\n\u00cens\u0103n\u0103to\u015firea economiei zonei euro risc\u0103 s\u0103 fie subminat\u0103 dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia persistent de ridicat\u0103 va eroda veniturile disponibile ale consumatorilor \u015fi va for\u0163a Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 s\u0103-\u015fi retrag\u0103 stimulentele mai rapid dec\u00e2t pl\u0103nuia ini\u0163ial, relev\u0103 un sondaj realizat de Financial Times \u00een r\u00e2ndul economi\u015ftilor.<\/p>\n
\nPeste 40% din cei 38 de economi\u015fti care au participat la sondaj au identificat infla\u0163ia drept un risc semnificativ la adresa perspectivelor de cre\u015ftere ale celor 19 \u0163\u0103ri parte a zonei euro, acesta fiind cel mai des invocat risc pentru 2022 \u00eempreun\u0103 cu pandemia.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cInfla\u0163ia va eroda salariile, diminu\u00e2nd cererea\u201d, arat\u0103 Jesper Rangvid, profesor la Copenhagen Business School, ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd c\u0103 \u201cBCE ar putea fi de asemenea nevoit\u0103 s\u0103 reac\u0163ioneze prin majorarea dob\u00e2nzilor, afect\u00e2nd redresarea economic\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n
\nAsemeni majorit\u0103\u0163ii b\u0103ncilor centrale, BCE a fost surprins\u0103 de persisten\u0163a presiunilor infla\u0163ioniste. \u00cen aceast\u0103 lun\u0103, banca \u015fi-a majorat semnificativ proiec\u0163ia privind infla\u0163ia din zona euro la 2,6% pentru 2021 \u015fi 3,2% pentru 2022, ambele peste \u0163inta de 2%.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cDac\u0103 infla\u0163ia se va men\u0163ine peste \u0163int\u0103 \u015fi dincolo de 2022, atunci BCE va fi nevoit\u0103 s\u0103-\u015fi modifice mai abrupt pozi\u0163ia de politic\u0103, ceea ce ar putea afecta economia real\u0103 \u015fi alimenta temeri privind stabilitatea financiar\u0103\u201d, avertizeaz\u0103 Katharina Utermohl, economist \u00een cadrul Allianz.<\/p>\n
\nEconomi\u015ftii, chestiona\u0163i \u00eenainte ca BCE s\u0103-\u015fi updateze proiec\u0163iile \u00een aceast\u0103 lun\u0103, au anticipat \u00een medie c\u0103 infla\u0163ia din zona euro se va situa la 2,7% \u00een 2022 \u015fi 1,9% \u00een 2023. Estimarea acestora s-a situat sub cea a BCE pentru anul viitor, dar peste cea a b\u0103ncii centrale c\u0103 infla\u0163ia va sc\u0103dea la 1,8% \u00een 2023.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cCre\u015fterea puternic\u0103 a pre\u0163urilor energiei reprezint\u0103 un risc major\u201d, potrivit lui Fabio Balboni, economist la HSBC. \u201cPrin erodarea puterii de cump\u0103rare a gospod\u0103riilor, am estimat c\u0103 aceasta ar putea elimina 0,5% din nivelul PIB-ului \u00een urm\u0103toarele c\u00e2teva trimestre\u201d, plas\u00e2nd \u201cBCE \u00eentr-o pozi\u0163ie dificil\u0103\u201d.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen opinia lui Nicholas Bennenbroek, economist la Wells Fargo, infla\u0163ia sc\u0103pat\u0103 de sub control reprezint\u0103 un risc mai semnificativ dec\u00e2t pandemia.<\/p>\n
\nTotu\u015fi, aproape jum\u0103tate din economi\u015ftii chestiona\u0163i consider\u0103 c\u0103 tulpinile de coronavirus prezint\u0103 \u00een continuare un risc economic semnificativ.<\/p>\n
\nEconomi\u015ftii au estimat \u00een medie c\u0103 economia zonei euro va avansa cu 4% anul viitor, u\u015for sub proiec\u0163ia BCE ce vizeaz\u0103 o cre\u015ftere de 4,2%.<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00cens\u0103n\u0103to\u015firea economiei zonei euro risc\u0103 s\u0103 fie subminat\u0103 dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia persistent de ridicat\u0103 va eroda veniturile disponibile ale consumatorilor \u015fi va for\u0163a Banca Central\u0103 European\u0103 s\u0103-\u015fi retrag\u0103 stimulentele mai rapid dec\u00e2t pl\u0103nuia ini\u0163ial, relev\u0103 un sondaj realizat de Financial Times \u00een r\u00e2ndul economi\u015ftilor. Peste 40% din cei 38 de economi\u015fti care au participat la sondaj […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[211,8830,188,184,11371,9184,13242],"class_list":["post-200102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-amenintare","tag-bce","tag-economie","tag-inflatie","tag-redresare","tag-risc","tag-zona-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=200102"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200102\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=200102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=200102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=200102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}