\nExact cum unii pacien\u0163i care se recupereaz\u0103 de pe urma COVID-19 se lupt\u0103 cu simptome pe termen lung, devine clar c\u0103 acela\u015fi lucru se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u015fi cu economia mondial\u0103 dup\u0103 redresare, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n
\nDe\u015fi stimulentele de 26.000 mld. $ \u015fi sosirea vaccinurilor au alimentat o recu\u00adperare mai rapid\u0103 dec\u00e2t antici\u00adpa\u00adser\u0103 mul\u0163i, impactul resim\u0163it la nivelul educ\u00ada\u0163iei, joburilor, nivelului dato\u00adriilor \u015fi inegalit\u0103\u0163ii va fi unul de du\u00adra\u00adt\u0103, \u00een special \u00een \u0163\u0103rile cele mai s\u0103race.<\/p>\n
\nCosturile vor fi inegale. Un studiu Oxford Economics arat\u0103 c\u0103 Filipine, Peru, Columbia \u015fi Spania sunt cele mai vulnerabile la efecte pe termen lung.<\/p>\n
\n\u00cen schimb, Australia, Japonia, Nor\u00advegia, Germania \u015fi Elve\u0163ia sunt v\u0103\u00adzute ca fiind cel mai bine pozi\u0163\u00adionate.<\/p>\n
\nNu toate \u0163\u0103rile vor fi afectate la fel. FMI vede economiile avansate mai pu\u0163in afectate de virus \u00een acest an \u015fi pe mai departe, \u00een timp ce \u0163\u0103rile cu venituri sc\u0103zute \u015fi pie\u0163ele emergente vor avea mai mult de suferit, spre deosebire de ceea ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u00een criza financiar\u0103 din 2009, c\u00e2nd \u0163\u0103rile bogate au fost cel mai dur lovite.<\/p>\n
\nExper\u0163ii sus\u0163in c\u0103 nu trebuie s\u0103 existe un deceniu pierdut dac\u0103 vor fi luate m\u0103surile corecte. O solu\u0163ie ar fi promovarea politicilor care \u00eencura\u00adjeaz\u0103 companiile s\u0103 inoveze \u015fi s\u0103 investeasc\u0103. B\u0103ncile centrale \u015fi majoritatea guvernelor semnaleaz\u0103 deja c\u0103-\u015fi vor men\u0163ine stimulentele.<\/p>\n
\nModul \u00een care \u00eencrederea consu\u00adma\u00adtorilor \u015fi cheltuielile sunt modelate de temerile persistente legate de s\u0103n\u0103\u00adtate \u015fi angaj\u0103ri ar putea ajunge s\u0103 fie una dintre cele mai importante \u201emo\u015f\u00adte\u00adniri\u201c economice ale crizei. Istoria arat\u0103 c\u0103 la cinci ani dup\u0103 recesiuni, a\u015f\u00adtep\u00adt\u0103rile de cre\u015ftere pe termen lung au fost \u00een mod tipic cu 1,5% mai sc\u0103zute.<\/p>\n
\nCriza a accelerat utilizarea robo\u0163ilor, iar de\u015fi acest lucru cre\u015fte speran\u0163ele privind o redresare a cre\u015fterii productivit\u0103\u0163ii, milioane de locuri de munc\u0103 vor fi amenin\u0163ate. Chiar \u015fi unde joburile nu vor disp\u0103rea, modelele de lucru s-au schimbat \u015fi nu se \u015ftie c\u00e2t vor afecta aceste schimb\u0103ri pachetele salariale.<\/p>\n
\nEfecte pe termen lung vor fi evidente \u015fi la nivel de capital uman dup\u0103 ce pandemia a trimis elevii \u015fi studen\u0163ii online timp de p\u00e2n\u0103 la un an \u00een unele \u0163\u0103ri. Finan\u0163area unei recuper\u0103ri complete va fi complicat\u0103 de datoriile su\u00adplimentare de 24.000 mil. $ acu\u00admu\u00adlate la nivel mondial \u00een 2020, datoria total\u0103 ating\u00e2nd un nou maxim de 281.000 mld. dolari, potrivit Institute of International Finance.<\/p>\n
\nChiar \u015fi f\u0103r\u0103 o criz\u0103 a datoriilor, oda\u00adt\u0103 ce dob\u00e2nzile vor \u00eencepe s\u0103 creas\u00adc\u0103, at\u00e2t guvernele, c\u00e2t \u015fi companiile vor fi sub presiune, potrivit lui Mark Zan\u00addi, economist-\u015fef la Moody\u2019s Analytics.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Exact cum unii pacien\u0163i care se recupereaz\u0103 de pe urma COVID-19 se lupt\u0103 cu simptome pe termen lung, devine clar c\u0103 acela\u015fi lucru se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla \u015fi cu economia mondial\u0103 dup\u0103 redresare, scrie Bloomberg.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[24896,33400,11605],"class_list":["post-193221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-economie-mondiala","tag-termen-lung","tag-virus"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193221","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=193221"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193221\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=193221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=193221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=193221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}