{"id":209985,"date":"2022-11-07T20:09:33","date_gmt":"2022-11-07T20:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=209985"},"modified":"2022-11-07T20:09:33","modified_gmt":"2022-11-07T20:09:33","slug":"tensiunile-sunt-in-crestere-pentru-ca-scumpirile-dramatice-din-europa-centrala-si-de-est-vor-persista-vreme-mai-indelungata","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=209985","title":{"rendered":"Tensiunile sunt \u00een cre\u015ftere pentru c\u0103 scumpirile dramatice din Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi de Est vor persista vreme mai \u00eendelungat\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nEuropa Central\u0103 \u015fi de Est se afl\u0103 de luni \u00eentregi \u00een prima linie a b\u0103t\u0103liei cu infla\u0163ia, conduc\u00e2nd at\u00e2t din punct de vedere al acceler\u0103rii presiunilor in\u00adfla\u0163ioniste, c\u00e2t \u015fi al eforturilor c\u00e2teo\u00addat\u0103 inegale ale b\u0103ncilor cen\u00adtrale din regiune de a le restr\u00e2nge, scrie Euractiv.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen timp ce \u00een Europa occidental\u0103 pre\u0163urile sunt a\u015fteptate a fi aduse sub control \u00een decurs de un an, \u00een aceast\u0103 regiune infla\u0163ia ar putea persista.<\/p>\n<p>\nPre\u0163urile p\u00e2inii \u015fi br\u00e2nzei au cres\u00adcut cu aproximativ 70% \u00een termeni anuali \u00een Ungaria \u00een septembrie, \u00een timp ce pre\u0163urile zah\u0103rului au urcat cu 50% \u00een Polonia.<\/p>\n<p>\nCu sindicatele negociind majo\u00adr\u0103ri salariale consistente pentru men\u00ad\u0163inerea puterii de cump\u0103rare \u015fi com\u00adpaniile major\u00e2nd pre\u0163urile pentru a-\u015fi proteja marjele de profit, riscurile ca \u00eencetinirea economic\u0103 ce urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 nu restr\u00e2ng\u0103 infla\u0163ia \u00een m\u0103sura \u00een care bancherii centrali sper\u0103 sunt \u00een cre\u015ftere. \u00cen Ungaria, infla\u0163ia nu pare deocamdat\u0103 s\u0103 fi atins un v\u00e2rf, iar puterea de cump\u0103rare a salariilor s-a deteriorat \u00een septembrie, potrivit Budapest Business Journal.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eCu c\u00e2t infla\u0163ia \u015fi presiunile sala\u00adriale se men\u0163in at\u00e2t de puternice, cu at\u00e2t cre\u015fte riscul ca dob\u00e2nzi mai mari \u015fi cre\u015fteri mai \u00eensemnate ale \u015foma\u00adjului s\u0103 fie necesare pentru sl\u0103birea cererii \u015fi restabilirea stabilit\u0103\u0163ii pre\u0163u\u00adrilor\u201c, a declarat Nicholas Farr, eco\u00adnomist \u00een cadrul Capital Economics, pentru Euractiv.<\/p>\n<p>\nCredibilitatea b\u0103ncilor centrale din regiune a fost testat\u0103 luna trecut\u0103 c\u00e2nd pr\u0103bu\u015firea forintului a for\u0163at banca central\u0103 maghiar\u0103 s\u0103 opereze o majorare de urgen\u0163\u0103 a dob\u00e2nzii la s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni dup\u0103 ce aceasta \u00eencercase s\u0103 pun\u0103 cap\u0103t scumpirii creditului cu infla\u0163ia \u00eenc\u0103 \u00een cre\u015ftere.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u015ei \u00een Polonia, majoritatea strate\u00adgi\u00adlor b\u0103ncii centrale sugereaz\u0103 un sf\u00e2r\u00ad\u015fit al major\u0103rilor de dob\u00e2nzi cu cre\u015fterea a\u015fteptat\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eencetineasc\u0103 puternic \u00een 2023, \u00eens\u0103 men\u0163inerea infla\u0163iei sub control ar putea fi dificil\u0103 cu guvernul av\u00e2nd \u00een plan cheltuieli \u00eenaintea alegerilor na\u0163ionale.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen Cehia, guvernatorul b\u0103ncii centrale Ales Michl a anun\u0163at c\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile se vor men\u0163ine ridicate pentru o vreme, o reducere nefiind prognozat\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care presiunile infla\u0163ioniste din afar\u0103 se men\u0163in ridicate, scrie Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>\nGospod\u0103riile din regiune se a\u015fteapt\u0103 la noi cre\u015fteri de pre\u0163uri, iar negocierile salariale vor conduce la o cre\u015ftere mult mai mare a salariilor dec\u00e2t \u00een trecut, noteaz\u0103 Euractiv.<\/p>\n<p>\nImpactul economic al r\u0103zboiului din Ucraina a exacerbat presiunile infla\u0163ioniste deja ridicate datorate deficitelor de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103, anilor de costuri de finan\u0163are ultrasc\u0103zute \u015fi stimulente fiscale. Iar \u00een ECE nu exist\u0103 niciun semn c\u0103 presiunile asupra pre\u0163urilor vor sl\u0103bi \u00een cur\u00e2nd.<\/p>\n<p>\nMarek Drimal, strateg la SocGen, se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia din Polonia s\u0103 ating\u0103 un v\u00e2rf de peste 20% \u00een februarie \u015fi s\u0103 dep\u0103\u015feasc\u0103 10% cel pu\u0163in p\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului 2024. Infla\u0163ia din Ungaria ar putea atinge 24% \u00een februarie-aprilie, ajung\u00e2nd la o singur\u0103 cifr\u0103 la mijlocul anului 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\nPotrivit unui sondaj al b\u0103ncii centrale cehe, companiile se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca infla\u0163ia anual\u0103 s\u0103 se situeze la 10,3% \u00eentr-un an \u015fi la 7,5% \u00een trei ani.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomi\u015ftii Erste avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 infla\u0163ia din regiune ar putea deveni un \u201efenomen persistent\u201c.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Europa Central\u0103 \u015fi de Est se afl\u0103 de luni \u00eentregi \u00een prima linie a b\u0103t\u0103liei cu infla\u0163ia, conduc\u00e2nd at\u00e2t din punct de vedere al acceler\u0103rii presiunilor in\u00adfla\u0163ioniste, c\u00e2t \u015fi al eforturilor c\u00e2teo\u00addat\u0103 inegale ale b\u0103ncilor cen\u00adtrale din regiune de a le restr\u00e2nge, scrie Euractiv.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[20170,7267,13374,184,34,7963,53180],"class_list":["post-209985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-banca-centrala","tag-banci","tag-europa-centrala-si-de-est","tag-inflatie","tag-salarii","tag-scumpiri","tag-scumpiri-dramatice"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=209985"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209985\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=209985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=209985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=209985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}