{"id":224047,"date":"2024-02-11T17:50:00","date_gmt":"2024-02-11T17:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=224047"},"modified":"2024-02-11T17:50:00","modified_gmt":"2024-02-11T17:50:00","slug":"ce-face-ca-inflatiile-din-regiune-sa-scada-de-la-cote-istorice-la-niveluri-apropiate-de-tintele-bancilor-centrale-este-tendinta-sustenabila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=224047","title":{"rendered":"Ce face ca infla\u0163iile din regiune s\u0103 scad\u0103 de la cote istorice la niveluri apropiate de \u0163intele b\u0103ncilor centrale? Este tendin\u0163a sustenabil\u0103?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\u00cen Ungaria, rata de cre\u015ftere a pre\u0163urilor de consum a sc\u0103zut la un minim pe aproape trei ani de 3,8% \u00een ianuarie, scrie Portfolio. Datele au provocat din nou o surpriz\u0103 pl\u0103cut\u0103, \u00eentruc\u00e2t anali\u015ftii se a\u015fteptau la o valoare de peste 4%. Este pentru prima dat\u0103 din februarie 2021 c\u00e2nd infla\u0163ia a sc\u0103zut \u00een intervalul \u0163int\u0103 al b\u0103ncii centrale.<\/p>\n<p>\nAnali\u015ftii arat\u0103 c\u0103 efectul de baz\u0103 contribuie \u00eentotdeauna la o infla\u0163ie mai sc\u0103zut\u0103 \u00een ianuarie.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen termeni lunari, infla\u0163ia a crescut cu 0,7%.<\/p>\n<p>\nPre\u0163ul b\u0103uturilor alcoolice \u015fi tutunului a crescut cu 8,1%, \u00een timp ce pre\u0163ul articolelor vestimentare a crescut cu 6,2%. \u00cen cazul produselor alimentare, ritmul de cre\u015ftere a pre\u00ad\u0163urilor a sc\u0103zut la 3,6% fa\u0163\u0103 de ianua\u00adrie 2023. Lunar, \u00eens\u0103, s-a remarcat cre\u015fterea cu 1,2% a pre\u0163urilor ali\u00admen\u00ad\u00adtelor. Spre deosebire de perioa\u00adda trecut\u0103, pre\u0163ul progresiv la gaze a crescut pre\u0163ul energiei casnice, cu 0,9%. Acestea au fost \u00eens\u0103 compen\u00adsate de faptul c\u0103 articolele vestimen\u00adtare s-au ieftinit cu peste 2% fa\u0163\u0103 de luna decembrie.<\/p>\n<p>\nExamin\u00e2nd o perioad\u0103 mai scur\u00adt\u0103 de formare a pre\u0163urilor, imaginea este pu\u0163in mai contradictorie. Indice\u00adle anualizat trimestrial al infla\u0163iei de baz\u0103 a fost de 4,2%, ceea ce \u00een\u00adseamn\u0103 c\u0103 evolu\u0163ia pre\u0163urilor din ultimele trei luni nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 o stabilitate a pre\u0163urilor. \u00cen plus, indicatorul a crescut u\u015for \u00een ultimele trei luni.<\/p>\n<p>\nGabor Regos, analist la Granit Fund Management, a declarat pentru Hungary Today c\u0103 infla\u0163ia din ianua\u00adrie a fost influen\u0163at\u0103 probabil de mai mul\u0163i factori. Scumpirea progresiv\u0103 a carburan\u0163ilor nu va fi reflectat\u0103 \u00een datele pe ianuarie, sau doar \u00een mic\u0103 m\u0103sur\u0103. \u00cen acela\u015fi timp, unele servicii s-au scumpit deja \u00een ianuarie, \u00een timp ce sectorul telecom va \u00eenregistra o \u00eent\u00e2rziere.<\/p>\n<p>\nAnali\u015ftii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 la o sc\u0103dere a infla\u0163iei pentru \u00eenc\u0103 c\u00e2teva luni, \u00eens\u0103 efectele de baz\u0103 iau o direc\u0163ie nefavorabil\u0103 \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului \u015fi \u00eencepe refla\u0163ia.<\/p>\n<p>\nCu efectele de baz\u0103 favorabile es\u00adtomp\u00e2ndu-se, major\u0103ri solide de sala\u00adrii ar putea \u00eentre timp realimenta pre\u00adsiu\u00adnile infla\u0163ioniste, potrivit Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>\nPosibile reduceri ale subven\u0163iilor pentru energie \u00een al doilea semestru, dup\u0103 alegerile din Parlamentul Euro\u00adpean, reprezint\u0103 riscuri suplimentare \u00een ceea ce privepte reaprinderea infla\u0163iei.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen Cehia, dup\u0103 ce infla\u0163ia \u015fi-a atins v\u00e2rful la peste 18% \u00een 2022, banca central\u0103 a \u0163\u0103rii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca rata anual\u0103 s\u0103 scad\u0103 la 3% \u00een ianuarie de la 6,9% \u00een decembrie, odat\u0103 cu estomparea efectelor de baz\u0103 ale cre\u015fterii pre\u0163urilor energiei \u015fi altor pre\u0163uri.<\/p>\n<p>\nNoile estim\u0103ri ale b\u0103ncii v\u0103d infla\u0163ia la 2,6% \u00een acest an \u015fi sub \u0163int\u0103 \u00een 2025. Tomas Holub, membru al boardului b\u0103ncii, a declarat recent c\u0103 focusul se va muta \u00een scurt timp pe anul 2025, c\u00e2nd, estimeaz\u0103 acesta, infla\u0163ia de baz\u0103 va fi \u201epe deplin \u00eembl\u00e2nzit\u0103\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>\nUn oficial FMI a avertizat totu\u015fi c\u0103 banca central\u0103 ceh\u0103 ar trebui s\u0103 fie atent\u0103 la riscurile legate de a\u015ftept\u0103rile privind infla\u0163ia, care se men\u0163in peste \u0163inta sa de politic\u0103, c\u00e2t \u015fi la posibilele presiuni legate de cre\u015fterea solid\u0103 a salariilor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cen Ungaria, rata de cre\u015ftere a pre\u0163urilor de consum a sc\u0103zut la un minim pe aproape trei ani de 3,8% \u00een ianuarie, scrie Portfolio<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,20170,7267,184,340],"class_list":["post-224047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-banca-centrala","tag-banci","tag-inflatie","tag-preturi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=224047"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224047\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=224047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=224047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=224047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}