\nEconomia Rom\u00e2niei va cre\u015fte cu numai 1,8% \u00een 2023, prognozeaz\u0103 economi\u015ftii B\u0103ncii Europene de Reconstruc\u0163ie \u015fi Dezvoltare (BERD). Previziunea a fost revizuit\u0103 \u00een jos, de la o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 de 2,5%.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eAv\u00e2nd \u00een vedere \u00eencetinirea din prima jum\u0103tate a anului, se prognozeaz\u0103 c\u0103 cre\u015fterea PIB-ului va fi de 1,8 la sut\u0103 \u00een 2023 \u00een ansamblu. Produc\u0163ia agricol\u0103 puternic\u0103 \u015fi exporturile, precum \u015fi investi\u0163iile robuste finan\u0163ate de UE, reprezint\u0103 puncte care ar putea influen\u0163a pozitiv evolu\u0163ia, \u00een timp ce sl\u0103biciunile din industrie \u015fi construc\u0163ii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 \u00een jos cre\u015fterea. \u00cen 2024, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce infla\u0163ia se modereaz\u0103 \u015fi condi\u0163iile financiare se relaxeaz\u0103, cre\u015fterea ar putea accelera la 3,2 la sut\u0103, cu excep\u0163ia unor \u015focuri majore\u201d, scriu economi\u015ftii de la BERD.<\/p>\n
\nRevizuirea este ultima dintr-o serie de rectific\u0103ri negative cu privire la previziunile despre traiectoria economiei Rom\u00e2niei \u00een 2023. Dac\u0103 la \u00eenceputul anului aproape toate prognozele mergeau spre o cre\u015ftere de 3%, acum, prognozele actualizate, cu greu trec de 2%.<\/p>\n
\nCe spune BERD \u00een raportul asupra economiei Rom\u00e2niei:<\/p>\n
\nEconomia a demonstrat rezisten\u0163\u0103 \u00een 2022 \u015fi a crescut cu 4,7%, stimulat\u0103 de o cerere intern\u0103 robust\u0103 \u015fi acumularea de stocuri. \u00cen prima jum\u0103tate a anului 2023, cre\u015fterea a \u00eencetinit la 1,7%, fa\u0163\u0103 de anul precedent, reflect\u00e2nd o \u00eencetinire brusc\u0103 \u00een al doilea trimestru. Cererea intern\u0103 a r\u0103mas robust\u0103, datorit\u0103 cheltuielilor guvernamentale mai ridicate \u015fi investi\u0163iilor, dar epuizarea stocurilor \u015fi sc\u0103derea exporturilor de bunuri \u00een termeni anuali au afectat cre\u015fterea. Produc\u0163ia industrial\u0103 nu a reu\u015fit s\u0103 revin\u0103 pe cre\u015ftere p\u00e2n\u0103 acum, reflect\u00e2nd \u015focul pre\u0163urilor la energie, precum \u015fi o cerere extern\u0103 mai slab\u0103. De\u015fi infla\u0163ia este \u00eenc\u0103 ridicat\u0103, ajung\u00e2nd la 9,4% \u00een iulie 2023, cre\u015fterea salariilor reale a fost pozitiv\u0103 din martie 2023, reflect\u00e2nd condi\u0163ii str\u00e2nse pe pia\u0163a muncii. Cu toate acestea, pozi\u0163ia fiscal\u0103 s-a \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163it, iar autorit\u0103\u0163ile preg\u0103tesc un plan de consolidare fiscal\u0103 care s\u0103 fie convenit cu Comisia European\u0103. Deficitul fiscal ar putea s\u0103 creasc\u0103 la 7 la sut\u0103 din PIB \u00een 2023, mult peste nivelul bugetat de 4,4 la sut\u0103 din PIB. Prin urmare, moderarea consumului privat, al\u0103turi de eventuale ajust\u0103ri fiscale, vor defini probabil traiectoria de cre\u015ftere \u00een acest an.<\/p>\n
\nAv\u00e2nd \u00een vedere \u00eencetinirea din prima jum\u0103tate a anului, se prognozeaz\u0103 c\u0103 cre\u015fterea PIB-ului va fi de 1,8 la sut\u0103 \u00een 2023 \u00een ansamblu. Produc\u0163ia agricol\u0103 puternic\u0103 \u015fi exporturile, precum \u015fi investi\u0163iile robuste finan\u0163ate de UE, reprezint\u0103 puncte care ar putea influen\u0163a pozitiv evolu\u0163ia, \u00een timp ce sl\u0103biciunile din industrie \u015fi construc\u0163ii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eemping\u0103 \u00een jos cre\u015fterea. \u00cen 2024, pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce infla\u0163ia se modereaz\u0103 \u015fi condi\u0163iile financiare se relaxeaz\u0103, cre\u015fterea ar putea accelera la 3,2 la sut\u0103, cu excep\u0163ia unor \u015focuri majore.<\/p>\n
\nPotrivit raportului publicat miercuri, \u00een partea de sud-est a UE, zon\u0103 \u00een care este \u00eencadrat\u0103 \u015fi Rom\u00e2nia \u00een analiza BERD, al\u0103turi de Bulgaria \u015fi Grecia, banca estimeaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere medie a PIB de 2% \u00een 2023 \u015fi de 2,8% \u00een 2024, ca urmare a inflatiei \u015fi a mediului extern sl\u0103bit.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi t\u0103rile Baltice, banca prognozeaz\u0103 un plus de doar 0,5% al PIB \u00een 2023, fat\u0103 de 3,9% anul trecut, \u015fi o cre\u015ftere la 2,5% \u00een 2024.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Economia Rom\u00e2niei va cre\u015fte cu numai 1,8% \u00een 2023, prognozeaz\u0103 economi\u015ftii B\u0103ncii Europene de Reconstruc\u0163ie \u015fi Dezvoltare (BERD). Previziunea a fost revizuit\u0103 \u00een jos, de la o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 de 2,5%. \u201eAv\u00e2nd \u00een vedere \u00eencetinirea din prima jum\u0103tate a anului, se prognozeaz\u0103 c\u0103 cre\u015fterea PIB-ului va fi de 1,8 la sut\u0103 \u00een 2023 \u00een ansamblu. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[21502,9917,246,33405,7931,8350],"class_list":["post-219946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-alarma","tag-berd","tag-crestere","tag-economia-romaniei","tag-pib","tag-prognoza"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=219946"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219946\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=219946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=219946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=219946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}