{"id":182117,"date":"2020-04-16T16:56:48","date_gmt":"2020-04-16T16:56:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182117"},"modified":"2020-04-16T16:56:48","modified_gmt":"2020-04-16T16:56:48","slug":"aurelian-dochia-analist-economic-cifrele-guvernului-sunt-cele-mai-realiste-de-pana-acum-in-sfarsit-incepe-sa-fie-recunscuta-amploarea-dezastrulu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/?p=182117","title":{"rendered":"Aurelian Dochia, analist economic: Cifrele guvernului sunt cele mai realiste de p\u00e2n\u0103 acum. \u00cen sf\u00e2r\u015fit \u00eencepe s\u0103 fie recunscut\u0103 amploarea dezastrulu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n<span style=\"font-size: 12px;\">Guvernul a venit ieri cu proiec\u0163iile privind evolu\u0163ia economiei rom\u00e2ne\u015fti \u015fi a deficitului buegtar \u00een 2020. Astfel, economia ar urma s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze o cre\u015ftere negativ\u0103 de -1,9% \u015fi un deficit buegtar echivalent cu 6,7% din PIB. Analistul economic Aurelian Dochia spune c\u0103 cifrele arat\u0103 c\u0103 guvernul \u00eencepe s\u0103 recunasc\u0103 amploarea dezastrului economici, chiar dac\u0103 estim\u0103rile r\u0103m\u00e2n optimiste.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eSunt cele mai realiste cifre din tot ce a fost men\u0163ionat p\u00e2n\u0103 acum. \u00cen sf\u00e2r\u015fit \u00eencepe s\u0103 fie recunoscut\u0103 amploarea dezastrului, de\u015fi, cred eu, c\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 cifra privind contrac\u0163ia economic\u0103 este prea mic\u0103 \u015fi de la asta pornesc \u015fi celelalte cifre. Eu cred c\u0103 sc\u0103dere economic\u0103 din 2020 va fi mai mare dec\u00e2t 1,9%, mai degrab\u0103 a\u015f fi spre cei 5% pe care \u00eei indic\u0103 FMI \u015fi \u00een aceste condi\u0163ii toate celelalte lucruri se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163esc. Dincolo de toate aceste cifre este vorba de ni\u015fte oameni care vor avea dificult\u0103\u0163i\u201d, comenteaz\u0103 Aurelian Dochia pentru ZF.<\/p>\n<p>\nEl mai crede c\u0103, \u00eentr-un final, Banca Na\u0163ional\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei (BNR) va interveni mai puternic \u0103entru finan\u0163area deficitului bugetar, \u00een condi\u0163iile \u00een care guvernul va avea dificult\u0103\u0163i \u00een a g\u0103si banii necesari finan\u0163\u0103rii.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eCred c\u0103 situa\u0163ia, a\u015fa cum se prezint\u0103 acum, va duce la un moment dat c\u0103tre discu\u0163ia c\u0103 banca na\u0163ional\u0103 s\u0103 intervin\u0103 \u00een mod direct, a\u015fa cum au f\u0103cut de altfel \u015fi alte b\u0103nci centrale. Banca na\u0163ional\u0103 \u00eentr-un fel sau altul va monetiza datoria public\u0103. P\u00e2n\u0103 la urm\u0103 cred c\u0103 nu exist\u0103 alt\u0103 solu\u0163ie.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\nDe asemenea, Aurelian Dochia mai spune c\u0103 , \u00een opinia sa, guvernul a men\u0163inut cre\u015fterea pensiilor cu 40% \u00een septembrie pentru a-\u015fi asigura o marj\u0103 de manevr\u0103 \u00een cazul \u00een care execu\u0163ia bugetar\u0103 se va \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u0163i mai mult dec\u00e2t este prognozat.<\/p>\n<p>\n\u201eNu am \u00eendoiala c\u0103 nu se va men\u0163ine cre\u015fterea pensiilor. Poate c\u0103 aceasta este marja pe care \u015fi-o men\u0163ine guvernul \u00een momentul de fa\u0163\u0103. O not\u0103 de optimism exist\u0103 \u00een faptul c\u0103 presupune o contrac\u0163ie economic\u0103 de 1,9%. Dac\u0103 vom vedea o contrac\u0163ie mai mare, este posibil s\u0103 vedem \u015fi o revizuire a acestor cheltuieli. Aceasta a fost pozi\u0163ia Ministerelor Muncii \u015fi Finan\u0163elor, c\u0103 se va examina execu\u0163ia bugetar\u0103 \u015fi, dac\u0103 aceasta se va deteriora, probabil c\u0103 vom vedea \u015fi o reg\u00e2ndire a acestor cre\u015fteri.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Guvernul a venit ieri cu proiec\u0163iile privind evolu\u0163ia economiei rom\u00e2ne\u015fti \u015fi a deficitului buegtar \u00een 2020. Astfel, economia ar urma s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze o cre\u015ftere negativ\u0103 de -1,9% \u015fi un deficit buegtar echivalent cu 6,7% din PIB. Analistul economic Aurelian Dochia spune c\u0103 cifrele arat\u0103 c\u0103 guvernul \u00eencepe s\u0103 recunasc\u0103 amploarea dezastrului economici, chiar dac\u0103 estim\u0103rile [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[19015,4172,9],"class_list":["post-182117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-aurelian-dochia","tag-cifre","tag-guvern"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=182117"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182117\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=182117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=182117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=182117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}