{"id":209744,"date":"2022-10-31T08:23:37","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T08:23:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=209744"},"modified":"2022-10-31T08:23:37","modified_gmt":"2022-10-31T08:23:37","slug":"recesiunea-anulata-sau-doar-amanata","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=209744","title":{"rendered":"Recesiunea: anulat\u0103 sau doar am\u00e2nat\u0103?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nCea mai mare economie euro\u00adpea\u00adn\u0103, a Germaniei, a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u015ftere suprinz\u0103toare \u00een trimestrul al treilea, \u00eens\u0103 acest lucru nu \u00een\u00adseam\u00adn\u0103 c\u0103 \u0163ara va reu\u015fi s\u0103 evite o recesiu\u00adne, sus\u0163in anali\u015ftii. Cea mai mare economie a lumii, cea american\u0103, a avansat cu 2,6% \u00een termeni anuali \u00een acela\u015fi trimestru \u015fi toat\u0103 lumea se \u00een\u00adtreab\u0103 dac\u0103 aceasta se \u00eendreapt\u0103 spre recesiune sau tocmai a evitat una, scrie Ziarul Financiar.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomia german\u0103 a avansat \u00een mod nea\u015fteptat \u00een trimestrul III, cea mai mare economie european\u0103 reu\u00ad\u015find s\u0103 evite deocamdat\u0103 amenin\u0163a\u00adrea recesiunii \u00een pofida infla\u0163iei ridi\u00adcate \u015fi temerilor privind aproviziona\u00adrea cu energie, relateaz\u0103 Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>\nPIB-ul german a crescut cu 0,3% \u00een T3 fa\u0163\u0103 de T2. Anali\u015ftii chestiona\u0163i de Reuters previzionaser\u0103 o sc\u0103dere de 0,2%. \u00cen termeni anuali, PIB-ul a avansat cu 1,2% \u00een T3. \u00cen ultimul ra\u00adport, guvernul a anticipat o viitoare recesiune \u00een Germania.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen perspectiv\u0103, cre\u015fterea surprin\u00adz\u0103\u00adtoare din T3 nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 dis\u00adcur\u00adsul privind recesiunea s-a modifi\u00adcat, sus\u0163in anali\u015ftii de la ING. \u201eTo\u0163i indica\u00adtorii importan\u0163i semnaleaz\u0103 o sl\u0103bire \u00een continuare a economiei \u00een T4. Alu\u00adnecarea treptat\u0103 \u00een recesiune conti\u00adnu\u0103. Companiile \u015fi gospod\u0103riile su\u00adfer\u0103 din ce \u00een ce mai mult de pe ur\u00adma scumpirii energiei \u015fi infla\u0163iei ridi\u00adcate, ajust\u00e2ndu-\u015fi consumul \u015fi investi\u00ad\u0163ii\u00adle. Ultimul pachet de sus\u0163inere al gu\u00adver\u00adnului, dac\u0103 nu va fi implemen\u00adtat re\u00adtro\u00adactiv, nu va face dec\u00e2t s\u0103 ate\u00adnueze recesiunea viitoare\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>\nA doua mare economie euro\u00adpea\u00adn\u0103, a Fran\u0163ei, a avansat mai lent \u00een T3, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care cheltuielile de consum au stagnat pe fondul in\u00adfla\u0163iei ridicate \u015fi \u00eencetinirii exportu\u00adrilor. \u00cens\u0103, de\u015fi activitatea economic\u0103 se men\u0163ine solid\u0103 \u00een Fran\u0163a, un nivel ridicat al sto\u00adcurilor \u015fi o deteriorare a comenzilor ar putea afecta exportu\u00adrile \u00een T4, iar in\u00adfla\u0163ia va continua s\u0103 erodeze cheltuie\u00adlile, avertizeaz\u0103 a\u00adnali\u015ftii de la ING.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte a treia mare economie a Europei, cea italian\u0103, da\u00adtele indic\u0103 un declin \u00een T4. Datele privind \u00eencrederea consumatorilor pentru octombrie arat\u0103 sc\u0103deri \u00een toa\u00adte sectoarele de business, cu ex\u00adcep\u0163ia serviciilor. Date ce vor fi publi\u00adcate s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na aceasta vor ar\u0103ta dac\u0103 economia italian\u0103 a reu\u015fit s\u0103 evite o sc\u0103dere \u00een T3.<\/p>\n<p>\nRitmul de cre\u015ftere a economiei spaniole a \u00eencetinit semnificativ la 0,2% \u00een T3 fa\u0163\u0103 de T2, c\u00e2nd a avansat cu 1,5%, u\u015for sub a\u015ftept\u0103ri. Potrivit guvernului spaniol, economia \u0163\u0103rii nu va intra \u00een recesiune \u00een urm\u0103toarele trimestre, aceasta baz\u00e2ndu-\u015fi speran\u00ad\u0163ele pe rezilien\u0163a pie\u0163ei muncii.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen cazul economiei americane, re\u00adzi\u00adlien\u0163a consumatorilor \u015fi compa\u00adnii\u00adlor se afl\u0103 \u00een spatele ultimului a\u00advans, consumul personal, cu cea mai mare contribu\u0163ie la economie cres\u00adc\u00e2nd \u00eentr-un ritm de 1,4%, peste a\u015f\u00adtep\u00adt\u0103ri, dar \u00een \u00eencetinire fa\u0163\u0103 de tri\u00admestrul anterior, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>\nDe\u015fi cre\u015fterea economic\u0103 este de obicei un semn bun, unii observatori sunt \u00eengrijora\u0163i c\u0103 aceast\u0103 soliditate a economiei \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 Fed-ul va trebui s\u0103 majoreze \u00een continuare dob\u00e2nzile pentru a aduce infla\u0163ia sub control, ceea ce va duce \u00een ultim\u0103 instan\u0163\u0103 la o \u00eencetinire.<\/p>\n<p>\nUltimele date sunt interpretate \u00een mod diferit, pre\u015fedintele Joe Biden spun\u00e2nd c\u0103 acestea demonstreaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia \u00ee\u015fi continu\u0103 cre\u015fterea solid\u0103, \u00een timp ce economi\u015ftii de la Morgan Stanely spun c\u0103 T3 va marca probabil un v\u00e2rf al cre\u015fterii.<\/p>\n<p>\nMajoritatea anali\u015ftilor sunt de acord c\u0103 economia american\u0103 nu este \u00eenc\u0103 \u00een recesiune, dar va fi \u00een cur\u00e2nd.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cea mai mare economie european\u0103, a Germaniei, a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u015ftere suprinz\u0103toare \u00een trimestrul al treilea, \u00eens\u0103 acest lucru nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 \u0163ara va reu\u015fi s\u0103 evite o recesiune, sus\u0163in anali\u015ftii. Cea mai mare economie a lumii, cea american\u0103, a avansat cu 2,6% \u00een termeni anuali.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[7921,179,106],"class_list":["post-209744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-germania","tag-recesiune","tag-sua"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=209744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/209744\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=209744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=209744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=209744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}