{"id":205563,"date":"2022-06-20T16:26:51","date_gmt":"2022-06-20T16:26:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=205563"},"modified":"2022-06-20T16:26:51","modified_gmt":"2022-06-20T16:26:51","slug":"bank-of-america-istoria-spune-ca-urmatoarea-piata-bull-se-afla-la-doar-cateva-luni-distanta-si-sp-500-ar-putea-urca-la-pragul-de-6-000-de-puncte-plus-63","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=205563","title":{"rendered":"Bank of America: Istoria spune c\u0103 urm\u0103toarea pia\u0163\u0103 \u201ebull\u201d se afl\u0103 la doar c\u00e2teva luni distan\u0163\u0103 \u015fi S&P 500 ar putea urca la pragul de 6.000 de puncte, plus 63%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\nC\u00e2nd vine vorba despre pie\u0163ele de sc\u0103dere, investitorii se pot consola privind \u00een trecut. Astfel, participan\u0163ii la pia\u0163\u0103 mai au de \u00eendurat doar c\u00e2teva luni dup\u0103 ce indicele S&P 500 a intrat \u00een bear market<\/a>, explic\u0103 Bank of America, potrivit MarketWatch.<\/p>\n

\nDin punct de vedere istoric, Michael Harnett, chief investment strategist al BoA, argumenteaz\u0103 c\u0103, \u00een medie, declinul \u00eenregistrat de la cel mai recent maxim p\u00e2n\u0103 la finele pie\u0163ei \u201ebear\u201d este de 37,3% de-a lungul a 289 de zile.<\/p>\n

\nDup\u0103 acest model, trendul actual ar lua sf\u00e2r\u015fit pe 19 octombrie 2022, zi care marcheaz\u0103 \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103tor aniversarea de 35 de ani a Lunii Negre (Black Monday), a\u015fa cum este cunoscut crahul pie\u0163ei americane de capital din 1987. P\u00e2n\u0103 la data respectiv\u0103, S&P 500 ar putea ajunge la 3.000 de puncte, adic\u0103 o sc\u0103dere suplimentar\u0103 de circa 18% fa\u0163\u0103 de nivelul afi\u015fat \u00een prezent.<\/p>\n

\nDefini\u0163ia conven\u0163ional\u0103 a pie\u0163ei \u201ebear\u201d este un declin de cel pu\u0163in 20% fa\u0163\u0103 de cel mai recent record. F\u0103r\u0103 dinamica \u015fedin\u0163ei de tranzac\u0163ionare de luni, S&P 500 a sc\u0103zut cu 23% prin raport cu maximul din 3 ianuarie.<\/p>\n

\nBoA noteaz\u0103 c\u0103, de obicei, o pia\u0163\u0103 \u201ebull\u201d dureaz\u0103 64 de luni, interval \u00een care ofer\u0103 un randament de 198%, Harnett ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd c\u0103 urm\u0103toarea pia\u0163\u0103 de cre\u015ftere poate duce indicele S&P 500 la 6.000 de puncte p\u00e2n\u0103 pe 28 februarie 2023, adic\u0103 un plus de 63%.<\/p>\n

\n\u00centre timp, indicatorul bull-and-bear al gigantului bancar a ajuns recent la nivelul 0, reprezent\u00e2nd un sentiment orientat puternic pe sc\u0103dere \u015fi caracterizat, totodat\u0103, prin recomand\u0103ri de cump\u0103rare. Indicatorul a atins pragul 0 \u00een august 2002, iulie 2008, septembrie 2011, septembrie 2015, ianuarie 2016 \u015fi martie 2020.<\/p>\n

\nCu excep\u0163ia perioadelor de recesiune <\/a>\u00een form\u0103 de \u201eW\u201d \u015fi evenimentelor sistemice adverse, precum cele din 2008 \u015fi 2011, Harnett observ\u0103 c\u0103 evolu\u0163iile ac\u0163iunilor americane au fost mai degrab\u0103 puternice \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 de trei luni de la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul pie\u0163ei \u201ebear\u201d.<\/p>\n

\nConform furnizorului de date Refinitiv, indicele marilor companii tech Nasdaq Composite se tranzac\u0163ioneaz\u0103 aproape de media mobil\u0103 (MA \u2013 moving average) pe 200 de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, nivel nemai\u00eent\u00e2lnit de la criza financiar\u0103 din 2008.<\/p>\n

\nAnul acesta, capitalizarea companiilor listate pe bursele interna\u0163ionale<\/a> a sc\u0103zut cu circa 20.000 de miliarde de dolari, scrie agen\u0163ia de \u015ftiri Reuters.<\/p>\n

\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u00e2nd vine vorba despre pie\u0163ele de sc\u0103dere, investitorii se pot consola privind \u00een trecut. Astfel, participan\u0163ii la pia\u0163\u0103 mai au de \u00eendurat doar c\u00e2teva luni dup\u0103 ce indicele S&P 500 a intrat \u00een bear market, explic\u0103 Bank of America, potrivit MarketWatch. Din punct de vedere istoric, Michael Harnett, chief investment strategist al BoA, argumenteaz\u0103 c\u0103, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8358,7633,8853,9781,7505,8327],"class_list":["post-205563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bank-of-america","tag-investitori","tag-istoric","tag-revenire","tag-sp","tag-scadere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=205563"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205563\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=205563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=205563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=205563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}