{"id":187647,"date":"2020-11-01T10:25:43","date_gmt":"2020-11-01T10:25:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=187647"},"modified":"2020-11-01T10:25:43","modified_gmt":"2020-11-01T10:25:43","slug":"fitch-rating-romania-va-avea-un-deficit-bugetar-de-95-din-pib-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=187647","title":{"rendered":"Fitch Rating: Rom\u00e2nia va avea un deficit bugetar de 9,5% din PIB \u00een 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nAgen\u0163ia Fitch Rating estimeaz\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia un deficit bugetar de 9,5% din PIB \u00een 2020. Economia Rom\u00e2niei se va contracta cu 5% \u00een 2020, iar anul viitor rata \u015fomajului ar urma s\u0103 ating\u0103 un v\u00e2rf de 7,3% \u00een 2021, dup\u0103 care va sc\u0103dea u\u015for \u00een 2022.<\/p>\n<p>\nAgen\u0163ia de evaluare financiar\u0103 european\u0103, Fitch Ratings, a men\u0163inut ratingul Rom\u00e2niei la \u201eBBB minus\u201d, cu perspectiv\u0103 negativ\u0103. Acest indicator conteaz\u0103 pentru costurile cu care se \u00eemprumut\u0103 statul sau marile companii dintr-o \u0163ar\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nExper\u0163ii au stabilit ratingul \u00een func\u0163ie de deficitul bugetar mare \u015fi de deficitul de cont curent la fel de mare, comparativ cu alte \u0163\u0103ri. Agen\u0163ia preconizeaz\u0103 c\u0103 deficitul o s\u0103 ating\u0103 \u00een 2020 un maxim istoric, de 9,5% din PIB, \u00een special din cauza cheltuielilor pentru COVID-19.<\/p>\n<p>\nM\u0103surile de sprijin adoptate ca r\u0103spuns la pandemie ar putea s\u0103 se ridice la 7% din PIB \u00een 2020, dar au fost eficiente, consider\u0103 speciali\u015ftii. \u00cen plus, Rom\u00e2nia are o datorie guvernamental\u0103 moderat\u0103, dar \u015fi indicatori privind guvernan\u0163a \u015fi dezvoltarea uman\u0103 peste alte \u0163\u0103ri.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eDeci este un mesaj at\u00e2t de \u00eengrijorare dar \u015fi de comfort \u015fi a venit exact la momentul potrivit \u015fi, aten\u0163ie, la consecin\u0163ele pe care le-ar fi avut. Sc\u0103derea de rating, de exemplu, cu un procent \u00een general, cu o treapt\u0103, se duce \u00een deficit bugetar sau \u00een cheltuieli cu dob\u00e2nzile s\u0103 zicem, tot cu un procent. Confirmarea este pentru \u00eemprumuturile pe termen lung la moneda euro, ceea ce este un avantaj pentru Rom\u00e2nia. Mai avem, \u00eenc\u0103, at\u00e2t de important\u0103, aceast\u0103 capacitate de a te \u00eendatora, pentru c\u0103 situa\u0163ia deficitului bugetar este complicat\u0103, a deficitului de cont curent la fel \u015fi a datoriei private externe, care este foarte mare \u015fi noi nu o vedem, dar este un indicator critic \u015fi foarte mare \u015fi, acesta, prin compara\u0163ie cu alte \u0163\u0103ri, care au acela\u015fi rating. Deci, consecin\u0163ele unei sc\u0103deri de rating \u00een pozi\u0163iile Rom\u00e2niei, chiar dac\u0103 perspectiva este negativ\u0103, sunt foarte importante \u015fi foarte critice. Nu aveam loc de a\u015fa ceva acum \u00een situa\u0163ia medical\u0103 \u015fi totul este foarte critic, a\u015fa c\u0103 am mai luat o gur\u0103 de speran\u0163\u0103 \u015fi de oxigen\u201d, a declarat analistul economic, Adrian Mitroi.<\/p>\n<p>\nPe l\u00e2ng\u0103 agen\u0163ia european\u0103 Fitch Rating, mai sunt dou\u0103 agen\u0163ii americane care evalueaz\u0103 economia Rom\u00e2niei. \u00cen urm\u0103 cu dou\u0103 zile, Moody\u2019s a anun\u0163at c\u0103 men\u0163ine ratingul Rom\u00e2niei, iar a treia agen\u0163ie, Standard and Poor&#8217;s, urmeaz\u0103 s\u0103-\u015fi anun\u0163e evaluarea.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Agen\u0163ia Fitch Rating estimeaz\u0103 pentru Rom\u00e2nia un deficit bugetar de 9,5% din PIB \u00een 2020. Economia Rom\u00e2niei se va contracta cu 5% \u00een 2020, iar anul viitor rata \u015fomajului ar urma s\u0103 ating\u0103 un v\u00e2rf de 7,3% \u00een 2021, dup\u0103 care va sc\u0103dea u\u015for \u00een 2022. Agen\u0163ia de evaluare financiar\u0103 european\u0103, Fitch Ratings, a men\u0163inut [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[411,188,47110],"class_list":["post-187647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-deficit","tag-economie","tag-fitch-rating"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187647","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=187647"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/187647\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=187647"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=187647"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=187647"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}