{"id":195974,"date":"2021-07-26T11:30:44","date_gmt":"2021-07-26T11:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=195974"},"modified":"2021-07-26T11:30:44","modified_gmt":"2021-07-26T11:30:44","slug":"cat-mai-cresc-preturile-in-imobiliare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=195974","title":{"rendered":"C\u00e2t mai cresc pre\u0163urile \u00een imobiliare?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n\u201e\u00cen opinia mea, la finalul acestui an vom avea o cre\u015ftere de un digit an\/an fa\u0163\u0103 de anul trecut, de aproximativ 7-8%\u201d, r\u0103spunde Anca Bidian, CEO al brokerului de credite KIWI Finance, la \u00eentrebarea aflat\u0103 pe buzele tuturor celor care \u00ee\u015fi caut\u0103 o locuin\u0163\u0103, dup\u0103 cum s-a v\u0103zut \u015fi \u00een cel mai recent&nbsp;<strong>webinar Real Estate. Real Talk realizat de Storia.ro \u00een parteneriat cu Business MAGAZIN.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nRitmul noilor construc\u0163ii, precum \u015fi locuin\u0163ele de v\u00e2nzare din pia\u0163a secundar\u0103 (imobiliarele vechi) nu \u00eendestuleaz\u0103 cererea existent\u0103 \u00een pia\u0163\u0103 \u00een prezent, prin urmare nu este de mirare c\u0103 \u015fi pre\u0163ul se afl\u0103 pe un trend cresc\u0103tor.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nAnca Bidian observ\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 cererea crescut\u0103 din imobiliare nu este una subit\u0103, ci se alimenteaz\u0103 constant de aproximativ 7 ani. Motivele sunt multiple: mobilitatea for\u0163ei de munc\u0103, pe pia\u0163a muncii a intrat o genera\u0163ie nou\u0103, standardul de via\u0163\u0103 a crescut, precum \u015fi faptul c\u0103 \u00een Rom\u00e2nia exist\u0103 cea mai mare aglomerare a familiilor pe metrul p\u0103trat \u00eentr-o locuin\u0163\u0103. Migra\u0163ia alimenteaz\u0103 de asemenea acest trend cresc\u0103tor, iar natalitatea \u2013 chiar dac\u0103 este sc\u0103zut\u0103 \u2013 aduce genera\u0163ii noi \u00een c\u0103utare de locuin\u0163e.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nChiar \u015fi a\u015fa, mai e cale lung\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103 ajungem la media UE c\u00e2nd vine vorba despre num\u0103rul locuin\u0163elor c\u0103utate de europeni. \u201eNoi avem o cerere de locuin\u0163e noi de 1 milion de unit\u0103\u0163i pentru urm\u0103torii ani. Este calculat c\u0103 dac\u0103 vom p\u0103stra ritmul actual de construc\u0163ii putem s\u0103 acomod\u0103m aceast\u0103 cerere \u015fi s\u0103 ajungem la media UE \u00een vreo 50 de ani. Acestea sunt date validate, comunicate, prin urmare ritmul de construc\u0163ii, chiar dac\u0103 a crescut \u00een ultimii ani, tot nu \u00eendestuleaz\u0103 cererea nou\u0103\u201d, explic\u0103 Anca Bidian.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nDincolo de mecanismul cererii \u015fi ofertei, pia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103 este str\u00e2ns legat\u0103 de evolu\u0163ia celorlalte industrii \u015fi indicatori economici ai \u0163\u0103rii. Un alt parametru important \u00een mecanismul pre\u0163urilor, mai ales \u00een contextul actual, \u0163ine de evolu\u0163ia pre\u0163urilor materialelor de construc\u0163ii, un domeniu influen\u0163at semnificativ de pandemie. \u201eObserv\u0103m cu to\u0163ii ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 cu pre\u0163urile materialelor de construc\u0163ii la nivel interna\u0163ional \u2013 acestea au avut lan\u0163urile de aprovizionare fracturate din cauza pandemiei. Un impact \u00een pre\u0163urile materialelor de construc\u0163ii o are \u015fi rela\u0163ia comercial\u0103 contondent\u0103 a marilor puteri cu China cu consecin\u0163e directe \u00een fluxurile tradi\u0163ionale de importuri.