\nMinistrul de Finan\u0163e, Adrian C\u00e2ciu, a declarat miercuri, coment\u00e2nd revizuirea datelor publicate de INS despre cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din T1, c\u0103 institu\u0163ia nu a gre\u015fit, ci a aplecat un alt model econometric de calcul.<\/p>\n
\n\u201dDin perspectiva afirma\u0163iilor unor anali\u015fti, sunt fanul anali\u015ftilor, m-a\u015f \u00eentreba de ce nu se uita la prognoza Comisiei Europene. Este u\u015for s\u0103 arunci cu noroi \u00eentr-o institu\u0163ie na\u0163ional\u0103 pentru c\u0103 probabil nu \u00ee\u0163i r\u0103spunde \u00een fiecare zi la televizor. Totu\u015fi, indiferent ce ne spune INS, indiferent c\u0103 a aplicat o metodologie nou\u0103 sau c\u0103 a restructurat anumite date pe trimestrul 1 sau 2, este mult mai prudent dec\u00e2t ceea ce ne spune Comisia European\u0103 sau FMI. Oare to\u0163i manipuleaz\u0103 datele \u015fi numai anali\u015ftii nostri \u015ftiu s\u0103 fac\u0103 datele?. Chiar \u00eei rog s\u0103 fac\u0103 ei datele \u015fi s\u0103 spun\u0103 c\u00e2t e PIB-ul\u201d, a spus C\u00e2ciu, r\u0103spunz\u00e2nd unei \u00eentreb\u0103ri \u00een cadrul conferin\u0163ei de pres\u0103 dup\u0103 \u015fedin\u0163a de govern.<\/p>\n
\nMinistrul a spus c\u0103 unii anali\u015fti au devenit \u201dp\u0103rerologi de profesie\u201d, dar nu au nimerit estim\u0103rile.<\/p>\n
\n\u201d\u00centreba\u0163i-i c\u00e2\u0163i dintre ei au spus c\u0103 vom termina pe cre\u015ftere economic\u0103 \u00een trimestrul \u00eent\u00e2i. La fel, c\u00e2\u0163i dintre marii trezorieri de b\u0103nci comerciale din Rom\u00e2nia, care sunt \u015fi anali\u015fti economici \u015fi mai apar la TV spuneau c\u0103 Romania va avea o cre\u015ftere de 4,6% sau de 5%\u201d.<\/p>\n
\nAdrian C\u00e2ciu a mai spus c\u0103 i se pare pu\u0163in ipocrit s\u0103 facem analize arunc\u00e2nd o anatem\u0103 asupra unei institu\u0163ii.<\/p>\n
\n\u201dChiar ar fi bine s\u0103 ias\u0103 institu\u0163ia s\u0103 clarifice de ce apar astfel de revizuiri, dac\u0103 se \u00eenscriu pe metodologie. PE to\u0163i ne-a surprins cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din T1, a fost mult mai mare dec\u00e2t ne prognozam. Dar a\u015f vrea s\u0103 fim mai re\u0163inu\u0163i la analiza pe care o facem la TV, dac\u0103 niciodat\u0103 nu au nimerit-o\u201d<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen final, ministrul a precizat c\u0103 nu crede c\u0103 INS a gre\u015fit, ci ca aplicat alt model econometric care a adus anumite elemente \u00een plus, fa\u0163\u0103 de minis.<\/p>\n
\n\u201dNoi preg\u0103tim bugetul pe datele de la Comisia Na\u0163ional\u0103 de Prognoz\u0103. Avem o cre\u015ftere mai mica dec\u00e2t \u00een acest an. De la ea plec\u0103m, ne uit\u0103m la raportul pe infla\u0163ie de la BNR \u015fi ajust\u0103m \u015fi pe venituri \u015fi pe costuri\u201d<\/p>\n
\nInstitutul Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103 a revizuit cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din T1 2022 fa\u0163\u0103 de T4 2021, de la 5,2% c\u00e2t a anun\u0163at \u00een luna mai, la 1,5% \u00een cel mai recent comunicat, emis mar\u0163i. <\/span><\/p>\n \nINS explic\u0103 modificarea cifrelor prin actualizarea sistemului informatic: \u201dSeria ajustat\u0103 sezonier a Produsului Intern Brut s-a modificat \u00een urma actualizarii cu ultima versiune a programului JDemetra 2.2.3, a modific\u0103rii modelului, a num\u0103rului de regresori folosi\u0163i, a revizuirii seriei brute \u015fi a num\u0103rului de observa\u0163ii disponibile \u00een conformitate cu recomand\u0103rile privind practicile europene \u00een contextul trat\u0103rii efectelor de criz\u0103 a pandemiei COVID \u2013 19.\u201d, se precizeaz\u0103 \u00een comunicatul INS de mar\u0163i, 15 noiembrie.<\/p>\n \n <\/p>\n \n \n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ministrul de Finan\u0163e, Adrian C\u00e2ciu, a declarat miercuri, coment\u00e2nd revizuirea datelor publicate de INS despre cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 din T1, c\u0103 institu\u0163ia nu a gre\u015fit, ci a aplecat un alt model econometric de calcul. \u201dDin perspectiva afirma\u0163iilor unor anali\u015fti, sunt fanul anali\u015ftilor, m-a\u015f \u00eentreba de ce nu se uita la prognoza Comisiei Europene. Este u\u015for s\u0103 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7734,80],"class_list":["post-210282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analisti","tag-refuz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=210282"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/210282\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=210282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=210282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=210282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\n <\/p>\n