{"id":188485,"date":"2020-11-29T11:03:41","date_gmt":"2020-11-29T11:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=188485"},"modified":"2020-11-29T11:03:41","modified_gmt":"2020-11-29T11:03:41","slug":"cum-ar-arata-cele-mai-proaste-scenarii-din-2021-potrivit-uneia-dintre-cele-mai-puternice-banci-din-europa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=188485","title":{"rendered":"Cum ar ar\u0103ta cele mai proaste scenarii din 2021, potrivit uneia dintre cele mai puternice b\u0103nci din Europa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nAnali\u015ftii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca economia mondial\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi revin\u0103 \u00een 2021 odat\u0103 ce va disp\u0103rea haosul provocat de pandemie.<\/p>\n<p>\nTotu\u015fi, UBS \u2013 cea mai mare banc\u0103 din Elve\u0163ia \u2013 crede c\u0103 planeta se poate confrunta anul viitor cu o nou\u0103 serie se riscuri economice.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 dac\u0103 se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163e\u015fte pandemia de coronavirus?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nUltimele rezultate raportate de Pfizer\/BioNTech, Moderna \u015fi AstraZeneca au alimentat semnificativ pie\u0163ele de capital, dup\u0103 luni \u00eentregi de sc\u0103deri \u015fi incertitudini.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u00cens\u0103 al doilea val de infec\u0163ii este \u00een plin efect \u00een Europa, iar Statele Unite au dep\u0103\u015fit pragul de 13 milioane de cazuri: \u201eObstacolele din fa\u0163a cre\u015fterii economice, generate de noile focare de COVID-19, pot lovi din plin activele ponderate la risc, zona euro \u015fi pie\u0163ele emergente fiind tot mai presate de contextul actual\u201d, spune UBS.<\/p>\n<p>\nAnali\u015ftii din cadrul b\u0103ncii lanseaz\u0103 astfel dou\u0103 op\u0163iuni: indicele european EuroStoxx 50 \u015fi MSCI Emerging Markets, indice de referin\u0163\u0103 pentru \u0163\u0103rile \u00een curs de dezvoltare.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 dac\u0103 rata infla\u0163iei cre\u015fte peste noapte?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nTotodat\u0103, banca elve\u0163ian\u0103 estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103 cel mai grav scenariu din 2021 ar fi acela \u00een care infla\u0163ia ar cre\u015fte subit, iar pie\u0163ele de capital s-ar pr\u0103bu\u015fi de la o zi la alta.<\/p>\n<p>\nPentru a se proteja \u00eempotriva riscurilor, anali\u015ftii recomand\u0103 indicii asiatici precum Hang Seng din Hong Kong \u015fi Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, care monitorizeaz\u0103 cele mai mari companii chineze listate \u00een Hong Kong, \u00eentruc\u00e2t \u201eprotec\u0163ia pe care o ofer\u0103 indicii din Asia se \u00eencadreaz\u0103 relativ bine \u00een metodologia b\u0103ncii\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\n<strong>Ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 dac\u0103 se agraveaz\u0103 tensiunile comerciale?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\nR\u0103zboiul comercial dintre China \u015fi pre\u015fedintele american Donald Trump a speriat pie\u0163ele timp de patru ani. \u00cens\u0103 victoria democratului Joe Biden nu garanteaz\u0103 dispari\u0163ia tensiunilor.<\/p>\n<p>\nRela\u0163iile dintre vest \u015fi China r\u0103m\u00e2n \u00een continuare dificile, iar atitudinea autorit\u0103\u0163ilor de la Beijing vis-a-vis de protestatarii din Hong Kong poate deveni un nou punct fierbinte \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte viitoarele conflicte comerciale. \u00cen aceast\u0103 situa\u0163ie, anali\u015ftii UBS le recomand\u0103 investitorilor indicele francez CAC 40.<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anali\u015ftii se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca economia mondial\u0103 s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi revin\u0103 \u00een 2021 odat\u0103 ce va disp\u0103rea haosul provocat de pandemie. Totu\u015fi, UBS \u2013 cea mai mare banc\u0103 din Elve\u0163ia \u2013 crede c\u0103 planeta se poate confrunta anul viitor cu o nou\u0103 serie se riscuri economice. Ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 dac\u0103 se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163e\u015fte pandemia de coronavirus? Ultimele rezultate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[47332,182,188,184],"class_list":["post-188485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bursa-razboi-comercial","tag-criza","tag-economie","tag-inflatie"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=188485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188485\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=188485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=188485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=188485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}