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\nLa toate acestea se adaug\u0103 lipsa for\u0163ei de munc\u0103, ce aduce presiuni suplimentare \u00een industria construc\u0163iilor \u015fi, \u00een consecin\u0163\u0103, \u00een imobiliare. \u201eToate acestea se reflect\u0103 \u00een pre\u0163uri, nu numai la noi, ci \u00een toat\u0103 lumea. Exist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 instrumente \u2013 deopotriv\u0103 fiscale, precum \u015fi monetare \u2013 \u00een care presiunea aceasta poate fi \u0163inut\u0103 \u00een fr\u00e2u, prin care s\u0103 existe supape de respiro, p\u00e2n\u0103 la reglarea pie\u0163ei. De aceea, \u00een opinia mea, anul acesta cre\u015fterea va fi sustenabil\u0103 \u015fi nu vom intra \u00een zona de \u00eenc\u0103lzire a pie\u0163ei imobiliare. Trebuie s\u0103 lu\u0103m \u00een considerare \u015fi \u201esupapa\u201d veniturilor care contrabalanseaz\u0103 tendin\u0163a de cre\u015ftere necontrolat\u0103 a caselor. Cu alte cuvinte, pre\u0163urile pot cre\u015fte, dar doar p\u00e2n\u0103 la limita la care exist\u0103 masa critic\u0103 de cump\u0103r\u0103tori.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\nTotu\u015fi, Anca Bidian puncteaz\u0103 c\u0103 predic\u0163iile referitoare la pre\u0163uri sunt greu de validat, \u00een contextul \u00een care pe pia\u0163a local\u0103 nu exist\u0103 o institu\u0163ie public\u0103 axat\u0103 pe stabilirea unor indicatori valida\u0163i \u00een imobiliare. \u201eExist\u0103 entit\u0103\u0163i private care fac diverse calcule, dar pre\u0163ul real al tranzac\u0163iilor nu este centralizat \u015fi analizat de o institu\u0163ie public\u0103. Un indice imobiliar trebuie s\u0103 fie&nbsp;&nbsp;o medie ponderat\u0103, pe regiuni, \u015fi s\u0103 se bazeze pe pre\u0163ul de tranzac\u0163ionare \u015fi nu pe pre\u0163urile din anun\u0163uri.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nEa este optimist\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 \u015fi crede \u2013 \u00een baza nivelului de maturitate la care se afl\u0103 pia\u0163a \u00een prezent \u2013 c\u0103 vor exista \u00een cur\u00e2nd astfel de analize, care s\u0103 includ\u0103 pre\u0163urile tranzac\u0163iilor, nu doar pre\u0163urile la care sunt postate locuin\u0163ele, a\u015fa cum procedeaz\u0103 \u00een prezent entit\u0103\u0163ile private care analizeaz\u0103 pia\u0163a.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201ePia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103 din Rom\u00e2nia a dep\u0103\u015fit faza speculativ\u0103 prin care am trecut imediat post-aderare \u015fi acum suntem \u00eentr-o alt\u0103 etap\u0103, de pre-maturitate, de&nbsp;<em>young adults<\/em>. \u00cen aceasta este dominant canalul de tranzac\u0163ii pentru locuit, apoi cel al micilor investitori, axa\u0163i pe cump\u0103r\u0103ri la a doua, a treia locuin\u0163\u0103, pentru \u00eenchiriat. \u015etim c\u0103 pia\u0163a chiriilor a fost efervescent\u0103 \u015fi cu siguran\u0163\u0103 se va relua aceast\u0103 efervescen\u0163\u0103 post-pandemie. Componenta speculativ\u0103, care era dominant\u0103 \u00een 2007-2008, exist\u0103 \u00een continuare, dar este de o cu totul alt\u0103 factur\u0103 \u2013 randamente 5-7% \u015fi cel pu\u0163in pe termen mediu.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\nOr, aceast\u0103 structur\u0103 a pie\u0163ei imobiliare indic\u0103 o pre-maturitate, care implic\u0103 \u015fi evitarea unor surprize nepl\u0103cute, care sunt specifice pie\u0163elor speculative.