\nSc\u0103derea consumului gospod\u0103\u00adriilor pe fondul erod\u0103rii puterii de cump\u0103rare, activitatea industrial\u0103 slab\u0103 \u015fi criza energetic\u0103 au f\u0103cut ca economia Germaniei, cea mai mare din Europa, s\u0103 se contracte \u00een primul trimestru al acestui an fa\u0163\u0103 de tri\u00admestrul anterior, intr\u00e2nd prin urmare \u00een recesiune.<\/p>\n
\nPIB-ul a sc\u0103zut cu 0,3% \u00een T1, dup\u0103 un declin de 0,5% \u00een trimestrul patru al anului trecut.<\/p>\n
\nPrima estimare indicase o stag\u00adnare a PIB-ului \u00een T1, Germania ur\u00adm\u00e2nd s\u0103 evite o recesiune. \u00cen termeni anuali, PIB-ul a sc\u0103zut cu 0,5%.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eSub povara imens\u0103 a infla\u0163iei, consumatorii germani au c\u0103zut \u00een ge\u00adnunchi, tr\u0103g\u00e2nd \u00eentreaga economie cu ei\u201c, a declarat Andreas Scheuerle, analist la DekaBank, pentru Reuters.<\/p>\n
\nConsumul gospod\u0103riilor a sc\u0103zut cu 1,2% trimestrial. Cheltuielile gu\u00adver\u00adnamentale s-au redus de aseme\u00adnea semnificativ cu 4,9% trimestrial. Pe de alt\u0103 parte, investi\u0163iile au cres\u00adcut \u00een T1, dup\u0103 un semestru al doilea slab din 2022.<\/p>\n
\nScumpirea masiv\u0103 a energiei a ap\u0103sat de asemenea greu, potrivit lui Joerg Kraemer, economist-\u015fef la Com\u00admerzbank. \u00cen acela\u015fi timp, pro\u00adduc\u00ad\u0163ia industrial\u0103 a suferit cel mai pro\u00adnun\u00ad\u0163at declin pe 12 luni \u00een martie.<\/p>\n
\nRecesiunea nu a putut fi evitat\u0103, iar \u00eentrebarea este acum dac\u0103 va exis\u00adta o redresare \u00een S2. \u201ePrivind dincolo de primul trimestru, optimismul de la \u00eenceputul anului pare s\u0103 fi l\u0103sat locul unui sim\u0163 sporit al realit\u0103\u0163ii\u201c, arat\u0103 Carsten Brzeski de la ING.<\/p>\n
\nO sc\u0103dere a puterii de cump\u0103\u00adrare, comenzile industriale sub\u0163iate, \u00een\u0103s\u00adprirea agresiv\u0103 a politicii mone\u00adtare \u015fi a\u015fteptata \u00eencetinire a econo\u00admiei americane, toate indic\u0103 o activitate economic\u0103 fragil\u0103 pe viitor. To\u0163i indicatorii cheie ai sectorului manufacturier sunt acum \u00een sc\u0103dere, potrivit lui Kraemer.<\/p>\n
\nPentru economi\u015ftii de la Com\u00admerz\u00adbank, o recesiune \u00een al doilea semes\u00adtru pare acum mai probabil\u0103 dec\u00e2t revenirea pe care majoritatea cole\u00adgilor lor continu\u0103 s\u0103 o anticipeze, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\nInfla\u0163ia nu ajut\u0103. Aceasta dep\u0103\u00ad\u015fe\u015fte \u00een continuare 7% \u015fi nu este de a\u015fteptat s\u0103 se retrag\u0103 rapid.<\/p>\n
\nMajoritatea anali\u015ftilor se a\u015fteap\u00adt\u0103 ca Germania s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze o cre\u015f\u00adtere firav\u0103 \u00een acest an, \u00eens\u0103 mul\u0163i se tem c\u0103 cea mai mare economie va r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een impas pe o perioad\u0103 mai lung\u0103, noteaz\u0103 Financial Times.<\/p>\n
\nGermania este de a\u015fteptat s\u0103 fie cel mai slab performer din r\u00e2ndul mari\u00adlor economii ale lumii \u00een acest an, potrivit FMI, care anticipeaz\u0103 un de\u00adclin de 0,1% al PIB-ului german.<\/p>\n
\nAl\u0163i economi\u015fti, \u00eens\u0103, cred c\u0103 un declin al infla\u0163iei \u015fi accelerarea cre\u015fterii salariilor, combinate cu soliditatea pie\u0163ei muncii, vor sus\u0163ine cheltuielile consumatorilor germani \u015fi ajuta economia s\u0103 creasc\u0103 \u00een restul anului.<\/p>\n
\nBanca central\u0103 german\u0103 se a\u015fteapt\u0103 de asemenea ca economia s\u0103 creasc\u0103 modest \u00een T2, o revenire a industriei compens\u00e2nd stagnarea consumului gospod\u0103riilor \u015fi declinul construc\u0163iilor, scrie Reuters.<\/p>\n
\nC\u00e2t prive\u015fte zona euro ca \u00eentreg, amploarea revizuirii datelor privind PIB-ul german \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 cre\u015fterea zonei euro va fi probabil revizuit\u0103 \u00een jos pe T1. Alte revizuiri \u00een jos ar putea plasa regiunea \u00eentr-o recesiune tehnic\u0103, avertizeaz\u0103 economi\u015ftii Bloomberg Economics.<\/p>\n
\nItalia ar putea fi \u00een pericol s\u0103 intre la r\u00e2ndul s\u0103u \u00een recesiune dup\u0103 ce PIB-ul acesteia s-a contractat \u00een T4, 2022.<\/p>\n
\nC\u00e2t prive\u015fte Spania, electoratul \u0163\u0103rii se confrunt\u0103 cu o \u201ecriz\u0103 ciudat\u0103\u201c manifestat\u0103 printr-o rat\u0103 ridicat\u0103 a ocup\u0103rii for\u0163ei de munc\u0103 \u015fi pre\u0163uri \u00een cre\u015ftere, conform Financial Times.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sc\u0103derea consumului gospod\u0103\u00adriilor pe fondul erod\u0103rii puterii de cump\u0103rare, activitatea industrial\u0103 slab\u0103 \u015fi criza energetic\u0103 au f\u0103cut ca economia Germaniei, cea mai mare din Europa, s\u0103 se contracte \u00een primul trimestru al acestui an fa\u0163\u0103 de tri\u00admestrul anterior, intr\u00e2nd prin urmare \u00een recesiune.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[188,184,179],"class_list":["post-216321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-economie","tag-inflatie","tag-recesiune"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216321","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=216321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216321\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=216321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=216321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=216321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}