{"id":188463,"date":"2020-11-27T16:31:06","date_gmt":"2020-11-27T16:31:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=188463"},"modified":"2020-11-27T16:31:06","modified_gmt":"2020-11-27T16:31:06","slug":"dramatic-populatia-romaniei-s-ar-putea-reduce-pana-in-2070-cu-4-milioane-de-locuitori-in-scenariul-optimist-sau-cu-pana-la-75-milioane-persoane-in-varianta-pesimista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=188463","title":{"rendered":"Dramatic: Popula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei s-ar putea reduce p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2070 cu 4 milioane de locuitori, \u00een scenariul optimist, sau cu p\u00e2n\u0103 la 7,5 milioane persoane, \u00een varianta pesimist\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"

\nPopula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei s-ar putea reduce p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2040 la 17 milioane persoane, fa\u0163\u0103 de 19,3 milioane \u00een 2019, iar estim\u0103rile pentru 2070 arat\u0103 chiar o sc\u0103dere mai accentuat\u0103, la 13,2 milioane, arat\u0103 un studiu publicat de INS.<\/p>\n

\nDatele reflect\u0103 varianta medie \u015fi cea mai plauzibil\u0103 asupra evolu\u0163iei popula\u0163iei.<\/p>\n

\nINS a evaluat \u00eens\u0103 \u015fi alte variante posibile.<\/p>\n

\nAstfel, \u00een varianta optimist\u0103, pentru anul 2070, rezultatul proiect\u0103rii la nivel na\u0163ional este de 15,3 milioane locuitori, iar \u00een varianta pesimist\u0103 de 11,8 milioane locuitori.<\/p>\n

\n\u00cen varianta intermediar\u0103 popula\u0163ia rezident\u0103 este estimat\u0103, \u00een anul 2070, la 13,8 milioane locuitori.<\/p>\n

\n\"\"<\/p>\n

\nVarianta constant\u0103 reprezint\u0103 o \u201evariant\u0103 reper\u201d, cu rol de a compara rezultatele ob\u0163inute prin men\u0163inerea valorilor fertilit\u0103\u0163ii, speran\u0163ei de via\u0163\u0103 \u015fi migra\u0163iei nete din anul 2019 \u00eenregistrate \u00een cadrul fiec\u0103rui jude\u0163. \u00cen varianta constant\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia ar urma s\u0103 ajung\u0103 \u00een anul 2070 la 10,8 milioane locuitori.<\/p>\n

\n\u00cen toate variantele de proiectare, popula\u0163ia rezident\u0103 se va reduce cu valori cuprinse \u00eentre 4,1 milioane persoane (varianta optimist\u0103) \u015fi 8,6 milioane persoane (varianta constant\u0103).<\/p>\n

\nPopula\u0163ia feminin\u0103 ar continua s\u0103 fie predominant\u0103, iar \u00een anul 2070 ponderea acesteia ar varia de la 52,3% (\u00een varianta intermediar\u0103) la 53,5% (\u00een varianta constant\u0103), \u00eenregistr\u00e2nd o cre\u015ftere fa\u0163\u0103 de anul 2019 (51,1%).<\/p>\n

\n\u00cen ceea ce prive\u015fte evolu\u0163ia pe jude\u0163e, \u00een varianta medie de proiectare, sc\u0103derile vor oscila \u00eentre -73,2% (Teleorman) \u015fi -4,5% (Bra\u015fov).<\/p>\n

\nCel mai pu\u0163in afectate jude\u0163e ar Bra\u015fov, Bistri\u0163a-N\u0103s\u0103ud, Cluj, Covasna, Harghita, Ia\u015fi, S\u0103laj, Sibiu, Suceava \u015fi Timi\u015f.<\/p>\n

\n\u00cen 2070 Municipiul Bucure\u015fti ar urma s\u0103 aib\u0103 \u00een continuare cea mai numeroas\u0103 popula\u0163ie (1,59 milioane persoane), urmat de jude\u0163ul Ia\u015fi (a c\u0103rui popula\u0163ie va sc\u0103dea la 740.100 persoane).<\/p>\n

\nTulcea ar \u00eenregistra o reducere a popula\u0163iei cu aproximativ 108.700 persoane (56,2%) \u015fi va r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een continuare jude\u0163ul cel mai pu\u0163in populat.<\/p>\n

\nPopula\u0163ia rezident\u0103 a jude\u0163elor Prahova \u015fi Arge\u015f va \u00eenregistra cea mai mare reducere p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een anul 2070, de 351.300 persoane \u015fi respectiv de 271.700 persoane.<\/p>\n

\nDintre cele 8 regiuni de dezvoltare, \u00een compara\u0163ie cu anul 2019, popula\u0163ia rezident\u0103 a regiunilor Sud-Vest Oltenia \u015fi Sud-Muntenia ar urma s\u0103 se reduc\u0103 la pu\u0163in peste jum\u0103tate \u00een anul 2070.<\/p>\n

\nLa polul opus, Bucure\u015fti-Ilfov ar \u00eenregistra o sc\u0103dere de numai 1,3% datorat\u0103 cre\u015fterii popula\u0163iei jude\u0163ului Ilfov.<\/p>\n

\nSc\u0103derea popula\u0163iei din celelalte regiuni ar fi cuprins\u0103 \u00eentre 21,8% \u00een regiunea Centru \u015fi 43,8% \u00een regiunea Sud-Est.
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Popula\u0163ia Rom\u00e2niei s-ar putea reduce p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2040 la 17 milioane persoane, fa\u0163\u0103 de 19,3 milioane la finele lui 2019, iar estim\u0103rile pentru 2070 arat\u0103 chiar o sc\u0103dere mai accentuat\u0103, la 13,2 milioane, arat\u0103 un studiu publicat de INS.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[306,7177,8316,14810],"class_list":["post-188463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bucuresti","tag-populatie","tag-reducere","tag-varianta"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=188463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188463\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=188463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=188463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=188463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}