{"id":192546,"date":"2021-03-31T10:27:44","date_gmt":"2021-03-31T10:27:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=192546"},"modified":"2021-03-31T10:27:44","modified_gmt":"2021-03-31T10:27:44","slug":"ce-spun-analistii-bancari-de-la-bucuresti-despre-cresterea-cursului-euro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=192546","title":{"rendered":"Ce spun anali\u015ftii bancari de la Bucure\u015fti despre cre\u015fterea cursului euro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nCursul de schimb leu\/euro a ajuns mar\u0163i la un nou v\u00e2rf istoric, urc\u00e2nd la 4,9156 lei\/euro, cota\u0163ia fiind mai mare cu aproape 1% comparativ cu nivelul de la sf\u00e2r\u015fitul anului 2020.<\/p>\n<p>\nDeprecierea monedelor emergente vine \u00een contextul \u00eent\u0103ririi monedelor puternice, potrivit explica\u0163iilor de la BNR. Practic se \u00eent\u0103resc monedele puternice pentru c\u0103 urc\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile pe dolar, iar ca urmare a \u00eembun\u0103t\u0103\u0163irii condi\u0163iilor economice cre\u015fte interesul pentru monedele puternice.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eAm observat \u00een ultima perioad\u0103 fluctua\u0163ii mari. R\u0103m\u00e2ne de v\u0103zut ce se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla. Urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103 se g\u0103seasc\u0103 un nou echilibru\u201c, a spus Dan Suciu, purt\u0103torul de cuv\u00e2nt al BNR.<\/p>\n<p>\nPentru anul 2021, majoritatea anali\u015ftilor au anticipat deprecierea monedei na\u0163ionale \u00een fa\u0163a euro, \u00eens\u0103 nu au prognozat un curs peste pragul de 5 lei\/euro \u00een acest an.<\/p>\n<p>\nCiprian Dasc\u0103lu, economistul-\u015fef al BCR, sus\u0163ine c\u0103 deprecierea vine pe o tendin\u0163\u0103 global\u0103 de aversiune la risc. BCR \u00ee\u015fi men\u0163ine prognozele pentru un curs mai mic de 5 lei\/euro at\u00e2t la jum\u0103tatea anului, c\u00e2t \u015fi la final de 2021.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eNe men\u0163inem prognozele de 4,90 lei\/euro la finalul lunii iunie \u015fi de 4,95 lei\/euro pentru finalul anului\u201c, sus\u0163ine Dasc\u0103lu.<\/p>\n<p>\nNici Valentin T\u0103taru, economistul-\u015fef al ING Bank, nu crede c\u0103 vom asista la o depreciere prelungit\u0103 a leului. \u201e\u00cen general ne men\u0163inem prognoza pentru un curs leu\/euro de 4,92 at\u00e2t la jum\u0103tatea, c\u00e2t \u015fi la finalul lui 2021. Orizontul nostru de prognoz\u0103 este de 2 ani \u015fi nu avem \u00eencorporat \u00een prognozele noastre un nivel de 5 lei\/euro \u00een niciun moment de-a lungul acestui orizont\u201c, explic\u0103 T\u0103taru.<\/p>\n<p>\nUn moment de referin\u0163\u0103 din primul trimestru din 2021 a fost 5 martie, c\u00e2nd cursul a dep\u0103\u015fit nivelul de 4,88 lei\/euro, pentru ca presiunile de depreciere s\u0103 continue pe parcursul lunii martie, cursul leu\/euro dep\u0103\u015fint maxim istoric dup\u0103 maxim istoric.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cen 29 martie, cota\u0163ia a trecut de 4,89 lei\/euro, pentru ca ieri s\u0103 dep\u0103\u015feasc\u0103 pragul de 4,91 lei\/euro.<\/p>\n<p>\nPrivind retrospectiv evolu\u0163ia din 2020 se observ\u0103 c\u0103 odat\u0103 cu extinderea pandemiei de COVID-19 la nivel interna\u0163ional s-au amplificat tensiunile \u015fi pe pia\u0163a valutar\u0103.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deprecierea monedei na\u0163ionale vine \u00eentr-un context regional, \u015fi alte monede din regiune av\u00e2nd o volatilitate mai mare \u015fi marc\u00e2nd deprecieri \u00een fa\u0163a euro, scrie Ziarul Financiar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8225,930],"class_list":["post-192546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-analiza","tag-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=192546"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192546\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=192546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=192546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=192546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}