{"id":182544,"date":"2020-05-02T13:12:27","date_gmt":"2020-05-02T13:12:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182544"},"modified":"2020-05-02T13:12:27","modified_gmt":"2020-05-02T13:12:27","slug":"se-anunta-vremuri-grele-zonei-euro-ii-vor-trebui-trei-ani-sa-isi-revina-dupa-aceasta-criza-philip-lane-economist-sef-al-bce-amploarea-si-durata-socului-macroeconomic-al-pandemiei-depind-de-cat-de","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182544","title":{"rendered":"Se anun\u0163\u0103 vremuri grele: Zonei euro \u00eei vor trebui trei ani s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi revin\u0103 dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 criz\u0103. Philip Lane, economist \u015fef al BCE: Amploarea \u015fi durata \u015focului macroeconomic al pandemiei depind de c\u00e2t de mult vor fi p\u0103strate m\u0103surile de izolare, de impactul acestora asupra sectoarelor economice \u015fi de viteza la care activitatea va reintra \u00een normalitate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nEconomistul \u015fef al B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene a avertizat c\u0103 este posibil s\u0103 dureze cel pu\u0163in \u00eenc\u0103 trei ani p\u00e2n\u0103 ca economia zonei euro s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi revin\u0103 complet din \u015focul \u201dextraordinar \u015fi \u015fever\u201d al coronacrizei, scrie Financial Times.<\/p>\n<p>\nPhilip Lane a spus c\u0103 \u00een scenariul sever, modelat de BCE, care estimeaz\u0103 o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 de 12% \u00een zona euro pentru acest an, economia nu se va re\u00eentoarce la nivelul dinainte de criz\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\nUn grafic publicat de BCE indic\u0103 un rezultat asem\u0103n\u0103tor \u015fi pentru scenariul \u201dmediu\u201d, care arat\u0103 o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 de 8% la nivelul zonei euro anul acesta.<\/p>\n<p>\nSingurul scenariu unde perspectivele sunt mai optimiste este cel \u201dlejer\u201d, care presupune o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 de numai 5% anul acesta, \u015fi \u00een cadrul c\u0103ruia economi\u015ftii estimeaz\u0103 o revenire economic\u0103 complet\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la jum\u0103tatea anului viitor.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201dAmploarea \u015fi durata \u015focului macroeconomic al pandemiei depind de c\u00e2t de mult vor fi p\u0103strate m\u0103surile de izolare, de impactul acestor m\u0103suri asupra sectoarelor economice \u015fi de viteza la care activitatea economic\u0103 va reintra \u00een normalitate\u201d, a scris Lane.<\/p>\n<p>\nEconomia zonei a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere trimestrial\u0103 record de 3,8% \u00een T1 2020, potrivit datelor publicate s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na aceasta. Majoritatea economi\u015ftilor se a\u015fteapt\u0103 ca declinul s\u0103 fie mult mai ad\u00e2nc \u00een T2, din cauz\u0103 c\u0103 m\u0103surile de izolare au cuprins \u00eentreaga perioad\u0103 \u015fi au \u00eenghe\u0163at activitatea economic\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\nBCE a anun\u0163at joi c\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi p\u0103streaz\u0103 dob\u00e2nzile la depozite la 0,5%, \u00een timp ce diminueaz\u0103 costurile de finan\u0163are pentru b\u0103nci, reduc\u00e2nd dob\u00e2nda la care le \u00eemprumut\u0103 la un minim record de minus 1%, practic pl\u0103tind b\u0103ncile s\u0103 le \u00eemprumute bani.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\nVineri, Lane a indicat c\u0103 BCE s-ar preg\u0103ti s\u0103 extind\u0103 orizontul de timp pe care aplic\u0103 PEPP &#8211; programul de achizi\u0163ii de urgen\u0163\u0103 din pandemie &#8211; lansat \u00een luna martie, \u015fi s\u0103 creasc\u0103 \u015fi scara acestuia. Programul deja avea o amploare de 750 de miliarde de euro aloca\u0163i. El a ad\u0103ugat c\u0103 va continua s\u0103 examineze constant toate m\u0103surile s\u0103 vad\u0103 dac\u0103 sunt eficiente, \u015fi c\u0103 \u201dvom ajusta instrumentele dac\u0103 situa\u0163ia o va cere\u201d.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economistul \u015fef al B\u0103ncii Centrale Europene a avertizat c\u0103 este posibil s\u0103 dureze cel pu\u0163in \u00eenc\u0103 trei ani p\u00e2n\u0103 ca economia zonei euro s\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi revin\u0103 complet din \u015focul \u201dextraordinar \u015fi \u015fever\u201d al coronacrizei, scrie Financial Times. Philip Lane a spus c\u0103 \u00een scenariul sever, modelat de BCE, care estimeaz\u0103 o sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 de 12% [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8830,9781,13242],"class_list":["post-182544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-bce","tag-revenire","tag-zona-euro"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182544","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=182544"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182544\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=182544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=182544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=182544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}