{"id":219739,"date":"2023-09-20T12:43:41","date_gmt":"2023-09-20T12:43:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=219739"},"modified":"2023-09-20T12:43:41","modified_gmt":"2023-09-20T12:43:41","slug":"arbitrul-celor-mai-dezvoltate-natiuni-din-intreaga-lume-anunta-un-taifun-economic-economia-globala-va-scadea-pe-fondul-ratelor-prea-mari-si-a-inflatiei-care-nu-pare-sa-dea-inapoi-vorbim-de-cel-mai-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=219739","title":{"rendered":"Arbitrul celor mai dezvoltate na\u0163iuni din \u00eentreaga lume anun\u0163\u0103 un taifun economic: Economia global\u0103 va sc\u0103dea pe fondul ratelor prea mari \u015fi a infla\u0163iei care nu pare s\u0103 dea \u00eenapoi. Vorbim de cel mai slab ritm de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 de la criza din 2008 \u00eencoace"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nEconomia mondial\u0103 este pe cale s\u0103 sufere o contrac\u0163ie, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care cre\u015fterile ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor afecteaz\u0103 activitatea economic\u0103, iar redresarea Chinei dup\u0103 pandemie pare s\u0103 e\u015fueze, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>\nPotrivit celor mai recente previziuni ale OCDE, cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 se va diminua la 2,7% \u00een 2024, dup\u0103 o expansiune deja \u201esub a\u015ftept\u0103ri\u201d de 3% \u00een acest an. Cu excep\u0163ia anului 2020, atunci c\u00e2nd pandemia a lovit lumea, aceasta este cea mai slab\u0103 expansiune economic\u0103 anual\u0103 de la criza mondial\u0103 din 2008 \u015fi p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prezent.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201e\u00cen timp ce infla\u0163ia ridicat\u0103 continu\u0103 s\u0103 se dezl\u0103n\u0163uie, economia mondial\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00eentr-o pozi\u0163ie dificil\u0103. Ne confrunt\u0103m cu dubla provocare a infla\u0163iei \u015fi a unei evolu\u0163ii economice sub a\u015ftept\u0103ri\u201d, a declarat Clare Lomabrdelli, economistul-\u015fef al OCDE.<\/p>\n<p>\nOrganiza\u0163ia cu sediul la Paris a avertizat c\u0103 prognoza pesimist\u0103 vine pe fondul multiplelor runde de \u00een\u0103sprire a politicii monetare, dar \u015fi pe fondul infla\u0163iei care s-a dovedit a fi foarte persistent\u0103 \u015fi care ar putea necesita o nou\u0103 majorare a ratelor dob\u00e2nzii.<\/p>\n<p>\nDup\u0103 un \u00eenceput de an 2023 care a dep\u0103\u015fit toate a\u015ftept\u0103rile, \u00eempins de la spate de sc\u0103derea pre\u0163urilor la energie \u015fi redeschiderea Chinei, o temperare a cre\u015fterii economice globale este cel mai a\u015fteptat \u015fi prognozat scenario de c\u0103tre OCDE.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eImpactul politicii monetare devine din ce \u00een ce mai vizibil \u00een economie, \u00eencrederea mediului de afaceri \u015fi a consumatorilor a sc\u0103zut, iar revenirea Chinei s-a estompat\u201d, au declarat reprezentan\u0163ii institu\u0163iei.<\/p>\n<p>\nPerspectivele sumbre \u00eei vor pune la \u00eencercare pe bancherii centrali, deoarece efectul luptei lor \u00eempotriva infla\u0163iei de p\u00e2n\u0103 acum continu\u0103 s\u0103 se r\u0103sfr\u00e2ng\u0103 asupra economiei, iar politicienii se tem c\u0103 activitatea economic\u0103 este sufocat\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nS\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103, Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 a lansat a zecea majorare consecutive a ratei dob\u00e2nzii, de\u015fi a semnalat c\u0103 s-ar putea s\u0103 se fi atins v\u00e2rful. Se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca Rezerva Federal\u0103 s\u0103 lanseze aceea\u015fi m\u0103sur\u0103 miercuri.<\/p>\n<p>\nOCDE a avertizat \u00eempotriva unei relax\u0103ri, infla\u0163ia continu\u00e2nd s\u0103 persiste \u00een multe \u0163\u0103ri, chiar dac\u0103 indicatorii principali sunt \u00een sc\u0103dere.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte perspectivele regionale \u015fi na\u0163ionale, OCDE \u015fi-a redus previziunile de cre\u015ftere pentru zona euro pentru acest an \u015fi anul viitor, estim\u00e2nd o contrac\u0163ie de 0,2% \u00een Germania \u00een 2023, ceea ce face ca aceasta s\u0103 fie singura \u0163ar\u0103 din G-20, cu excep\u0163ia Argentinei, care va suferi o sc\u0103dere. \u00cen timp ce expansiunea SUA va fi mai puternic\u0103 dec\u00e2t se preconiza \u00een iunie, aceasta va \u00eencetini la 1,3% \u00een 2024, de la 2,2% \u00een 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\nPrognozele privind \u00eencetinirea economic\u0103 au fost deosebit de accentuate pentru China, unde se estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia va cre\u015fte cu mai pu\u0163in de 5% anul viitor, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care cererea intern\u0103 sc\u0103zut\u0103 \u015fi tensiunile structurale de pe pie\u0163ele imobiliare afecteaz\u0103 cre\u015fterea. OCDE a declarat c\u0103 marja de manevr\u0103 pentru un sprijin politic eficient \u00een China ar putea fi, de asemenea, mai limitat\u0103 dec\u00e2t \u00een trecut.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economia mondial\u0103 este pe cale s\u0103 sufere o contrac\u0163ie, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care cre\u015fterile ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor afecteaz\u0103 activitatea economic\u0103, iar redresarea Chinei dup\u0103 pandemie pare s\u0103 e\u015fueze, scrie Bloomberg. Potrivit celor mai recente previziuni ale OCDE, cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 se va diminua la 2,7% \u00een 2024, dup\u0103 o expansiune deja \u201esub a\u015ftept\u0103ri\u201d de 3% \u00een acest [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[190,188,8789,184,8443,8327],"class_list":["post-219739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere-economica","tag-economie","tag-fond","tag-inflatie","tag-rate","tag-scadere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219739","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=219739"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219739\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=219739"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=219739"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=219739"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}