\n\u00cen cazul Poloniei, economi\u015ftii nu se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia s\u0103 revin\u0103 la \u0163inta b\u0103ncii centrale nici \u00een doi ani, scrie Warsaw Voice.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen Ungaria ofi\u00adcialii b\u0103ncii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia s\u0103 se men\u0163in\u0103 \u201einacceptabil de ridica\u00adt\u0103\u201c. Presiuni infla\u0163ioniste se acumu\u00adleaz\u0103 din nou, fie de la scumpirea petrolului \u015fi a carburan\u0163ilor, fie de la deprecierea monedelor est-europe\u00adne.<\/p>\n
\nB\u0103ncile centrale din regiune au dob\u00e2nzi mai mari dec\u00e2t \u00een SUA sau \u00een zona euro pentru c\u0103 \u015fi infla\u0163iile au fost mai puternice, iar \u00een ultimele s\u0103p\u00adt\u0103m\u00e2ni au dat semnale c\u0103 vor \u00een\u00adcepe s\u0103 le reduc\u0103. Dar cel mai pro\u00adbabil nu vor ajunge prea cur\u00e2nd prea jos cu ele, \u00een timp ce infla\u0163ia va per\u00adsista, inclusiv pentru c\u0103 b\u0103ncile cen\u00adtrale au mai domolit lupta contra ei.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen 2025, infla\u0163ia din Polonia se va stabiliza \u00een jurul a 3,5%, la grani\u0163a benzii de devia\u0163ii acceptabile de la \u0163inta b\u0103ncii centrale, iar \u00een 2026 aceasta nu va mai sc\u0103dea, estimeaz\u0103 economi\u015ftii agen\u0163iei de rating S&P Global.<\/p>\n
\nPotrivit acestora, activitatea din economia polonez\u0103 va cre\u015fte cu 0,7% \u00een acest an \u015fi cu 3% \u00een 2024. \u00cen urm\u0103torii doi ani, cre\u015fterea PIB-ului polonez este de a\u015fteptat s\u0103 se men\u0163i\u00adn\u0103 la 2,9%. Estim\u0103rile anterioare ale agen\u0163iei, din iunie, indicau o cre\u015ftere mai mare a PIB-ului pe acest an, de 1,1%, \u015fi de 3,2% \u00een 2024-2025.<\/p>\n
\nChiar \u015fi aceste noi estim\u0103ri re\u00adduse indic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 economia polo\u00adnez\u0103 se va dezvolta \u00een anii urm\u0103tori cu o rat\u0103 u\u015for peste cre\u015fterea PIB-ului poten\u0163ial. \u00cen aceste condi\u0163ii, este dificil de anticipat o revenire sus\u0163inut\u0103 a infla\u0163iei la \u0163inta de 2,5% a b\u0103ncii centrale poloneze.<\/p>\n
\nEconomi\u015ftii S&P se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia din Polonia s\u0103 se situeze la 6,1% \u00een acest an \u015fi la 3,4% \u00een urm\u0103\u00adtorii doi ani. Proiec\u0163iile din iulie ale b\u0103ncii centrale poloneze indicau o sc\u0103dere la 5,2% a infla\u0163iei \u00een 2024 \u015fi la 3,6% \u00een 2025.<\/p>\n
\n\u015ei \u00een Ungaria oficialii b\u0103ncii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia s\u0103 se men\u0163in\u0103 \u201einacceptabil de ridicat\u0103\u201c. Ungaria are nevoie de o politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 strict\u0103 \u015fi trebuie s\u0103 fie \u201eprudent\u0103\u201c \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte operarea de noi reduceri de dob\u00e2nzi \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care infla\u0163ia r\u0103m\u00e2ne inacceptabil de ridicat\u0103, a declarat recent viceguver\u00adnatorul b\u0103ncii centrale maghiare Barnabas Virag.<\/p>\n
\nComentariile acestuia au venit dup\u0103 cea de-a cincea reducere lunar\u0103 cu un procent la 13% a dob\u00e2nzii pentru facilitatea de depozit pe termen scurt , aliniind-o cu dob\u00e2nda de referin\u0163\u0103.<\/p>\n
\nBanca central\u0103 a Ungariei \u015fi-a majorat proiec\u0163ia de infla\u0163ie la o medie anual\u0103 de 17,6%-18.1% pentru acest an \u015fi \u00eentre 4% \u015fi 6% anul viitor. Banca \u0163inte\u015fte o infla\u0163ie de 3%.<\/p>\n
\nPre\u0163urile carburan\u0163ilor au crescut semnificativ recent, noteaz\u0103 Daily News Hungary. Iar evenimentele interna\u0163ionale prefigureaz\u0103 noi scumpiri.<\/p>\n
\nExist\u0103 mai multe motive pentru scumpirile continue. \u00cen primul r\u00e2nd, restric\u0163iile de produc\u0163ie ale Rusiei \u015fi Arabiei Saudite au fost prelungite p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul anului, iar o alt\u0103 problem\u0103 are leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu o penurie temporar\u0103 de benzin\u0103 \u00een Europa din cauza unor lucr\u0103ri de mentenan\u0163\u0103 desf\u0103\u015furate de mai multe rafin\u0103rii \u00een acela\u015fi timp.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen Cehia, banca central\u0103 pune \u00een cump\u0103n\u0103 o economie stagnant\u0103 \u015fi o infla\u0163ie a\u015fteptat\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eencetineasc\u0103 la \u0163inta de 2% la \u00eenceputul anului viitor cu posibile presiuni infla\u0163ioniste generate de una dintre cele mai sc\u0103zute rate ale \u015fomajului din UE \u015fi un curs mai slab al coroanei. Scumpirea \u00een continuare a carburan\u0163ilor reprezint\u0103 un alt risc ca infla\u0163ia s\u0103 se men\u0163in\u0103 ridicat\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00cen cazul Poloniei, economi\u015ftii nu se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia s\u0103 revin\u0103 la \u0163inta b\u0103ncii centrale nici \u00een doi ani, scrie Warsaw Voice.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[20170,246,184,29,7169],"class_list":["post-219970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-banca-centrala","tag-crestere","tag-inflatie","tag-polonia","tag-ungaria"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=219970"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219970\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=219970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=219970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=219970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}