{"id":207816,"date":"2022-08-31T19:17:59","date_gmt":"2022-08-31T19:17:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=207816"},"modified":"2022-08-31T19:17:59","modified_gmt":"2022-08-31T19:17:59","slug":"marile-banci-centrale-ale-lumii-sunt-bombardate-de-date-care-le-incurajeaza-sa-mearga-pe-calea-majorarilor-agresive-de-dobanzi-probabil-ca-asa-si-vor-face","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=207816","title":{"rendered":"Marile b\u0103nci centrale ale lumii sunt bombardate de date care le \u00eencurajeaz\u0103 s\u0103 mearg\u0103 pe calea major\u0103rilor agresive de dob\u00e2nzi. Probabil c\u0103 a\u015fa \u015fi vor face"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\u00cen zona euro, infla\u0163ia a acce\u00adlerat la un nou maxim istoric, adu\u00adc\u00e2nd un argument \u00een plus pentru care Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 ia \u00een considerate o majorare agresiv\u0103 de dob\u00e2nzi \u00een \u015fedin\u0163a de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na viitoare, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>\nPre\u0163urile de consum din bloc au urcat cu 9,1% \u00een august fa\u0163\u0103 de aceea\u015fi lun\u0103 a anului trecut, peste a\u015ftept\u0103rile medii ale economi\u015ftilor ce indicau 9%.<\/p>\n<p>\nCel mai rapid urcu\u015f al pre\u0163urilor de la introducerea monedei euro din urm\u0103 cu peste dou\u0103 decenii \u00eei va determina pe strategii din Frankfurt s\u0103 caute un echilibru delicat: dob\u00e2n\u00adzile trebuie majorate suficient pentru a \u00eempinge infla\u0163ia \u00eenapoi c\u0103tre \u0163inta de 2%, dar nu at\u00e2t de sus \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 sufoce orice av\u00e2nt economic r\u0103mas pe fondul temerilor privind o posibil\u0103 \u00eentrerupere a livr\u0103rilor de gaze ru\u00adse\u015fti \u00een aceast\u0103 iarn\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centrebarea acum este dac\u0103 noile date sunt suficiente pentru a determi\u00adna BCE s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nzile cu 75 de puncte baz\u0103. O astfel de majo\u00adrare a fost aplicat\u0103 de banca central\u0103 a\u00admerican\u0103 (Fed) de dou\u0103 ori deja, de\u015fi oficialii BCE avertizeaz\u0103 \u00eempo\u00adtriva urm\u0103rii unei c\u0103i similare \u00een con\u00addi\u0163iile \u00een care Europa se preg\u0103te\u015fte de recesiune.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u015ease membri ai consiliului gu\u00advernator al b\u0103ncii au declarat public c\u0103 cred c\u0103 o majorare de peste 50 de puncte baz\u0103 ar trebui discutat\u0103, pie\u0163ele pun\u00e2nd probabilitatea unei ma\u00adjo\u00adr\u0103ri cu 75 de puncte la peste 60%. Al\u0163i oficiali au pledat pentru precau\u0163ie, \u00eens\u0103. Philip Lane, econo\u00admist-\u015fef al b\u0103ncii, a \u00eendemnat recent pentru un \u201e\u00adpas constant\u201c al major\u0103\u00adrilor pentru minimizarea riscului de perturb\u0103ri, \u00een timp ce Fabio Panetta, membru al boardului executiv al BCE, a de\u00adclarat c\u0103 o economie \u00een \u00eence\u00adtinire va ajuta la temperarea infla\u0163iei.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen SUA, num\u0103rul posturilor va\u00adcante \u015fi un indicator al \u00eencrederii con\u00adsu\u00admatorilor au dep\u0103\u015fit a\u015ftept\u0103rile, relev\u00e2nd soliditatea cererii gospod\u0103\u00adri\u00adilor \u015fi a pie\u0163ei muncii, ce risc\u0103 s\u0103 sus\u0163in\u0103 presiunile infla\u0163ioniste \u015fi sporind probabilitatea ca Fed-ul s\u0103 decid\u0103 o a treia majorare de 75 de puncte baz\u0103 a dob\u00e2nzilor.<\/p>\n<p>\nIndicatorul privind \u00eencrederea consumatorilor a urcat la un maxim pe trei luni, semnal\u00e2nd de asemenea planuri mai ferme de achizi\u0163ii de electrocasnice \u015fi autovehicule.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00centre timp, num\u0103rul locurilor de munc\u0103 vacante a crescut \u00een mod nea\u015fteptat la 11,2 milioane \u00een iulie, aproape de un nivel record.<\/p>\n<p>\nCombinate, cele dou\u0103 cifre indi\u00adc\u0103 cerere solid\u0103 de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103 \u015fi cerere rezistent\u0103 din partea gospod\u0103\u00adriilor, chiar \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care ban\u00adcherii centrali ameircani apas\u0103 mai tare pe fr\u00e2nele politicii monetare. \u00cen lipsa unei \u00eencetiniri a cheltuielilor con\u00adsumatorilor \u015fi o temperare a pre\u00adsiunilor salariale, lupta Fed-ului cu infla\u0163ia va deveni \u015fi mai dificil\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nInvestitorii \u00eenclin\u0103 acum c\u0103tre o nou\u0103 majorare de 75 de puncte baz\u0103 a dob\u00e2nzilor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cen zona euro, infla\u0163ia a acce\u00adlerat la un nou maxim istoric, adu\u00adc\u00e2nd un argument \u00een plus pentru care Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 ia \u00een considerate o majorare agresiv\u0103 de dob\u00e2nzi \u00een \u015fedin\u0163a de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na viitoare, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8830,187,184,9701,52426,13242],"class_list":["post-207816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bce","tag-dobanzi","tag-inflatie","tag-majorari","tag-marile-banci-centrale","tag-zona-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207816","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=207816"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207816\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=207816"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=207816"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=207816"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}