\nCercet\u0103torul Octavian Jurma sus\u0163ine c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o faz\u0103 de sc\u0103dere accelerat\u0103 a num\u0103rului zilnic de cazuri COVID \u015fi estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u00eenainte de s\u0103rb\u0103tori vor fi sub 2.500 de cazuri \u00een fiecare zi.<\/p>\n
\nOctavian Jurma a analizat datele din ultimele \u015fapte zile.<\/p>\n
\n\u201ePe 12 noiembrie 2021, media mobil\u0103 la 7 zile a cobor\u00e2t sub pragul de 6.000 de cazuri pe zi pentru prima dat\u0103 de la atingerea v\u00e2rfului valului 4-Delta \u00een 19 octombrie, la peste 18.000 de cazuri pe zi\u201d, spune Octavian Jurma.<\/p>\n
\nCercet\u0103torul a ajuns la concluzia c\u0103 \u00eenainte de s\u0103rb\u0103tori num\u0103rul persoanelor infectate ar putea s\u0103 scad\u0103 foarte mult.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eNe apropiem a\u015fadar de v\u00e2rful atins de valul 3 \u015fi s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na viitoare inciden\u0163a na\u0163ional\u0103 va cobor\u00ee probabil sub 3.5 la mie, care este pragul de sustenabilitate COVID-19 al sistemului medical din Rom\u00e2nia. La dou\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni dup\u0103 dep\u0103\u015firea acestui prag situa\u0163ia \u00een spitale se va \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163i dramatic dac\u0103 trendul descendent se men\u0163ine… A\u015fadar vestea bun\u0103 este c\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la \u00eenceputul lunii decembrie vom cobora sub 5,000 de cazuri pe zi (3 la mie) \u015fi probabil sub 2,500 de cazuri pe zi (1.5 la mie) \u00eenainte de s\u0103rb\u0103tori\u201d, sus\u0163ine cercet\u0103torul.<\/p>\n
\nSpecialistul mai spune c\u0103 \u00een lipsa unor m\u0103suri ferme situa\u0163ia s-ar putea \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163i din nou la \u00eenceputul anului viitor.<\/p>\n
\n\u201eDac\u0103 anarhia sanitar\u0103 se va extinde \u00een continuare, exist\u0103 un pericol real s\u0103 ne \u00eempotmolim \u00eentr-un platou la o inciden\u0163a ridicat\u0103 de peste 3,000 de cazuri pe zi sau chiar s\u0103 revenim pe o pant\u0103 acendenta \u00een decembrie cel t\u00e2rziu \u00een ianuarie…. Un nou val similar valului 3 nu cred \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 e posibil p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een prim\u0103var\u0103 chiar dac\u0103 vedem o cre\u015ftere rapid\u0103 a cazurilor \u00een \u0163\u0103rile occidentale care pare a fi debutul valului 5\u201d, precizeaz\u0103 Jurma.<\/p>\n
\nPotrivit raport\u0103rii de vineri, \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, \u00een 24 de ore au fost \u00eenregistrate 4.844 cazuri de persoane pozitive cu SARS-COV-2.<\/p>\n
\nDe asemenea, au fost raportate 307 decese, dintre care 21 anterioare.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Cercet\u0103torul Octavian Jurma sus\u0163ine c\u0103 Rom\u00e2nia se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o faz\u0103 de sc\u0103dere accelerat\u0103 a num\u0103rului zilnic de cazuri COVID \u015fi estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u00eenainte de s\u0103rb\u0103tori vor fi sub 2.500 de cazuri \u00een fiecare zi. Octavian Jurma a analizat datele din ultimele \u015fapte zile. \u201ePe 12 noiembrie 2021, media mobil\u0103 la 7 zile a cobor\u00e2t sub […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[15188,46210,49620],"class_list":["post-198855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-cazuri","tag-covid","tag-octavian-jurma"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=198855"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/198855\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=198855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=198855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=198855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}