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201ePe o pia\u0163\u0103 s\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103 \u015fi aflat\u0103 \u00een echilibru, c\u00e2nd sunt tulbur\u0103ri economice \u00een lume, scade num\u0103rul de tranzac\u0163ii, nu se duc pre\u0163urile \u00een cap. Acesta este mersul lucrurilor dintotdeauna, iar acum, \u00een Rom\u00e2nia, pre\u0163urile sunt bine aliniate cu pia\u0163a, cu veniturile medii\u201d, conchide specialistul.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong><em>Citi\u0163i mai multe despre cum v\u0103 pute\u0163i lua un credit, dar \u015fi despre felul \u00een care va evolua pia\u0163a reziden\u0163ial\u0103 \u00een continuare \u00een urm\u0103toarele articole rezultate \u00een urma webinarului Real Estate. Real Talk by Storia.ro \u00een care Anca Bidian, CEO KIWI Finance, a r\u0103spuns celor mai multe dintre nedumeririle clien\u0163ilor \u00een materie de creditare.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\n\u00b7 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Anca Bidian e CEO KIWI Finance, parte a OLX Group. A fondat prima companie de intermediere credite din Rom\u00e2nia, \u00een 2003, atunci sub denumirea Gemini Consulting, ast\u0103zi KIWI Finance. De cur\u00e2nd a fost recunoscut\u0103 cu un Lifetime Achievement \u00een Finance Award la gala Business Arena unde s-au acordat premiile pentru cele mai admirate femei din business.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00b7&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Storia.ro e platforma de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.storia.ro\/\">imobiliare<\/a>&nbsp;cu cele mai multe anun\u0163uri din pia\u0163\u0103 \u2013 peste 200.000. Lansat\u0103 de OLX, aceasta prime\u015fte peste 5 milioane de vizite lunar, put\u00e2nd fi accesat\u0103 at\u00e2t de pe desktop, c\u00e2t \u015fi prin aplica\u0163iile de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/storia-anunturi-imobiliare\/id1121617948\">iOS<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=ro.storia\">Android<\/a>&nbsp;\u015fi&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/appgallery.huawei.com\/#\/app\/C102098515\">HUAWEI<\/a>. Prin ad\u0103ugarea KIWI Finance \u00een portofoliul OLX Group, utilizatorii Storia.ro pot beneficia gratuit de serviciile profesioni\u015ftilor pentru a identifica cea mai bun\u0103 solu\u0163ie de&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/creditare.storia.ro\/\">creditare<\/a>. &nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dac\u0103 la \u00eenceputul pandemiei clien\u0163i, dar \u015fi speciali\u015fti \u00een real estate propov\u0103duiau o nou\u0103 criz\u0103 \u015fi o sc\u0103dere abrupt\u0103 a pre\u0163urilor din imobiliare, acum este din ce \u00een ce mai clar c\u0103 lucrurile stau exact invers. Pia\u0163a imobiliar\u0103 pare c\u0103 a intrat \u00eentr-o nou\u0103 epoc\u0103 de aur, \u00een care pre\u0163urile se afl\u0103 pe un trend cresc\u0103tor. Cu c\u00e2t vor cre\u015fte acestea \u015fi care sunt factorii care le influen\u0163eaz\u0103? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46693],"tags":[246,30,293,14847,11229,340,5591],"class_list":["post-195974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-real-estate-real-talk","tag-crestere","tag-imobiliare","tag-intrare","tag-pandemie","tag-piata-imobiliara","tag-preturi","tag-real"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195974","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=195974"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/195974\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=195974"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=195974"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=195974"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}