{"id":206231,"date":"2022-07-10T18:17:40","date_gmt":"2022-07-10T18:17:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=206231"},"modified":"2022-07-10T18:17:40","modified_gmt":"2022-07-10T18:17:40","slug":"riscul-recesiunii-ar-putea-forta-bce-sa-si-schimbe-din-nou-directia-dupa-ce-s-a-luat-tarziu-la-tranta-cu-inflatia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=206231","title":{"rendered":"Riscul recesiunii ar putea for\u0163a BCE s\u0103-\u015fi schimbe din nou direc\u0163ia dup\u0103 ce s-a luat t\u00e2rziu la tr\u00e2nt\u0103 cu infla\u0163ia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nLa numai c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni \u00eenainte ca Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nzile pentru prima dat\u0103 \u00een peste un deceniu pentru a st\u0103vili cre\u015fterea infla\u0163iei, econo\u00admi\u015ftii avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 amenin\u0163area recesiunii ar putea-o for\u0163a s\u0103-\u015fi schimbe din nou direc\u0163ia, scrie Politico.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>\nBCE a reac\u0163ionat prea lent la presiunile infla\u0163ioniste, afl\u00e2ndu-se \u00eentr-o pozi\u0163ie dificil\u0103 comparativ cu celelalte b\u0103nci centrale, arat\u0103 Stefan Gerlach, economist la EFG Bank. Institute for International Finance, care a avertizat cu privire la o viitoare recesiune mondial\u0103, a f\u0103cut apel la BCE s\u0103 renun\u0163e la orice plan de \u00een\u0103sprire a politicii monetare de la \u00eenceputul lunii iunie.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eBCE este pe deplin con\u015ftient\u0103 de riscurile \u00een cre\u015ftere, \u00eens\u0103 strategii acesteia par s\u0103 fie \u00eenc\u0103 departe de a considera recesiunea drept cel mai probabil scenariu,\u201c potrivit lui Holger Schmieding, economist la Berenberg.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen pofida norilor care se str\u00e2ng la orizont, Gerlach avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 bancherii centrali \u201epar aproape neafecta\u0163i de acest risc\u201c, fiind \u00een continuare mult prea dornici s\u0103-\u015fi rec\u00e2\u015ftige reputa\u0163ia legat\u0103 de combaterea infla\u0163iei.<\/p>\n<p>\nNimeni nu se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca BCE s\u0103 aplece urechea la apelul IIF. \u015ei totu\u015fi, economi\u015ftii \u015fi investitorii \u00eencep s\u0103-\u015fi restr\u00e2ng\u0103 a\u015ftept\u0103rile pentru ciclul de major\u0103ri de dob\u00e2nzi.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eDac\u0103 avem dreptate cu estim\u0103rile privind o recesiune \u00een zona euro, BCE va trebui s\u0103-\u015fi revizuiasc\u0103 substan\u0163ial perspectivele din nou \u00een decembrie\u201c, arat\u0103 Schmieding.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u015ei Polonia a pornit t\u00e2rziu r\u0103zboiul \u00eempotriva infla\u0163iei. Opozi\u0163ia d\u0103 vina pe aceast\u0103 ezitare \u015fi pe politicile guvernului pentru accelerarea dramatic\u0103 a scumpirilor \u00een aceast\u0103 \u0163ar\u0103, potrivit Politico.<\/p>\n<p>\nBanca central\u0103 polonez\u0103 a majorat s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile sub a\u015ftept\u0103ri, cu o jum\u0103tate de punct procentual, \u00eencetinind ritmul scumpirii costurilor de finan\u0163are \u00eentr-un semn de \u00eengrijorare \u00een cre\u015ftere c\u0103 economia \u00eencetine\u015fte, noteaz\u0103 Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>\nStrategii din Var\u015fovia se afl\u0103 \u00een fa\u0163a unei dileme \u00een cre\u015ftere \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care economia polonez\u0103 \u00eencepe s\u0103-\u015fi piard\u0103 din suflu. \u00cens\u0103 cu infla\u0163ia la cel mai ridicat nivel dintr-un sfert de secol, ace\u015ftia sunt nevoi\u0163i s\u0103 sus\u0163in\u0103 zlotul pentru diminuare presiunilor pe pre\u0163uri.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La numai c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni \u00eenainte ca Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nzile pentru prima dat\u0103 \u00een peste un deceniu pentru a st\u0103vili cre\u015fterea infla\u0163iei, econo\u00admi\u015ftii avertizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 amenin\u0163area recesiunii ar putea-o for\u0163a s\u0103-\u015fi schimbe din nou direc\u0163ia, scrie Politico.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[15146,8830,32861,184,179,9184],"class_list":["post-206231","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-avertizare","tag-bce","tag-fortare","tag-inflatie","tag-recesiune","tag-risc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206231","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=206231"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/206231\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=206231"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=206231"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=206231"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}