{"id":214447,"date":"2023-03-25T10:55:17","date_gmt":"2023-03-25T10:55:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=214447"},"modified":"2023-03-25T10:55:17","modified_gmt":"2023-03-25T10:55:17","slug":"agentia-americana-de-rating-fitch-a-imbunatatit-perspectiva-de-rating-de-tara-pentru-romania-de-la-negativ-la-stabil-prima-modificare-pozitiva-din-2020-incoace-ro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=214447","title":{"rendered":"Agen\u0163ia american\u0103 de rating Fitch a \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163it perspectiva de rating de \u0163ar\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia de la \u201enegativ\u201d la \u201estabil\u201d, prima modificare pozitiv\u0103 din 2020 \u00eencoace. Rom\u00e2nia r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00eens\u0103 pe ultima treapt\u0103 recomandat\u0103 investi\u0163iilor. Reac\u0163ia ministrului finan\u0163elor Adrian C\u00e2ciu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nAgen\u0163ia american\u0103 de rating Fitch a \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163it perspectiva de rating de \u0163ar\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia de la \u201enegativ\u201d la \u201estabil\u201d. Aceasta este prima modificare de perspectiv\u0103 \u00een sens pozitiv operat\u0103 de agen\u0163ia de rating. &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Decizia Fitch Ratings reprezint\u0103 o dovad\u0103 a recunoa\u015fterii interna\u0163ionale a agendei guvernului Rom\u00e2niei pentru a asigura consolidarea fiscal-bugetar\u0103 \u015fi confirmarea c\u0103 m\u0103surile deja adoptate au fost cele corecte, necesare pentru \u0163ara noastr\u0103 \u015fi extrem de a\u015fteptate de c\u0103tre to\u0163i partenerii no\u015ftri externi. Totodat\u0103, trebuie remarcate \u015fi estim\u0103rile pozitive ale agen\u0163iei referitoare la poten\u0163ialul de cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei pe termen mediu\u201d, a declarat ministrul finan\u0163elor Adrian C\u00e2ciu.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Ce spune Fitch: datoria public\u0103 raportat\u0103 la PIB s-a stabilizat la 49% \u00een 2021-2022 \u015fi deficitul bugetar va sc\u0103dea, dar mai pu\u0163in dec\u00e2t se a\u015fteapt\u0103 guvernul. Economia Rom\u00e2niei va cre\u015fte cu 2,3% \u00een 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nDatoria public\u0103 raportat\u0103 la PIB s-a stabilizat la aproape 49% din PIB \u00een 2021-2022 \u015fi preconiz\u0103m c\u0103 va r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een mare parte constant\u0103 pe termen mediu \u00een scenariul nostru de baz\u0103, sub mediana actual\u0103 \u201eBBB\u201d de 56%. Cre\u015fterea nominal\u0103 puternic\u0103 a economiei, par\u0163ial datorat\u0103 redres\u0103rii economice \u015fi par\u0163ial datorit\u0103 deflatorului ridicat al PIB (infla\u0163iei \u2013 n. red.), \u015fi reformele din ultimii ani, care au atenuat rigidit\u0103\u0163ile fiscale \u015fi au sporit capacitatea de cre\u015ftere a veniturilor, vor compensa deficitele bugetare relativ mari.<\/p>\n<p>\nSe estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 deficitul bugetar \u00een 2022 s-a \u00eenchis la aproximativ 6,3% din PIB. Proiec\u0163iile fiscale ale Fitch sunt doar pu\u0163in peste cele oficiale, cu un deficit bugetar de 4,6% din PIB \u00een 2023 \u015fi 4,0% \u00een 2024. Ne a\u015ftept\u0103m ca reducerea deficitului bugetar s\u0103 rezulte din venituri mai mari sus\u0163inute de reformele fiscale, \u00een timp ce raportul cheltuieli\/PIB va r\u0103m\u00e2ne stabil.<\/p>\n<p>\nUn mediu extern slab \u015fi sc\u0103derea veniturilor reale disponibile, declan\u015fat\u0103 de infla\u0163ia ridicat\u0103, vor \u00eencetini temporar cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 \u00een acest an. Fitch prognozeaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere a PIB-ului de 2,3% \u00een 2023 \u015fi 3% \u00een 2024, cu mult peste prognoza de cre\u015ftere a zonei euro de 0,8% \u015fi, respectiv, 1,4% \u015fi \u00een conformitate cu mediana \u201eBBB\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen aprilie 2020, agen\u0163ia de rating p\u0103stra ratingul de \u0163ar\u0103 al Rom\u00e2niei, dar \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163ea perspectiva, pe fondul crizei Covid \u015fi al efectelor pe care le poate avea \u00een finan\u0163ele publice. Perspectiva negativ\u0103 a fost men\u0163inut\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la anun\u0163ul Fitch din aceast\u0103 sear\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Agen\u0163ia american\u0103 de rating Fitch a \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163it perspectiva de rating de \u0163ar\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia de la \u201enegativ\u201d la \u201estabil\u201d. Aceasta este prima modificare de perspectiv\u0103 \u00een sens pozitiv operat\u0103 de agen\u0163ia de rating. &nbsp; &#8220;Decizia Fitch Ratings reprezint\u0103 o dovad\u0103 a recunoa\u015fterii interna\u0163ionale a agendei guvernului Rom\u00e2niei pentru a asigura consolidarea fiscal-bugetar\u0103 \u015fi confirmarea c\u0103 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[9646,10888,8061,23948,7504,98],"class_list":["post-214447","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-agentie","tag-americana","tag-fitch","tag-perspectiva","tag-rating","tag-romania"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214447","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=214447"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/214447\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=214447"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=214447"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=214447"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}