{"id":211207,"date":"2022-12-17T13:12:50","date_gmt":"2022-12-17T13:12:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=211207"},"modified":"2022-12-17T13:12:50","modified_gmt":"2022-12-17T13:12:50","slug":"previziuni-explozie-de-cazuri-covid-si-peste-un-milion-de-decese-pana-in-2023-in-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=211207","title":{"rendered":"Previziuni. Explozie de cazuri COVID \u015fi peste un milion de decese p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2023 \u00een China"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nRidicarea brusc\u0103 a restric\u0163iilor severe anti-COVID \u00een China ar putea duce la o explozie de cazuri \u015fi la peste un milion de decese p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2023, potrivit noilor proiec\u0163ii ale Institutului pentru M\u0103surarea \u015fi Evaluarea S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u0163ii (IHME).<\/p>\n<p>\nConform previziunilor grupului, cazurile din China ar atinge un v\u00e2rf \u00een jurul datei de 1 aprilie, c\u00e2nd num\u0103rul deceselor ar ajunge la 322.000. Aproximativ o treime din popula\u0163ia Chinei va fi fost infectat\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 atunci, a declarat directorul IHME, Christopher Murray, citat de Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>\nAutoritatea Na\u0163ional\u0103 de S\u0103n\u0103tate din China nu a raportat oficial niciun deces COVID de la ridicarea restric\u0163iilor COVID. Ultimele decese oficiale au fost raportate pe 3 decembrie.<\/p>\n<p>\nNum\u0103rul total al deceselor cauzate de pandemie se ridic\u0103 la 5.235.<\/p>\n<p>\nChina a ridicat unele dintre cele mai severe restric\u0163ii COVID din lume \u00een decembrie, dup\u0103 proteste publice f\u0103r\u0103 precedent, iar acum se confrunt\u0103 cu o cre\u015ftere a num\u0103rului de infec\u0163ii, exist\u00e2nd temeri c\u0103 virusul ar putea infecta \u00eentreaga popula\u0163ie de 1,4 miliarde de locuitori \u00een timpul s\u0103rb\u0103torii de Anul Nou Lunar de luna viitoare.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;Nimeni nu a crezut c\u0103 vor r\u0103m\u00e2ne la zero-COVID at\u00e2t de mult timp c\u00e2t au f\u0103cut-o&#8221;, a declarat Murray.<\/p>\n<p>\nEste posibil ca politica zero-COVID a Chinei s\u0103 fi fost eficient\u0103 pentru a \u0163ine la distan\u0163\u0103 variantele anterioare ale virusului, dar transmisibilitatea ridicat\u0103 a variantelor Omicron a f\u0103cut-o imposibil de sus\u0163inut, a spus el.<\/p>\n<p>\n&#8220;De la focarul ini\u0163ial de la Wuhan, China abia dac\u0103 a raportat vreun deces. De aceea ne-am uitat la Hong Kong pentru a avea o idee despre rata mortalit\u0103\u0163ii cauzate de infec\u0163ie&#8221;, a declarat Murray.<\/p>\n<p>\nAl\u0163i exper\u0163i se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca aproximativ 60% din popula\u0163ia Chinei s\u0103 fie \u00een cele din urm\u0103 infectat\u0103, cu un v\u00e2rf a\u015fteptat \u00een luna ianuarie, lovind cel mai puternic popula\u0163iile vulnerabile, cum ar fi persoanele \u00een v\u00e2rst\u0103 \u015fi cele cu afec\u0163iuni preexistente.<\/p>\n<p>\nPrintre principalele motive de \u00eengrijorare se num\u0103r\u0103 num\u0103rul mare de persoane vulnerabile din China, utilizarea unor vaccinuri mai pu\u0163in eficiente \u015fi acoperirea vaccinal\u0103 sc\u0103zut\u0103 \u00een r\u00e2ndul persoanelor de 80 de ani \u015fi mai \u00een v\u00e2rst\u0103, care prezint\u0103 cel mai mare risc de \u00eemboln\u0103vire grav\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ridicarea brusc\u0103 a restric\u0163iilor severe anti-COVID \u00een China ar putea duce la o explozie de cazuri \u015fi la peste un milion de decese p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2023, potrivit noilor proiec\u0163ii ale Institutului pentru M\u0103surarea \u015fi Evaluarea S\u0103n\u0103t\u0103\u0163ii (IHME). Conform previziunilor grupului, cazurile din China ar atinge un v\u00e2rf \u00een jurul datei de 1 aprilie, c\u00e2nd num\u0103rul [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[6545,46210],"class_list":["post-211207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-china","tag-covid"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211207","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=211207"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/211207\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=211207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=211207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=211207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}