\n\u00cemb\u0103tr\u00e2nirea popula\u0163iei la nivel global afecteaz\u0103 deja finan\u0163ele publice din \u00eentreaga lume, iar agen\u0163iile de rating sunt de p\u0103rere c\u0103 declinul demografic, \u00een lipsa unor reforme radicale, va aduce guvernele lumii \u00een situa\u0163ia vor putea ob\u0163ine finan\u0163are mult mai greu \u015fi vor trebui s\u0103 majoreze taxele cet\u0103\u0163enilor, scrie Financial Times.<\/p>\n
\n\u201e\u00cen trecut, aspectele demografice erau o problem\u0103 la care ne uitam pe termen mediu \u015fi lung. \u00cen prezent, declinul afecteaz\u0103 deja ratingurile de credit ale guvernelor\u201d, a declarat Dietmar Hornung, associate managing director, \u00een cadrul Moody’s Investors Services.<\/p>\n
\nRezerva Federal\u0103 a SUA, Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 \u015fi Banca Angliei au majorat \u00een aceast\u0103 lun\u0103 ratele dob\u00e2nzilor la cele mai ridicate niveluri de la ultima criz\u0103 financiar\u0103 \u00eencoace – ceea ce a dus la cre\u015fterea costurilor de \u00eemprumut ale guvernelor.<\/p>\n
\n\u201e\u00cen timp ce evolu\u0163iile demografice se produc \u00eentr-un ritm lent, problema cauzat\u0103 de acestea se agraveaz\u0103. Efectele negative ale declinului demografic sunt deja resim\u0163ite puternic \u00een anumite \u0163\u0103ri, iar problema pare s\u0103 se agraveze \u00een continuu\u201d, a declarat Edward Parker, \u015feful global de cercetare pentru suverani \u015fi suprana\u0163ionali la Fitch, care a retrogradat luna trecut\u0103 ratingul de credit al Fran\u0163ei.<\/p>\n
\nAgen\u0163iile de rating spun c\u0103 majorarea costurilor de \u00eemprumut impacteaz\u0103 at\u00e2t popula\u0163ia, c\u00e2t \u015fi finan\u0163ele publice, care se confrunt\u0103 cu probleme pe fondul nevoilor de finan\u0163are pentru sistemului de s\u0103n\u0103tate \u015fi pensii.<\/p>\n
\nAcest lucru a afectat perspectivele de finan\u0163are \u00een UE, unde, potrivit Comisiei Europene, ponderea popula\u0163iei de peste 65 de ani va cre\u015fte de la 20% \u00een prezent la 30% p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2050, precum \u015fi \u00een Japonia \u015fi SUA.<\/p>\n
\nMarko Mrsnik, analist la S&P Global Ratings, a ad\u0103ugat c\u0103 o cre\u015ftere cu un singur punct procentual a costurilor de \u00eemprumut ar cre\u015fte raportul dintre datorie \u015fi PIB pentru Japonia, Italia, Regatul Unit \u015fi SUA cu aproximativ 40-60 de puncte procentuale p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2060.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eAceasta este o cre\u015ftere foarte important\u0103 \u015fi implic\u0103 faptul c\u0103, pentru ca datoria public\u0103 s\u0103 r\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 sustenabil\u0103, ar fi probabil necesare reforme care s\u0103 abordeze fie problemele legate de \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2nire, fie alte reforme fiscale\u201d, a declarat analistul.<\/p>\n
\nS&P a declarat \u00een ianuarie c\u0103 aproximativ jum\u0103tate dintre cele mai mari economii ale lumii vor fi retrogradate la categoria \u201ejunk\u201d p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2060, dac\u0103 nu se vor lua m\u0103suri pentru a atenua costurile generate de \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2nirea popula\u0163iei.<\/p>\n
\nAgen\u0163ia a estimat c\u0103, \u00een absen\u0163a unor reforme ale politicilor fiscale legate de \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2nirea popula\u0163iei, guvernele se vor confrunta cu un deficit de 9,1% din PIB p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2060, o cre\u015ftere uria\u015f\u0103 de la 2,4% \u00een 2025.<\/p>\n
\nAnali\u015ftii spun c\u0103, la nivel mondial, \u0163\u0103rile din Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi de Sud au printre cele mai proaste profiluri demografice, eviden\u0163iind totodat\u0103 Germania, a c\u0103rei popula\u0163ie \u00eemb\u0103tr\u00e2ne\u015fte cu una dintre cele mai rapide rate la nivel mondial.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00cemb\u0103tr\u00e2nirea popula\u0163iei la nivel global afecteaz\u0103 deja finan\u0163ele publice din \u00eentreaga lume, iar agen\u0163iile de rating sunt de p\u0103rere c\u0103 declinul demografic, \u00een lipsa unor reforme radicale, va aduce guvernele lumii \u00een situa\u0163ia vor putea ob\u0163ine finan\u0163are mult mai greu \u015fi vor trebui s\u0103 majoreze taxele cet\u0103\u0163enilor, scrie Financial Times. \u201e\u00cen trecut, aspectele demografice erau […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[246,9426,472,9,10796,7177],"class_list":["post-216031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-crestere","tag-declin","tag-finantare","tag-guvern","tag-imbatranire","tag-populatie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216031","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=216031"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216031\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":216038,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/216031\/revisions\/216038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=216031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=216031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=216031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}