{"id":218813,"date":"2023-08-19T14:53:21","date_gmt":"2023-08-19T14:53:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=218813"},"modified":"2023-08-19T14:53:21","modified_gmt":"2023-08-19T14:53:21","slug":"un-investitor-care-a-prezis-criza-din-2008-anticipeaza-dezamagiri-in-randul-populatiei-probleme-geopolitice-si-revolte-de-strada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=218813","title":{"rendered":"Un investitor care a prezis criza din 2008 anticipeaz\u0103 \u201edezam\u0103giri \u00een r\u00e2ndul popula\u0163iei, probleme geopolitice \u015fi revolte de strad\u0103\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nModelul economic al Chinei este \u201ee\u015fuat pe plaj\u0103\u201d \u015fi \u201enu va decola din nou\u201d, ceea ce va avea un impact mare asupra pie\u0163elor globale, spune investitorul veteran David Roche pentru CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen ciuda unei cre\u015fteri remarcabile a pie\u0163elor de capital p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een acest an, \u00eengrijor\u0103rile cu privire la \u00eecentinirea economic\u0103 a \u0163\u0103rii \u00eencep s\u0103 se fac\u0103 prezente.<\/p>\n<p>\nBeijingul a recunoscut problemele economice \u015fi a anun\u0163a\u0163 mai mult sprijin prin intermediul politicii fiscale, \u00een timp ce banca central\u0103 a redus \u00een mod nea\u015fteptat ratele dob\u00e2nzilor mar\u0163i. China a cunoscut o cre\u015ftere fulger\u0103toare \u00een ultimele dou\u0103 decenii, dep\u0103\u015find Japonia ca a doua economie a lumii. Cu toate acestea, mul\u0163i economi\u015fti v\u0103d acum o tendin\u0163\u0103 de sc\u0103dere, pe fondul \u00eencetinirii construc\u0163ilor \u015fi pie\u0163ei imobiliare.<\/p>\n<p>\nPartidul Comunist Chinez a stabilit o \u0163int\u0103 de cre\u015ftere cu 5% \u00een anul 2023, mai mic\u0103 dec\u00e2t obiectivele obi\u015fnuite \u015fi deosebit de modest\u0103 pentru o \u0163ar\u0103 despre care Banca Mondial\u0103 spune c\u0103 a \u00eenregistrat o medie anual\u0103 de cre\u015ftere a PIB-ului cu 9% de la deschiderea economiei \u00een 1978. Unii economi\u015fti cred acum c\u0103 Beijingul ar putea chiar s\u0103 nu ating\u0103 aceast\u0103 \u0163int\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nRoche, pre\u015fedinte \u015fi strateg global la Independent Strategy, a declarat joi c\u0103 pie\u0163ele de capital nu reu\u015fesc s\u0103 anticipeze impactul sc\u0103derii produc\u0163iei \u015fi efectele asupra economiilor emergente.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl a ad\u0103ugat c\u0103 economiile care au exportat \u00een trecut bunuri manufacturate se vor lupta pentru a genera cre\u015ftere semnificativ\u0103 \u00een acest sector, ceea ce va provoca \u201edezam\u0103giri \u00een r\u00e2ndul popula\u0163iei, probleme geopolitice \u015fi revolte de strad\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\nChina a suspendat mar\u0163i publicarea datelor privind \u015fomajul \u00een r\u00e2ndul tinerilor, care a crescut recent p\u00e2n\u0103 la maxime record, \u00een timp ce datele economice din iulie au ar\u0103tat o ampl\u0103 \u00eencetinire exacerbat\u0103 de sc\u0103derea pie\u0163ei imobiliare a \u0163\u0103rii.<\/p>\n<p>\nRoche a sugerat c\u0103 schimb\u0103rile demografice din China au \u00eensemnat c\u0103 \u0163ara nu mai are suficien\u0163i tineri pentru a justifica re\u00eennoirea a ciclului s\u0103u imobiliar, pia\u0163\u0103 adesea estimat\u0103 la \u00eentre 20 \u015fi 30% din PIB.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Modelul economic chinez se confrunt\u0103 cu mari probleme \u015fi \u201enu va decola din nou\u201d, sus\u0163ine David Roche.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[6545,182,55471,188,11229,259,179,20971,8327],"class_list":["post-218813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-china","tag-criza","tag-david-roche","tag-economie","tag-piata-imobiliara","tag-productie","tag-recesiune","tag-revolte","tag-scadere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=218813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218813\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=218813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=218813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=218813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}