\nLumea se afl\u0103 \u00een fa\u0163a posibilit\u0103\u0163ii unei serii de colapsuri economice care ar putea destabiliza vie\u0163ile a mili\u00adoane de oameni, scrie Grid.<\/p>\n
\nSri Lanka ar putea fi doar \u00eence\u00adputul. \u0162ara sud-asiatic\u0103, considerat\u0103 c\u00e2ndva o \u201ebijuterie ascuns\u0103\u201c, a fost absorbit\u0103 \u00eentr-o gaur\u0103 neagr\u0103 finan\u00adciar\u0103 dup\u0103 ce mun\u0163i de datorii au zdr\u00adobit sector dup\u0103 sector. Criza datorii\u00adlor a declan\u015fat proteste pe scar\u0103 larg\u0103.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cens\u0103 Sri Lanka nu este singur\u0103, avertizeaz\u0103 exper\u0163ii, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care o serie de \u0163\u0103ri se clatin\u0103 sub gr\u0103\u00admezi uria\u015fe de datorii. Pe m\u0103\u00adsur\u0103 ce crizele datoriilor se intensifi\u00adc\u0103, iar o economie mondial\u0103 fragil\u0103 se lupt\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 fa\u0163\u0103 impactului r\u0103z\u00adboiului din Ucraina, consecin\u0163ele se pot reper\u00adcuta cu mult dincolo de gra\u00adni\u0163ele \u0163\u0103ri\u00adlor respective. Lumea se a\u00adfl\u0103 \u00een fa\u0163a posibilit\u0103\u0163ii unei serii de co\u00adlapsuri economice care ar putea des\u00adta\u00adbi\u00adliza vie\u0163ile a milioane de oameni.<\/p>\n
\nO analiz\u0103 Bloomberg recent\u0103 a identificat 19 \u0163\u0103ri cu probleme acute legate de datorii. Acestea ar putea fi for\u0163ate s\u0103 apeleze la institu\u0163ii ca FMI pentru un bailout. Unele ar putea ob\u00ad\u0163ine un bailout, altele nu. Pachetele FMI, de exemplu, vin cu condi\u0163ii stric\u00ad\u00adte \u015fi adesea dureroase. F\u0103r\u0103 bailout, economia unei \u0163\u0103ri se poate pr\u0103bu\u015fi. Ob\u0163inerea unui bailout, \u00eentre timp, ar putea \u00eensemna durere eco\u00adnomic\u0103 general\u0103 pentru cei peste 900 de mili\u00adoane de locuitori ai acestor \u0163\u0103ri.<\/p>\n
\nPentru economi\u015fti, acest lucru \u00een\u00adseamn\u0103 c\u0103 scenele din Sri Lanka ar pu\u00adtea reprezenta doar \u00eenceputul unui \u00een\u00adtreg nou co\u015fmar mondial postpan\u00addemic. \u00cen urma reducerii dob\u00e2nzilor dup\u0103 criza financiar\u0103 din 2008, o mul\u00ad\u0163ime de \u0163\u0103ri s-au \u00eemprumutat, \u00eens\u0103 nu de la creditori bilaterali sau multila\u00adterali, ci de la creditori priva\u0163i.<\/p>\n
\nAcum, cu nivelurile record ale in\u00adfla\u0163iei \u015fi ma\u00adjorarea dob\u00e2nzilor, \u0163\u0103rile mai s\u0103race se confrunt\u0103 cu costuri \u00een cre\u015ftere le\u00adgate de rambursarea datorii\u00adlor acu\u00admu\u00adlate. Iar acest lucru se \u00eent\u00e2m\u00adpl\u0103 \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 cu pre\u0163uri mai mari la alimente \u015fi carburan\u0163i \u015fi un context economic \u00eenc\u0103 fragil dup\u0103 pandemie.<\/p>\n
\nChina este v\u0103zut\u0103 ca a fi jucat un rol major \u00een alimentarea acestei crize a datoriilor. Totu\u015fi, Matthew Mingey, analist la Rhodium Group, sus\u0163ine c\u0103 responsabilitatea privind problemele legate de datorii apar\u0163ine ambelor p\u0103r\u0163i: \u0163\u0103rilor care s-au \u00eendatorat \u015fi Chinei.<\/p>\n
\nAcum, \u00eentrebarea urgent\u0103 este cum se poate ie\u015fi din aceast\u0103 criz\u0103. Poate c\u0103 cea mai rapid\u0103 cale este de a diminua o surs\u0103 major\u0103 de presiune asupra tuturor economiilor cu veni\u00adturi sc\u0103zute: pre\u0163urile extrem de ridi\u00adcate la alimente \u015fi carburan\u0163i.<\/p>\n
\nMai multe detalii pe www.zf.ro<\/p>\n
\n\u00centre timp, economi\u015ftii fac apel pentru ac\u0163iuni concertate la nivel mondial din partea celor mai bogate \u0163\u0103ri ale lumii pentru a ajuta \u0163\u0103rile mai s\u0103race s\u0103-\u015fi gestioneze sau restructureze poverile datoriilor. \u00cens\u0103 Atlantic Council remarc\u0103 lipsa de voin\u0163\u0103 a G7 pentru astfel de ac\u0163iuni.<\/p>\n
\nCe este clar, pentru anali\u015fti \u015fi strategici, este c\u0103 ceva trebuie f\u0103cut \u00een leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu crizele datoriilor de la nivelul lumii cu venituri sc\u0103zute. Lipsa de ac\u0163iuni, avertiza recent \u015fefa FMI Kristalina Georgieva, ar putea declan\u015fa o serie \u00eentreag\u0103 de dezastre interna\u0163ionale.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Lumea se afl\u0103 \u00een fa\u0163a posibilit\u0103\u0163ii unei serii de colapsuri economice care ar putea destabiliza vie\u0163ile a mili\u00adoane de oameni, scrie Grid.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[16506,750,6266,13028,9184],"class_list":["post-207301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bomba","tag-datorii","tag-oameni","tag-problema","tag-risc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=207301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207301\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=207301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=207301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=207301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}