\nPandemia de COVID-19 ar putea costa economia global\u0103 peste 9.000 de miliarde de dolari \u00een 2020 \u015fi 2021 – adic\u0103 mai mult dec\u00e2t valoarea economiilor Japoniei \u015fi Germaniei combinate, a spus Gita Gopinath, economistul \u015fef al Fondului Monetar Interna\u0163ional.<\/p>\n
Potrivit barrons.com, acest scenariu ar fi valabil dac\u0103 eforturile de combatere a pandemiei ar duce la sc\u0103derea r\u0103sp\u00e2ndirii virusului \u00een cea de-a doua jum\u0103tate a anului. \u00centr-o astfel de situa\u0163ie, FMI previzioneaz\u0103 o contractare cu 3% a economiei, mult mai r\u0103u dec\u00e2t declinul de 0,1% \u00eenregistrat \u00een criza financiar\u0103 global\u0103 \u015fi cu siguran\u0163\u0103 total diferit dec\u00e2t scenariul anticipat la \u00eenceputul anului, c\u00e2nd economia global\u0103 se \u00eendrepta spre o cre\u015ftere de 3,3%.<\/p>\n
\nPe de alt\u0103 parte, Gobinath apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 economia global\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi va reveni \u00een 2021 cu un ritm de cre\u015ftere de 5,8%.
\nAcest ar fi \u00eens\u0103 scenariul optimist. \u00cen cel mai negativ posibil, dac\u0103 pandemia nu va disp\u0103rea \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului, iar \u0163\u0103rile vor men\u0163ine m\u0103surile de restric\u0163ie \u015fi atunci, FMI anticipeaz\u0103 c\u0103 PIB-ul ar putea s\u0103 scad\u0103 cu \u00eenc\u0103 3% \u00een 2020 \u015fi cu \u00eenc\u0103 8% fa\u0163\u0103 de scenariul de baz\u0103 dac\u0103 pandemia continu\u0103 \u015fi \u00een 2021.<\/p>\n
\u00cen declara\u0163ia ei, Gopinath recunoa\u015fte costurile m\u0103surilor luate de guverne, dar le descrie drept necesare. De asemenea, ea subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 este nevoie de o cooperare global\u0103 \u00eempotriva acestei recesiuni. \u201e\u0162\u0103rile ar trebui s\u0103 continue s\u0103 cheltuie sume consistente pe sistemele de s\u0103n\u0103tate, s\u0103 realizeze test\u0103ri \u00een mas\u0103 \u015fi s\u0103 se ab\u0163in\u0103 de la restric\u0163iile de schimburi comerciale c\u00e2nd vine vorba despre echipamentele medicale. Un efort global trebuie s\u0103 asigure c\u0103 atunci c\u00e2nd terapiile \u015fi vaccinurile sunt dezvoltate, at\u00e2t \u0163\u0103rile bogate, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u0163\u0103rile s\u0103race vor avea acces imediat\u201d, spune Gopinath.<\/p>\n
\u00cen contextul m\u0103surilor de distan\u0163are social\u0103, anumite \u0163\u0103ri \u00eenregistrez\u0103 succes \u00eempotriva r\u0103sp\u00e2ndirii coronavirusului, observ\u0103 Gopinath. \u00cens\u0103 odat\u0103 cu incertitudinea, ea subliniaz\u0103 necesitatea unor politici chiar \u015fi mai \u00eendr\u0103zne\u0163e. \u201ePoliticile domestice \u015fi interna\u0163ionale trebuie s\u0103 fie lansate la nivelul \u0163\u0103rilor \u015fi recalibrate pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce noile date devin valabile\u201d, a spus ea.
\n\u201eAc\u0163iunile curajoase ale medicilor \u015fi asistentelor trebuie s\u0103 se potriveasc\u0103 celor care stabilesc politici \u00een toat\u0103 lumea astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t \u00eempreun\u0103 s\u0103 dep\u0103\u015fim criza.\u201d
\nDe asemenea, ea spune c\u0103 este nevoie de preg\u0103tirea pentru revenire, cu politici \u0163intite care s\u0103 includ\u0103 modalit\u0103\u0163i de ajutare a companiilor pentru a face angaj\u0103ri \u015fi a repara bilan\u0163urile acestora – cooperarea este crucial\u0103, spune ea – at\u00e2t \u00een ce prive\u015fte oferirea de stimuli fiscali \u00een mod coordonat, c\u00e2t \u015fi \u00eentr-un mod \u00een care s\u0103 se lupte \u00eempotriva deglobaliz\u0103rii astfel \u00eenc\u00e2t productivitatea s\u0103 nu fie afectat\u0103.<\/p>\n
\nToate acestea vor fi discutate \u00een cursul acestei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, dup\u0103 ce mini\u015ftri de finan\u0163e \u015fi b\u0103ncile centrale se \u00eent\u00e2lnesc \u00een mod virtual \u00een \u00eencercarea de a stabiliza economiile \u015fi sistemul financiar global \u015fi c\u0103utarea unei modalit\u0103\u0163i de revenire.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Pandemia de COVID-19 ar putea costa economia global\u0103 peste 9.000 de miliarde de dolari \u00een 2020 \u015fi 2021 – adic\u0103 mai mult dec\u00e2t valoarea economiilor Japoniei \u015fi Germaniei combinate, a spus Gita Gopinath, economistul \u015fef al Fondului Monetar Interna\u0163ional. Potrivit barrons.com, acest scenariu ar fi valabil dac\u0103 eforturile de combatere a pandemiei ar duce la […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[277,246,188,7433,14847,220,179,8457],"class_list":["post-182066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-avertisment","tag-crestere","tag-economie","tag-fmi","tag-pandemie","tag-politica","tag-recesiune","tag-scenariu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182066","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=182066"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/182066\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=182066"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=182066"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=182066"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}