{"id":214689,"date":"2023-04-03T12:47:26","date_gmt":"2023-04-03T12:47:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=214689"},"modified":"2023-04-03T12:47:26","modified_gmt":"2023-04-03T12:47:26","slug":"banca-mondiala-lanseaza-un-avertisment-cutremurator-cosmarul-recesiunii-se-intoarce-dupa-loviturile-incasate-de-sistemul-bancar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=214689","title":{"rendered":"Banca Mondial\u0103 lanseaz\u0103 un avertisment cutremur\u0103tor: Co\u015fmarul recesiunii se \u00eentoarce dup\u0103 loviturile \u00eencasate de sistemul bancar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nFalimentele creditorilor americani Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) \u015fi Signature Bank, urmate de salvarea Credit Suisse, \u015fi turbulen\u0163ele care au urmat pe pie\u0163ele mondiale au reaprins riscul de recesiune care p\u0103rea s\u0103 se fi diminuat \u00een urm\u0103 cu doar c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, avertizeaz\u0103 Banca Mondial\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nTraderii pariaz\u0103 acum c\u0103 Rezerva Federal\u0103 a terminat cu majorarea ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor. Optimismul care a urmat redeschiderii economice a Chinei \u015fi pr\u0103bu\u015firii pre\u0163urilor la energie la \u00eenceputul acestui an s-a stins rapid, scrie Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201ePe termen mediu, ceea ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u00een ultima lun\u0103, o s\u0103 impacteze cre\u015ferea global\u0103 care va fi mult mai slab\u0103 dec\u00e2t am estimat anterior\u201d, a declarat Mike Riddell, senior manager la Allianz Global Investors.<\/p>\n<p>\nBancherii centrali monitorizeaz\u0103 \u00eendeaproape indicatorii economici \u015fi presiunile care apar la nivelul sistemului bancar, pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 condi\u0163iile de creditare care erau deja \u00een\u0103sprite, care ar putea s\u0103 declan\u015feze o criz\u0103 a creditelor.<\/p>\n<p>\nGoldman Sachs estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een\u0103sprirea standardelor de creditare bancar\u0103 pe care o preconizeaz\u0103 ar putea \u015fterge cel pu\u0163in 0,25 p\u00e2n\u0103 la 0,5 puncte procentuale din cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 a SUA din 2023, echivalentul impactului a \u00eenc\u0103 25-50 de puncte de baz\u0103 de majorare a ratelor Fed.<\/p>\n<p>\nPe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce perspectivele devin din ce \u00een ce mai sumbre, traderii au pariat mar\u0163i c\u0103 o nou\u0103 majorare a dob\u00e2nzii Fed este \u201eprecum datul cu banul\u201d, pentru c\u0103 m\u0103sura ar putea influen\u0163a pozitiv economia, \u00eens\u0103 are de asemenea toate \u015fansele s\u0103 provoace probleme majore. Ratele BCE au sc\u0103zut u\u015for, p\u00e2n\u0103 la 3,4%, de la 4%, c\u00e2t erau la \u00eenceputul lunii martie.<\/p>\n<p>\nAc\u0163iunile bancare la nivel global, care au sc\u0103zut cu doar 0,1% \u00een martie \u015fi care \u00eenc\u0103 mai \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 c\u00e2\u015ftiguri \u00een acest an, par s\u0103 semnaleze un risc redus de recesiune, dar \u00eengrijor\u0103rile continu\u0103 s\u0103 creasc\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nAc\u0163iunile bancare globale, care au avut o performan\u0163\u0103 superioar\u0103 indicelui MSCI World Stock Index \u00eenainte de turbulen\u0163e, au sc\u0103zut cu aproape 15% \u00een aceast\u0103 lun\u0103. Sectoarele sensibile la perspectivele de cre\u015ftere, precum sectorul imobiliar \u015fi cel al petrolului \u015fi gazelor naturale, \u00eenregistreaz\u0103 o evolu\u0163ie slab\u0103 \u00een prezent.<\/p>\n<p>\nDatele ofer\u0103 \u00een continuare surprize pozitive, arat\u0103 un indice Citi Bank, &nbsp;suger\u00e2nd c\u0103 indicii economic nu au suferit evolu\u0163ii negative care s\u0103 sune alarma pentru recesiune.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centre timp, activitatea \u00eentreprinderilor din SUA \u015fi din zona euro a accelerat mai mult dec\u00e2t se a\u015ftepta \u00een martie.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eDatele (din SUA) au fost colectate \u00een mare parte dup\u0103 pr\u0103bu\u015firea SVB, ceea ce sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 impactul negativ ini\u0163ial al incertitudinii a fost modest\u201d, a declarat Kristoffer Kj\u00e6r Lomholt, \u015feful departamentului FX \u015fi analist-\u015fef la Danske Bank.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Falimentele creditorilor americani Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) \u015fi Signature Bank, urmate de salvarea Credit Suisse, \u015fi turbulen\u0163ele care au urmat pe pie\u0163ele mondiale au reaprins riscul de recesiune care p\u0103rea s\u0103 se fi diminuat \u00een urm\u0103 cu doar c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, avertizeaz\u0103 Banca Mondial\u0103. Traderii pariaz\u0103 acum c\u0103 Rezerva Federal\u0103 a terminat cu majorarea ratelor dob\u00e2nzilor. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[277,8665,21985,8312,47,179,8037],"class_list":["post-214689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-avertisment","tag-banca-mondiala","tag-cosmar","tag-incasari","tag-lansare","tag-recesiune","tag-sistem-bancar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=214689"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214689\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=214689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=214689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=214689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}