. Astfel, at\u00e2t indicatorul de \u00eencredere, c\u00e2t \u015fi componentele sale, au&nbsp;ajuns la valorile \u00eenregistrate \u00een noiembrie anul anterior. Aceste corec\u0163ii vin pe fondul \u00eencetinirii economiei, \u00een pofida impulsului fiscal semnificativ, a anticipa\u0163iilor de majoare a deficitului bugetar precum \u015fi a anticipa\u0163iilor de majorare a fiscalit\u0103\u0163ii \u00een 2025\u201d, spune Adrian Codirla\u015fu, CFA \u2013 Vicepre\u015fedinte al Asocia\u0163iei CFA Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n<p>\nDatele sondajului mai arat\u0103 c\u0103 deficitul bugetului de stat prognozat pentru anul 2024 este anticipat (valoarea medie a anticipa\u0163iilor) la 5,7% \u00een cre\u015ftere de la 5,4% fa\u0163\u0103 de exerci\u0163iul anterior, iar anticipa\u0163iile de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 s-au redus fa\u0163\u0103 de exercitiul anterior cu 0,8 pp pana la valoarea de 1,9%.<\/p>\n<p>\nTotodat\u0103, indicele ROBOR la 3 luni, folosit pentru calcularea dob\u00e2nzilor varia\u00adbile la creditele \u00een lei contractate \u00eenainte de luna mai 2019, este preconizat s\u0103 ating\u0103 5,94% \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni.<\/p>\n<p>\nReferitor la evolu\u0163ia pre\u0163urilor propriet\u0103\u0163ilor reziden\u0163iale \u00een ora\u015fe, cea mai mare parte dintre participanti, 53%&nbsp;anticipeaz\u0103 o sc\u0103dere \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni \u00een timp ce 23.5% anticipeaz\u0103 o majorare a pre\u0163urilor iar restul de 23.5% stabilitate. De asemenea 70% dintre participan\u0163i consider\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0163urile actuale sunt supraevaluate, \u00een timp ce 30% consider\u0103 c\u0103 acestea sunt corect evaluate.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nDatoria public\u0103 calculat\u0103 ca procent \u00een PIB este anticipat\u0103 s\u0103 se majoreze la 55% \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni.<\/p>\n<p>\n<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/storage0.dms.mpinteractiv.ro\/media\/401\/341\/5531\/22384657\/2\/cfa.jpg?height=393&#038;width=456\" style=\"width: 456px; height: 393px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anali\u015ftii financiari din cadrul asocia\u0163iei CFA Rom\u00e2nia estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 leul se va deprecia p\u00e2n\u0103 la un curs mediu de 5,0719 lei\/euro \u00een urm\u0103toarele 12 luni, \u00een timp ce rata anticipat\u0103 a infla\u0163iei va \u00eenregistra o valoare medie de 5,73%, \u00een cre\u015ftere de la 5,33% \u00een exerci\u0163iul anterior. Datele colectate de CFA \u00een luna aprilie 2024 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,41200,11056,10595,8327,465],"class_list":["post-226977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-cfa-romania","tag-financiar","tag-incredere","tag-scadere","tag-valoare"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226977","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=226977"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/226977\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=226977"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=226977"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=226977"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}