\nFondul Monetar Interna\u0163ional \u015fi-a majorat prognoza privind cre\u015fterea global\u0103 \u00een acest an, datorit\u0103 unei expansiuni nea\u015fteptate \u00een SUA \u015fi a stimulentelor fiscale din China, lans\u00e2nd, \u00een acela\u015fi timp, o serie de avertismente asupra riscurilor legate de r\u0103zboaie \u015fi infla\u0163ie, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\nEconomia mondial\u0103 va \u00eenregistra o cre\u015ftere de 3,1% \u00een acest an, fa\u0163\u0103 de 2,9% c\u00e2t se \u00eenregistra \u00een octombrie, a declarat institu\u0163ia cu sediul la Washington \u00een raportul trimestrial World Economic Outlook, publicat mar\u0163i. Fondul \u015fi-a men\u0163inut neschimbat\u0103 prognoza pentru 2025 la 3,2%.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eEconomia global\u0103 continu\u0103 s\u0103 dea dovad\u0103 de o rezisten\u0163\u0103 remarcabil\u0103. Criza este aproape de final, cu o infla\u0163ie \u00een sc\u0103dere constant\u0103 \u015fi o cre\u015ftere care se men\u0163ine”, a declarat economistul-\u015fef al FMI, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas. \u201eCu toate acestea, ritmul de expansiune r\u0103m\u00e2ne lent, fiind supus, \u00een continuare, unor riscuri semnificative.”<\/p>\n
\nPrintre riscurile de declin men\u0163ionate de FMI se num\u0103r\u0103 noi v\u00e2rfuri ale pre\u0163urilor materiilor prime cauzate de o serie de \u015focuri geopolitice \u015fi de perturb\u0103ri ale aprovizion\u0103rii globale – cum ar fi atacurile Houthis \u00een Marea Ro\u015fie – sau o infla\u0163ie mai tenace care ar putea for\u0163a b\u0103ncile centrale s\u0103 men\u0163in\u0103 ratele dob\u00e2nzilor la un nivel mai ridicat pentru mai mult timp.<\/p>\n
\nPreviziunile FMI ilustreaz\u0103 o sc\u0103dere a pre\u0163urilor materiilor prime \u00een 2024 \u015fi 2025, al\u0103turi de o sc\u0103dere a ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor \u00een r\u00e2ndul marilor economii. Economi\u015ftii fondului au luat \u00een calcul, de exemplu, faptul c\u0103 Rezerva Federal\u0103, Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 \u015fi Banca Angliei vor men\u0163ine ratele dob\u00e2nzilor \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a acestui an, \u00eenainte de a le reduce treptat, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce infla\u0163ia \u00eencetine\u015fte.<\/p>\n
\nFMI a precizat c\u0103 infla\u0163ia din trimestrul al patrulea s-a r\u0103cit mai mult dec\u00e2t se preconiza, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce pre\u0163urile la energie au sc\u0103zut. Potrivit institu\u0163iei, aceast\u0103 decelerare va continua p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2025, ceea ce ar duce infla\u0163ia global\u0103 la un nivel de 4,4% de la 6,8%. Se estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 economiile avansate vor \u00eenregistra o sc\u0103dere a infla\u0163iei mai rapid\u0103 dec\u00e2t pie\u0163ele emergente.<\/p>\n
\nFondul \u015fi-a repetat avertismentul privind posibila fragmentare a comer\u0163ului mondial \u00een blocuri rivale, prognoz\u00e2nd o cre\u015ftere a comer\u0163ului mondial de 3,3% \u00een 2024 \u015fi de 3,6% \u00een 2025, sub rata medie istoric\u0103 de 4,9%. Na\u0163iunile au impus aproximativ 3.000 de noi restric\u0163ii comerciale anul trecut, de aproape trei ori mai multe dec\u00e2t \u00een 2019, a precizat FMI.<\/p>\n
\nPentru b\u0103ncile centrale, FMI consider\u0103 c\u0103 provocarea cea mai mare este de a normaliza politica monetar\u0103 \u015fi de a \u201eoferi o aterizare lin\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 a reduce prematur ratele \u015fi f\u0103r\u0103 a \u00eent\u00e2rzia prea mult aceast\u0103 reducere”.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fondul Monetar Interna\u0163ional \u015fi-a majorat prognoza privind cre\u015fterea global\u0103 \u00een acest an, datorit\u0103 unei expansiuni nea\u015fteptate \u00een SUA \u015fi a stimulentelor fiscale din China, lans\u00e2nd, \u00een acela\u015fi timp, o serie de avertismente asupra riscurilor legate de r\u0103zboaie \u015fi infla\u0163ie, scrie Bloomberg. Economia mondial\u0103 va \u00eenregistra o cre\u015ftere de 3,1% \u00een acest an, fa\u0163\u0103 de 2,9% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[6545,246,188,24896,26562,7433,184,8350,186,20246,19016,106,528],"class_list":["post-223715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-china","tag-crestere","tag-economie","tag-economie-mondiala","tag-expansiune","tag-fmi","tag-inflatie","tag-prognoza","tag-razboi","tag-statelor-unite","tag-stimulente","tag-sua","tag-uniunea-europeana"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/223715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=223715"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/223715\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=223715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=223715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=223715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}