{"id":197877,"date":"2021-10-05T15:22:37","date_gmt":"2021-10-05T15:22:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=197877"},"modified":"2021-10-05T15:22:37","modified_gmt":"2021-10-05T15:22:37","slug":"bnr-a-decis-sa-majoreze-dobanda-cheie-la-150-de-la-minimul-istoric-de125","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=197877","title":{"rendered":"BNR a decis s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nda-cheie la 1,50%, de la minimul istoric de1,25%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<strong>Consiliul de administra\u0163ie al BNR a decis ast\u0103zi s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nda-cheie la 1,50%, de la minimul istoric de 1,25%, decizia fiind anticipat\u0103 de unii anali\u015fti \u00een contextul cre\u015fterii infla\u0163iei<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nBNR a mai decis \u015fi majorarea ratei dob\u00e2nzii pentru facilitatea de depozit la 1,00 la sut\u0103 pe an, de la 0,75 la sut\u0103 pe an, \u015fi a ratei dob\u00e2nzii aferente facilit\u0103\u0163ii de creditare (Lombard) la 2,00 la sut\u0103 pe an, de la 1,75 la sut\u0103 pe an, \u00eencep\u00e2nd cu data de 6 octombrie 2021.<\/p>\n<p>\nMajoritatea anali\u015ftilor estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului 2021 rata anual\u0103 a infla\u0163iei poate urca spre 7% sau chiar peste acest nivel.<\/p>\n<p>\nInfla\u0163ia anual\u0103 a urcat la 5,3% \u00een luna august, dup\u0103 ce energia electric\u0103 s-a scumpit cu 24,6%, gazele cu 20,5% \u015fi combustibilii cu 14,1%, dup\u0103 cum a anun\u0163at Institutul Na\u0163ional de Statistic\u0103 \u00een luna septembrie. Comparativ, \u00een martie 2021 infla\u0163ia anual\u0103 trecea u\u015for de 3%.<\/p>\n<p>\nUnele b\u0103nci centrale, chiar din regiune, au \u00eenceput s\u0103 \u00een\u0103spreasc\u0103 politica monetar\u0103 \u015fi s\u0103 treac\u0103 la major\u0103ri de dob\u00e2nzi, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere cre\u015fterea pre\u0163urilor la nivel interna\u0163ional.<\/p>\n<p>\nValentin T\u0103taru, economistul-\u015fef al ING Bank, sus\u0163inea anterior c\u0103 vede posibile cre\u015fteri consecutive ale dob\u00e2nzii-cheie a BNR a c\u00e2te 25 puncte de baz\u0103 \u00eencepand de ast\u0103zi p\u00e2n\u0103 ajungem la o rat\u0103 final\u0103 de 2,50%.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eAv\u00e2nd \u00een vedere ultimele evolu\u0163ii regionale (cre\u015fteri ale dob\u00e2nzilor \u00een Republica Ceh\u0103 \u015fi Ungaria), o infla\u0163ie probabil peste 6% p\u00e2n\u0103 la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului \u015fi presiunile evidente ale cursului de schimb, credem c\u0103 \u015fansele se \u00eenclin\u0103 spre o cre\u015ftere a ratei de 25 pb la reuniunea de mar\u0163i. Nu anticip\u0103m modific\u0103ri ale RMO sau ale coridorului facilit\u0103\u0163ilor permanente\u00ee, anticipeaz\u0103 T\u0103taru.<\/p>\n<p>\nCea mai recent\u0103 decizie a boardului BNR privind dob\u00e2nda a fost \u00een ianuarie 2021, c\u00e2nd dob\u00e2nda-cheie a fost redus\u0103 surpinz\u0103tor la 1,25%, aceasta fiind cea de-a patra reducere de dob\u00e2nd\u0103 de dup\u0103 declan\u015farea pandemiei COVID-19. Practic, de la debutul pandemiei de coronavirus banca central\u0103 a \u00eenjum\u0103t\u0103\u0163it dob\u00e2nda.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomistul-\u015fef al ING Bank sus\u0163ine c\u0103 nu a majorat \u00eenc\u0103 prognoza de infla\u0163ie pentru finalul anului, a\u015ftept\u00e2nd datele pentru septembrie, dar devine destul de clar c\u0103 \u00eentrebarea nu este dac\u0103 infla\u0163ia va atinge 6% \u00een acest an, ci mai degrab\u0103 dac\u0103 se va apropia de 7%.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eChiar dac\u0103 motivele de baz\u0103 nu s-au schimbat \u015fi infla\u0163ia este \u00eenc\u0103 determinat\u0103 \u00een principal de factori care nu sunt sub controlul BNR, credem c\u0103 banca central\u0103 nu va r\u0103m\u00e2ne pe margine \u015fi va l\u0103sa infla\u0163ia s\u0103 scad\u0103 singur\u0103\u00ee\u201d, este de p\u0103rer economistul-\u015fef al ING Bank.<\/p>\n<p>\nT\u0103taru consider\u0103 c\u0103 redresarea economic\u0103 este suficient de robust\u0103 pentru a rezista la rate mai mari ale dob\u00e2nzilor, f\u0103r\u0103 probleme majore.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consiliul de administra\u0163ie al BNR a decis ast\u0103zi s\u0103 majoreze dob\u00e2nda-cheie la 1,50%, de la minimul istoric de 1,25%, decizia fiind anticipat\u0103 de unii anali\u015fti \u00een contextul cre\u015fterii infla\u0163iei BNR a mai decis \u015fi majorarea ratei dob\u00e2nzii pentru facilitatea de depozit la 1,00 la sut\u0103 pe an, de la 0,75 la sut\u0103 pe an, \u015fi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[185,9108,9287],"class_list":["post-197877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bnr","tag-decizie","tag-majorare"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=197877"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/197877\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=197877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=197877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=197877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}