\nCriza medical\u0103 va influen\u0163a puternic economia real\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei, iar PIB-ul se va contracta cu 6,6% \u00een 2020, cu un trimestru al doilea de co\u015fmar, urmat \u00eens\u0103 de o \u201crevenire \u00een V\u201d, comenteaz\u0103 ultimul raport al ING Bank.<\/p>\n
\nSunt doar nou\u0103 zile de c\u00e2nd un alt raport al aceleia\u015fi institu\u0163ii prognoza o c\u0103dere a economiei de \u201cdoar\u201d 0,9% \u00een acest an \u015fi un deficit bugetar de 5% din PIB (7 – 9% din PIB, acum).<\/p>\n
\n\u201c\u00cen aceste vremuri tulburi, prognozele economice au devenit \u015fi mai pu\u0163in o \u015ftiin\u0163\u0103 exact\u0103 dec\u00e2t erau \u00eenainte. Ne confrunt\u0103m cu o situa\u0163ie f\u0103r\u0103 precedent\u201d, comenteaz\u0103 Valentin T\u0103taru, economist al ING Bank, care semneaz\u0103 analiza pentru Rom\u00e2nia.<\/p>\n
\nNoua prognoz\u0103 este justificat\u0103 de \u015ftirile rele ce vin de peste tot: o contrac\u0163ie de 4% a Germaniei a ajuns un scenariu optimst, iar Fran\u0163a pierde trei puncte din PIB, lunar.<\/p>\n
\n\u201cAmploarea \u015fi rapiditatea evolu\u0163iilor actuale nu au precedent\u201d, \u00een ciuda faptului c\u0103 literatur\u0103 de specialitate, pe un astfel de scenariu, exist\u0103, scriu anali\u015ftii ING Bank.<\/p>\n
\nPotrivit sursei citate, contrac\u0163ia PIB va \u00eencepe chiar din T 1 (minus 1,3% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 4\/2019 \u015fi plus 1,7%, an\/an). C\u0103derea va fi puternic\u0103 \u00een T 2 (minus 19,7% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 1 \u015fi minus 19,1%, an\/an). Revenirea \u00eencepe \u00een T 3 cu un plus de 17% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 2, ca urmare a efectului de baz\u0103 (minus 5,9% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 3\/2019). T 4 va cre\u015fte cu 4,4% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 3 (minus 3,2% fa\u0163\u0103 de T 4\/2019).<\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n
\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Criza medical\u0103 va influen\u0163a puternic economia real\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei, iar PIB-ul se va contracta cu 6,6% \u00een 2020, cu un trimestru al doilea de co\u015fmar, urmat \u00eens\u0103 de o \u201crevenire \u00een V\u201d, comenteaz\u0103 ultimul raport al ING Bank. Sunt doar nou\u0103 zile de c\u00e2nd un alt raport al aceleia\u015fi institu\u0163ii prognoza o c\u0103dere a economiei […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[510],"tags":[8482,189,8210,8754,18320,7931],"class_list":["post-181438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-actualitate","tag-cadere","tag-deficit-bugetar","tag-ing","tag-ing-bank","tag-inrautatire","tag-pib"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=181438"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181438\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=181438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=181438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bm.dev.synology.me\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=181438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}