\nMarea Britanie se afl\u0103 probabil deja \u00een recesiune, dup\u0103 ce cre\u015fterea ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor \u015fi a \u015fomajului a f\u0103cut ca gospod\u0103riile s\u0103 fie mai precaute \u00een privin\u0163a cheltuielilor, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\nEconomi\u015ftii estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 exist\u0103 52% \u015fanse ca \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a acestui an s\u0103 aib\u0103 loc o recesiune u\u015foar\u0103, definit\u0103 prin dou\u0103 trimestre consecutive de contrac\u0163ie. Analiza a fost publicat\u0103 luni, \u00eenainte de datele oficiale privind produsul intern brut, care vor fi publicate vineri.
\nO recesiune ar fi o b\u0103taie de cap pentru premierul Rishi Sunak, care urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 lupte \u00een alegeri anul viitor. O recesiune ar putea cre\u015fte \u015fansele ca Banca Angliei s\u0103 se \u00eendrepte spre reducerea ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor, mai ales dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia a sc\u0103zut brusc.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eEconomia va fi la limita dintre stagnare \u015fi o contrac\u0163ie u\u015foar\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 balan\u0163a \u00eenclin\u0103 spre cel de al doilea scenario. Riscurile sunt ca sc\u0103derea economic\u0103 s\u0103 fie pu\u0163in mai accentuat\u0103 dec\u00e2t s-a prognozat\u201d, au declarat economit\u015fii.<\/p>\n
\nPrognozele indic\u0103 o sc\u0103dere de 0,1% \u00een cel de al doilea trimestru. Bank of England se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca \u015fomajul care acum se situeaz\u0103 la 4,3% s\u0103 creasc\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la 5,1% \u00een 2026.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eChiar dac\u0103 veniturile vor continua s\u0103 creasc\u0103, datele privind consumul \u015fi apetitul pentru credite indic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 oamenii au \u00eenceput s\u0103 economiseasc\u0103 mai mult dec\u00e2t au facut-o p\u00e2n\u0103 acum\u201d concluzioneaz\u0103 economi\u015ftii.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Marea Britanie se afl\u0103 probabil deja \u00een recesiune, dup\u0103 ce cre\u015fterea ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor \u015fi a \u015fomajului a f\u0103cut ca gospod\u0103riile s\u0103 fie mai precaute \u00een privin\u0163a cheltuielilor, scrie Bloomberg. Economi\u015ftii estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 exist\u0103 52% \u015fanse ca \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a acestui an s\u0103 aib\u0103 loc o recesiune u\u015foar\u0103, definit\u0103 prin dou\u0103 trimestre consecutive de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,7251,8443,179,11256],"class_list":["post-221170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-marea-britanie","tag-rate","tag-recesiune","tag-somaj"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=221170"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/221170\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=221170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=221170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=221170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}