{"id":219194,"date":"2023-09-01T14:02:00","date_gmt":"2023-09-01T14:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=219194"},"modified":"2023-09-01T14:02:00","modified_gmt":"2023-09-01T14:02:00","slug":"un-pericol-major-planeaza-asupra-economiilor-europene-in-timp-ce-bancile-se-pregatesc-sa-inceteze-cu-majorarea-dobanzilor-cosmarul-stagflatiei-unde-preturile-raman-sus-iar-cresterea-economica-e-ap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=219194","title":{"rendered":"Un pericol major planeaz\u0103 asupra economiilor europene: \u00cen timp ce b\u0103ncile se preg\u0103tesc s\u0103 \u00eenceteze cu majorarea dob\u00e2nzilor, co\u015fmarul stagfla\u0163iei, unde pre\u0163urile r\u0103m\u00e2n sus, iar cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 e aproape nul\u0103, d\u0103 t\u00e2rcoale Europei"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nPe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce factorii de decizie politic\u0103 se preg\u0103tesc s\u0103 \u00eencheie cu rundele de \u00een\u0103sprire a politicii monetare, apar tot mai multe dovezi care subliniaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 \u00een declin \u015fi o infla\u0163ie foarte greu de dobor\u00e2t, care vor continua s\u0103 persiste scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>\nDup\u0103 cum \u015ftiu prea bine bancherii centrali, chiar dac\u0103 se feresc s\u0103 o spun\u0103 cu voce tare, aceast\u0103 etichet\u0103 pentru durerea de cap a expansiunii slabe \u015fi a infla\u0163iei necru\u0163\u0103toare care a afectat anii 1970 reprezint\u0103 o serie de probleme &#8211; chiar \u015fi \u00een forma sa cea mai u\u015foar\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eZona euro este blocat\u0103 \u00een stagfla\u0163ie \u015fi nu vom ie\u015fi din ea prea cur\u00e2nd. \u00cen Marea Britanie, totul merge prost\u201d a declarat Karsten Junius, economist \u015fef la Bank J Safra Sarasin din Zurich.<\/p>\n<p>\nR\u0103spunsul pie\u0163ei de p\u00e2n\u0103 acum sugereaz\u0103 preocup\u0103ri persistente pentru faptul c\u0103 b\u0103ncile centrale \u00ee\u015fi pierd apetitul de a continua s\u0103 creasc\u0103 costurile de \u00eemprumut, indiferent de situa\u0163ie. Datele de joi, care indicau o cre\u015ftere a pre\u0163urilor cimentat\u0103 peste 5% \u00een regiunea euro, au fost \u00eent\u00e2mpinate cu pu\u0163in optimism, \u00een contextul \u00een care se fac tot mai multe pariuri privind o nou\u0103 rund\u0103 de majorare a dob\u00e2nzii care va avea loc peste dou\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceast\u0103 problem a fost accentuat\u0103 de comentariile oficialului B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene, Isabel Schnabel &#8211; responsabilul cu pie\u0163ele din aceast\u0103 institu\u0163ie &#8211; care a recunoscut c\u0103 perspectivele economice se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163esc, insist\u00e2nd \u00een acela\u015fi timp asupra faptului c\u0103 infla\u0163ia este \u201e\u00eenc\u0103p\u0103\u0163\u00e2nat de ridicat\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomistul-\u015fef al B\u0103ncii Angliei, Huw Pill, a folosit acelea\u015fi cuvinte pentru a descrie nivelul de cre\u015ftere a pre\u0163urilor de consum de baz\u0103 \u00een Marea Britanie, avertiz\u00e2ndu-\u015fi totodat\u0103 colegii s\u0103 nu provoace \u201edaune inutile\u201d economiei.<\/p>\n<p>\nFactorii de decizie politic\u0103 din zona euro vor fi primii care vor judeca unde se afl\u0103 amenin\u0163\u0103rile, decizia din 14 septembrie fiind descris\u0103 de oficialul finlandez Tuomas Valimaki ca fiind \u201etotal deschis\u0103\u201d \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte necesitatea unei noi major\u0103ri a dob\u00e2nzii. BOE se va reuni o s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 mai t\u00e2rziu, la o zi dup\u0103 Fed.<\/p>\n<p>\nActuala conjunctur\u0103 readuce \u00een actualitate preocup\u0103rile care au tulburat regiunea atunci c\u00e2nd s-a confruntat pentru prima dat\u0103 cu spectrul cre\u015fterii pre\u0163urilor la gaze \u00een urma invaziei Rusiei \u00een Ucraina.<\/p>\n<p>\nAtunci c\u00e2nd \u015fefii de finan\u0163e din G-7 s-au \u00eent\u00e2lnit \u00een mai 2022, au discutat despre ce trebuie f\u0103cut pentru a \u201eevita scenariile de stagfla\u0163ie\u201d, dup\u0103 cum a spus gazda reuniunii, ministrul german de finan\u0163e Christian Lindner.<\/p>\n<p>\nAceast\u0103 alarm\u0103 a r\u0103sunat din nou dup\u0103 \u015fedin\u0163a din iulie a&nbsp; BCE, unde se aplauda reducerea infla\u0163iei, dar se sublinia faptul c\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 se afl\u0103 la un nivel ridicat \u015fi c\u0103 persist\u0103 toxic de mult pentru economie.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eS-a exprimat de asemenea \u00eengrijorarea c\u0103 economia ar putea intra \u00eentr-o faz\u0103 de stagfla\u0163ie, \u00een contrast cu un scenariu mai benign\u201d, potrivit notelor b\u0103ncii.<\/p>\n<p>\nAstfel de \u00eengrijor\u0103ri umbresc pie\u0163ele financiare, dup\u0103 o serie de rapoarte care indic\u0103 sl\u0103birea cre\u015fterii economice \u00een Marea Britanie \u015fi \u00een zona euro &#8211; cum ar fi sc\u0103derea indicilor managerilor de achizi\u0163ii &#8211; \u015fi o infla\u0163ie mai puternic\u0103 dec\u00e2t se a\u015ftepta \u00een cele mai mari dou\u0103 economii ale Europei continentale, Germania \u015fi Fran\u0163a.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201e\u015etim c\u0103 politica monetar\u0103 func\u0163ioneaz\u0103 \u015fi c\u0103 are efecte \u00een economie, dar \u00een acest moment nu avem niciun impact asupra infla\u0163iei. Asta e cea mai mare problem\u0103 pe care o aavem. Ne confrunt\u0103m cu o \u00eencetinire economic\u0103 mai puternic\u0103 ca \u00een SUA \u015fi o infla\u0163ie mult mai greu de \u00eenvins\u201d a declarant Gilles Moe, economist-\u015fef la AXA Investment Manager.<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce factorii de decizie politic\u0103 se preg\u0103tesc s\u0103 \u00eencheie cu rundele de \u00een\u0103sprire a politicii monetare, apar tot mai multe dovezi care subliniaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 \u00een declin \u015fi o infla\u0163ie foarte greu de dobor\u00e2t, care vor continua s\u0103 persiste scrie Bloomberg. Dup\u0103 cum \u015ftiu prea bine bancherii centrali, chiar dac\u0103 se feresc [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7267,190,7573,471,9287,340],"class_list":["post-219194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-banci","tag-crestere-economica","tag-economii","tag-europene","tag-majorare","tag-preturi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=219194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219194\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=219194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=219194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=219194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}