{"id":182625,"date":"2020-05-05T17:55:46","date_gmt":"2020-05-05T17:55:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182625"},"modified":"2026-04-07T17:17:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T17:17:40","slug":"studiu-ing-post-criza-coronavirusului-va-genera-riscul-de-scadere-a-cererii-sau-preturilor-de-cereale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182625","title":{"rendered":"Studiu ING: Post-criza coronavirusului va genera riscul de sc\u0103dere a cererii sau pre\u0163urilor de cereale"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nPandemia de COVID-19 a generat o cerere foarte mare de cereale at\u00e2t din pia\u0163a intern\u0103, c\u00e2t \u015fi pia\u0163a exern\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia fiind unul dintre principalii exportatori din UE, al\u0103turi de Fran\u0163a, \u00eens\u0103, post-criz\u0103 exist\u0103 riscul ca aceast\u0103 cerere s\u0103 se diminueze, iar pre\u0163urile s\u0103 scad\u0103, arat\u0103 un studiu realizat de ING Bank, sucursala de la Bucure\u015fti a b\u0103nci cu acela\u015fi nume.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eCererea mare din aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103 este foarte posibil s\u0103 fie determinat\u0103 \u015fi de \u00eengrijoarea mai multor \u0163\u0103ri de a-\u015fi asigura stocuri \u00een avans, datorit\u0103 crizei. Nu se \u015ftie exact cum vor reac\u0163iona pie\u0163ele, dar c\u00e2teva semne pozitive \u00een sustinerea pretului sunt: re\u00eenceperea activit\u0103\u0163ilor \u00een China, contingentarea exportului \u00een Rusia. (\u2026) Totu\u015fi, exist\u0103 riscul sc\u0103derii cererii sau pre\u0163urilor \u00een perioada post-criz\u0103\u201d, potrivit reprezentan\u0163ilor ING Bank.<\/p>\n<p>\nStudiul are la baz\u0103 discu\u0163ii cu fermieri mici \u015fi mari, clien\u0163i ai b\u0103nci, dar \u015fi informa\u0163ii ob\u0163inute de la organiza\u0163ii de produc\u0103tori sau traderi de inputuri agricole ori de cereale.<\/p>\n<p>\nPre\u0163ul gr\u00e2ului a fost destul de volatile \u00een acest\u0103 perioad\u0103, dar a mai urcat \u015fi s-a stabilizat \u00een jurul valorii de 190-196 euro\/t pe Matif, sus\u0163inut de cererea mare din China \u015fi din Orientul Mijlociu. Aceasta s-a reflectat mult \u015fi \u00een pre\u0163urile din Rom\u00e2nia, unde pre\u0163ul FOB Constanta a ajuns la 195-198 euro\/t la finalul lunii martie.<\/p>\n<p>\nPre\u0163ul porumbului a variat \u00eentre 145 \u2013 165 euro\/t \u00een perioada octombrie 2019-martie 2020, \u00een Rom\u00e2nia. Acest lucru s-a dotorat faptului c\u0103 a fost o produc\u0163ie bun\u0103 \u00een 2019, s-au putut onora comezile, iar cump\u0103r\u0103torii tradi\u0163ionali, Spania sau Olanda, au continuat s\u0103 aib\u0103 cerere av\u00e2nd nevoie de ele, \u00een mare, \u00een furajarea animalelor.<\/p>\n<p>\nAlte riscuri ce ar putea urma dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 criz\u0103 sunt reducerea capacit\u0103\u0163ii de aprovizioare cu materii prime pentru \u00eenfiin\u0163area \u015fi \u00eentre\u0163inerea culturilor pentru campania ce \u00eencepe \u00een luna august 2020, deficitul de for\u0163\u0103 de munc\u0103 din cauza \u00eemboln\u0103virilor \u015fi\/sau carantinei ori \u00eencetinirea logisticii, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere m\u0103surile de securitate.<\/p>\n<p>\nTotu\u015fi, societ\u0103\u0163ile comerciale care activeaz\u0103 \u00een acest sector sunt \u00een general \u00eenfiin\u0163ate \u00een anii \u201990 \u015fi au mai f\u0103cut fa\u0163\u0103 unor crize economice severe, globale sau sectoriale (infla\u0163ia din anii \u201896-98, criza financiar\u0103 din 2008, seceta din 2012). Totodat\u0103, au o capitalizare bun\u0103, av\u00e2nd \u00een vederea vechimea \u00een business, faptul c\u0103 ultimele 2-3 campanii Agricole au fost foarte bune, iar mul\u0163i fermieri sunt dota\u0163i cu echipamentele necesare desf\u0103\u015fur\u0103rii \u00een bune condi\u0163ii a activit\u0103\u0163ilor.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201ePutem fi optimi\u015fti \u00een ceea ce prive\u015fte modul \u00een care sectorul produc\u0163iei vegetale va dep\u0103\u015fi aceast\u0103 criz\u0103\u201d, potrivit reprezentan\u0163ilor ING Bank.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pandemia de COVID-19 a generat o cerere foarte mare de cereale at\u00e2t din pia\u0163a intern\u0103, c\u00e2t \u015fi pia\u0163a exern\u0103, Rom\u00e2nia fiind unul dintre principalii exportatori din UE, al\u0103turi de Fran\u0163a, \u00eens\u0103, post-criz\u0103 exist\u0103 riscul ca aceast\u0103 cerere s\u0103 se diminueze, iar pre\u0163urile s\u0103 scad\u0103, arat\u0103 un studiu realizat de ING Bank, sucursala de la Bucure\u015fti [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[424,9321,182,8210,340],"class_list":["post-182625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-cereale","tag-cerere","tag-criza","tag-ing","tag-preturi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=182625"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":182648,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182625\/revisions\/182648"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=182625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=182625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=182625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}