\nCristian Popa, , membru \u00een Consiliul de Administra\u0163ie al B\u0103ncii Na\u0163ionale a Rom\u00e2niei (BNR), a spus, al Deloitte CFO Summit 2023, c\u0103 infla\u0163ia va sc\u0103dea \u00een 2-23, iar din trimestrul al treilea va ajunge la o cifr\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eInfla\u0163ia cum a venit a\u015fa \u015fi pleac\u0103. Factorii exogeni care au dus infla\u0163ia sus duc \u00een mare parte \u015fi \u00een jos acum. Foarte important, asta nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 pre\u0163urile vor sc\u0103dea. Pre\u0163urile vor mai cre\u015fte, dar cu rate de cre\u015ftere mai mici.\u201d<\/p>\n
\nDeloitte Rom\u00e2nia organizeaz\u0103 ast\u0103zi, 15 februarie, cea de-a patra edi\u0163ie a Deloitte CFO Summit, conferin\u0163a dedicat\u0103 directorilor financiari.<\/p>\n
\nCe a mai spus Cristian Popa la Deloitte CFO Summit 2023:<\/p>\n
\nProblema cu care omenirea s-a confruntat era c\u0103 erau prea pu\u0163ine bunuri. Suntem \u00eentr-o situa\u0163ie nou\u0103. Toate b\u0103ncile centrale sunt con\u015ftient\u0103 c\u0103 sursa principal\u0103 a infla\u0163iei nu este cererea, pe care o controleaz\u0103 mai bine, ci oferta. Nu este ideal s\u0103 ataci acest gen de probleme cu cre\u015fteri de dob\u00e2nd\u0103, dar nu po\u0163i s\u0103 stai degeaba.<\/p>\n
\nInstrumentele de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 nu au capacitatea de a rezolva \u015focurile de partea ofertei, \u00eens\u0103 ele \u00eencep s\u0103 se amelioreze.<\/p>\n
\nPolitica monetar\u0103 este ca atunci c\u00e2nd dai drumul la du\u015f: dureaz\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 vine apa cald\u0103, mai \u00eent\u00e2i vine ap\u0103 rece. \u00cencepem s\u0103 vedem rezultatele. Este un mix ce vedem acum: componentele exogene devin dezinfla\u0163ioniste.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen trimestrul trei al acestui an ar trebui s\u0103 vedem infla\u0163ia la o cifr\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n
\nNu cred c\u0103 ratele-cheie vor sc\u0103dea prea cur\u00e2nd. C\u00e2nd vorbim de dob\u00e2nzile de pia\u0163\u0103, acolo se observ\u0103 normalizarea lichidit\u0103\u0163ii, care este factorul principal din spatele evolu\u0163iei ROBIR, care scade.<\/p>\n
\nLa dob\u00e2nzile de 0 \u015fi 1% nu cred cp vom reveni cur\u00e2nd, pentru c\u0103 sunt schimb\u0103ri structurale peste tot \u00een lume. Dob\u00e2nzile sunt o reac\u0163ie la infla\u0163ie, dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia coboar\u0103, coboar\u0103 \u015fi dob\u00e2nzile.<\/p>\n
\nSitua\u0163ia este c\u0103 atunci c\u00e2nd cursul se apreciaz\u0103, este considerat ca evolu\u0163ie pozitiv\u0103. \u00cens\u0103, c\u00e2nd ai deficit de cont curent at\u00e2t de mare, bine\u00een\u0163eles c\u0103 aceast\u0103 apreciere nu este neap\u0103rat de l\u0103udat. Poate fi o preocupare, a\u015f spune c\u0103 trebuie aten\u0163ie. Cum prea mult\u0103 depreciere stric\u0103, s-ar putea \u015fi ca prea mult\u0103 apreciere s\u0103 strice.<\/p>\n
\nNu vedem recesiune. Vedem mai degrab\u0103 un scenariu de reducere accelerat\u0103 a ritmului de cre\u015ftere. Vedem de asemenea c\u0103 pia\u0163a muncii este tensionat\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cristian Popa, , membru \u00een Consiliul de Administra\u0163ie al B\u0103ncii Na\u0163ionale a Rom\u00e2niei (BNR), a spus, al Deloitte CFO Summit 2023, c\u0103 infla\u0163ia va sc\u0103dea \u00een 2-23, iar din trimestrul al treilea va ajunge la o cifr\u0103. \u201eInfla\u0163ia cum a venit a\u015fa \u015fi pleac\u0103. Factorii exogeni care au dus infla\u0163ia sus duc \u00een mare parte […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[185,246,184,340,80],"class_list":["post-213205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bnr","tag-crestere","tag-inflatie","tag-preturi","tag-refuz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=213205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213205\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=213205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=213205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=213205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}